PEPE’s TCT Model Distribution Predicts The Top Of The Rally

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-04-23Last updated on 2026-04-23

Abstract

Crypto analyst The Composite Trader predicts that PEPE could rally to $0.004 based on its TCT model distribution, though it may drop to $0.0038 afterward. He notes that PEPE may have formed a "naked low," indicating weak accumulation and a potential setup for bearish reversals. While not a guaranteed scenario, he is monitoring lower timeframes for confirmation before taking positions. Another analyst, Sweep, suggests PEPE is days away from a major upward move, with signs of a market bottom. Despite a recent 3% drop to ~$0.000003764, whale activity—including a $3 million PEPE withdrawal from Coinbase—hints at accumulation ahead of a potential rally. Broader crypto market optimism, fueled by possible de-escalation in U.S.-Iran tensions, may also support meme coins.

Crypto analyst, the Composite Trader, has highlighted PEPE’s TCT model distribution, which hints at a massive rally for the meme coin. The analyst also alluded to Bitcoin’s price action to explain why there is a massive opportunity at the current levels.

PEPE’s TCT Model Distribution Points To Rally To $0.004

In an X post, the Composite Trader shared an accompanying chart showing that PEPE could rally to $0.004, the TCT model distribution point. The chart also showed that the meme coin could then drop to $0.0038 after this rally. The analyst also commented on the current price action, noting how the meme coin may have formed a naked low.

The Composite Trader explained that when an altcoin puts in a naked low, it lacks the accumulative strength that is needed to deliver a sustainable reversal. As such, the focus is to monitor for deviations of the swing highs for potential bearish reversal setups. He added that the meme coin may be setting up for an extremely high-quality contextual environment for bearish reversals.

Source: Chart from The Composite Trader on X

He stated that this is a possibility when the move up also creates high-quality exhaustion, with price taking the high while leaving all the lows intact. The Composite Trader also alluded to other major cryptos, like Bitcoin, and where they are currently trading, which creates a high-probability environment for massive TCT opportunities.

Commenting on his accompanying chart, he noted that this prediction is not a ‘must-happen’ scenario but that he is just following the price action on the lower timeframe and waiting for high-quality confirmations before deciding whether to go long or short. The analyst added that PEPE can always search for swing highs higher before reversing to the downside.

Days Away From A Massive Move

Crypto analyst Sweep stated that PEPE is days away from a massive move, with his accompanying chart indicating that the meme coin has already bottomed. However, the analyst didn’t provide a target for how high it could reach on this move to the upside. It is worth noting that the crypto market is already rebounding amid optimism