都说现在是区块链的Web3、元宇宙早期,但有多早?还有多少机会?

白话区块链Published on 2022-12-30Last updated on 2022-12-30

Abstract

区块链是由一系列技术实现的全新去中心化经济组织模式,2009年诞生于比特币系统的构建,2017年成为全球经济热点,但区块链的成功应用寥寥,这个新兴产业还远未成熟。

区块链是由一系列技术实现的全新去中心化经济组织模式,2009年诞生于比特币系统的构建,2017年成为全球经济热点,但区块链的成功应用寥寥,这个新兴产业还远未成熟。

今天白话区块链给大家带来一篇关于区块链发展现状的编译文章,详细跟大家说说目前区块链发展到哪一步。

以下为正文:

我们实际上还处于很早的时期,即使在未来的几年里,说“我们现在还处于早期”这句话仍然非常有效。

如果进入区块链技术领域的时间足够长,那么“我们现在还处于早期”这句话肯定是您经常听到甚至经常说的话。但是您有没有想过要具体早到什么时候呢?

在这篇文章中,我们将看看区块链技术行业的目前发展有多早期,以及如果以后决定加入这个行业,我们还能多早? 但首先,得要搞清楚什么时候是被视为晚了?

首先,我们在这里谈论一下迟到的定义?迟到了就像“哦,不好意思,您迟到了;您不能进去”,或者就像,“哦,对不起,XX先生,您来不及了;我们已经结束了。”

无论这个问题如何反映了迟到的哪种定义,但在区块链行业,永远没有太晚的时候。以太坊、任何其他加密资产或 NFT 并没有达到一个特定的价格,并且在达到该价格后,它的价值永远不会上涨或下跌。

接下来继续讨论一下更重要的问题:我们在区块链技术的世界有多早?

要准确回答这个问题,我们需要深入到区块链的各个行业,即区块链本身、web3、加密资产、DeFi、NFT 和 元宇宙。

区块链

区块链不仅仅是交易的存储,随着这项技术被更多的人采用,人们对其功能的发现也越来越多。

最近,韩国政府透露,其计划在 2024 年将基于区块链的数字身份嵌入公民的手机中,以促进其经济发展。

此外,谷歌云最近还推出了区块链节点引擎——一项旨在帮助 Web3 开发人员在基于区块链的平台上构建和部署新产品的技术。

而且越来越多的实体和公司正在利用区块链技术。是的,这些实体和公司使用区块链开发的产品从长远来看有助于促进区块链技术的发展,但在这之前,我们还处于早期阶段。

加密资产

基于区块链技术构建数字资产的整个想法始于比特币,这是一种由化名“中本聪”的匿名人士或实体于 2009 年开发的加密资产,距离今年大约 13 年过去了 。

从 2009 年创建比特币到现在的比特币,显然存在巨大差异。比特币最初被创建和发布时,并没有多少人知道它,知道它的人称它为“只是一种网络骗局”或“罪犯资产”,然后人们逐渐淡化了它的存在,直到一个名叫Laszlo Hanyec仅用两个披萨就卖掉了他的10,000 个比特币。

快进到 13 年后,比特币是市值最大的加密资产。每个人(包括我)都希望在13年前以便宜的价格购买了比特币。

好吧,时间无法倒流,我们继续谈谈加密资产的发展。

比特币被创建为互联网上的数字支付方式。创建比特币背后的想法是让数字资产成为一种以去中心化方式运作的替代支付系统。

虽然创建比特币的一些原因已经在互联网上被说烂了,甚至一些国家,例如萨尔瓦多,已经接受比特币作为法定资产。

尽管创建比特币的一些主要目的已经在我们所处的 21 世纪发挥作用,但它仍然不像其白皮书或中本聪希望的那样成为主流。

今天互联网上并不是每个人都使用比特币作为支付手段,有些甚至都不知道比特币是什么。

如果我们要以书面形式表达,假设大约 45% 互联网上的人可能听说过比特币,33% 的人知道比特币是一种加密资产,而互联网上只有 5% 的人能使用比特币作为一种手段付款。

现在让我们从整体上谈谈加密资产行业。首先,如果比特币成为主流,这个行业应该是什么样子?

按照这个速度,我们需要将加密市场与股票市场进行比较。美国股市纽约证券交易平台截至 2022 年 8 月的股票市值刚刚超过 24.1 万亿美元。

与截至 2021 年 11 月刚刚超过 3 万亿美元的全球加密资产历史最高市值相比,这是一个巨大的差异。

加密市场要像美国股市一样的市值,就需要走向主流,而要走向主流,互联网内外几乎每个人都应该知道并利用它。

但是看看加密行业的情况,比如区块链在有或没有第 2 层的情况下每秒可以处理多少笔交易(TPS),以及它们有多强大和安全,加密市场可能还没有为主流采用做好准备。

考虑到所有这些,足以证明我们在加密资产行业的发展有多早。

去中心化金融(DeFi)

可以说,随着以太坊区块链、智能合约和 Maker DAO 等稳定币的普及,DeFi 的兴起可以追溯到 2017 年。不过一些人不同意,并认为 DeFi 自比特币时代就已经存在。

不管 DeFi 的兴起是从 2017 年还是 2009 年开始的,无论哪种方式,我们似乎都还处于很早期的阶段。

DeFi 一词是去中心化金融的缩写,这个行业的主要目标是什么?去中心化任何金融,让用户成为他们自己的银行。简而言之,DeFi 使用户无需任何中介即可自行控制自己的财务状况。

从行业的角度来看,我们今天在 DeFi 中所处的位置表明,即使在未来 10 年,我们仍然会被视为早期。

为什么?好问题。

地球上有数十亿人以某种方式与金融打交道。无论是通过银行业务、储蓄、汇款还是收款,他们都以某种方式处理财务问题。他们中的大多数人不知道,甚至可能从未听说过“去中心化金融”这个词。

以某种方式采用或正在使用 DeFi 的人不到数百万人。仅这一点就证明我们还太早,如果您今天开始使用 DeFi,那么在 DeFi 成为主流并被采用之前,您可能还早了大约 15 到 20 年。

不可替代Token (NFT)

当您读到这篇文章时,第一个想到的可能是 jpeg。但是当我告诉您 NFT 不仅仅是 jpeg 时,请相信我,NFT 基本上是任何您能想到的存在于区块链上的不可替代的东西。

它可以是您的音频、视频、文件、数字土地,甚至是内容、包括您的播客和您的作品可以是 NFT。不过我在这里不是要告诉您什么是 NFT,什么不是 NFT。

我想说的是我们在 NFT 行业有多早?特别早!

有史以来第一个 NFT,Quantum,于 2014 年铸造。最著名的 NFT Bored Ape Yacht Club 或BAYC铸造于 2021 年,也就是去年。

在我们今天所知道和使用的互联网上,没有多少人知道甚至听说过“不可替代Token”这个词。

我不是要给您希望,但如果您已经在 NFT 行业工作,算幸运,因为从现在起未来 10 到 20 年,您可能有机会成为这个行业的老手。

如果您还没有进入 NFT 行业或者还没有交易过您的第一个 NFT,或者这是您第一次阅读有关 NFT 的内容,说真的,还是算幸运,因为您在行业早期接触到了NFT。

在 NFT 获得所需的主流采用之前,您在网上看到的每一个内容都有所有权证明,都还需要一段时间,我的意思是甚至未来很长一段时间,都看不到 NFT 成为主流,即使在未来几十年也很难说。

我为什么这么说呢?

首先,您需要知道 NFT 行业目前的用途不是或超过它应该用于的用途。现在的 NFT 行业充斥着现金掠夺,低质量或省力的项目,其目的只是为了赚钱,对买家几乎没有价值。

其次,NFT 目前还没有充分发挥其优势。除了今天大多数 NFT 的 jpeg 或 pfp 之外,NFT 还可以是票证、通行证,以及我之前提到的播客、视频,甚至文章。但到目前为止,甚至大多数人都对 NFT 的这一面不感兴趣。

大多数人现在感兴趣的只是创造没有效用的现金赚取机器。

Web3

Web3是去中心化的网络,它将是我们现在互联网发展的下一阶段。虽然地球上几乎每个人都在使用互联网,但目前一半以上互联网人没有听说过这个所谓的去中心化网络Web3。

仅此一项就表明这成为主流还为时尚早,甚至未来 5 到 10 年内 web3 也不一定能发展成为主流。

元宇宙

元宇宙直到去年(2021 年)才开始成为人们开始关注的事物,当时Meta(以前称为 Facebook)对其公司进行了更名以表明其重点以及他们对将元宇宙带入现实世界的认真态度。

不过目前互联网上可能只有不到 0.5% 的人知道元宇宙是什么,甚至 web3 行业中的有些人都不知道元宇宙意味着什么。

直到大约几个月前,我才知道存在一种叫做元宇宙的东西。元宇宙是一种技术,需要很多东西结合在一起才能真正成为一件事。

VR 耳机仍然不是每个人都知道甚至拥有的技术,AR 仍然是仍在研究中的东西。公司在创建互操作性以将元宇宙带入非常流畅的数字世界体验方面也仍然很落后。

不要忘记,要让元宇宙成为主流,每个人都需要拥有 VR 耳机或 AR 眼镜,就像他们今天拥有电脑一样,但是我甚至觉得未来十年都看不到会发生这种情况。

所以元宇宙是一种早期技术,甚至可以说现在还没有出现。但是,它已经有一些早期版本,例如 Decentraland、Sandbox、Second Life 和 Roblox。但这些都只是早期版本,并不是真正的元宇宙。

真正的元宇宙尚未到来,预测它何时会成为主流是一件困难的事情。

在我们开始看到人们拥有 AR 和 VR 技术之前,就像他们拥有电脑或我们现实世界中 Stark 先生或复仇者联盟的技术的某些部分一样,元宇宙仍然是一项处于婴儿阶段的技术。

小结

通过所有这些剖析,我们可以看到我们现阶段的技术实际上还都很早。即使在未来的几年里,说“我们还早”这句话仍然不过时。

此外,我们必须始终牢记的一件事是,区块链上的这些新兴技术最终会到来,当它们到来时,它们将变得很主流,以至于将接管我们的世界。

因此,如果这是您第一次阅读这些新兴技术,您绝对应该做更多的研究并以自己的方式利用它们,以便抓住早期的机会。

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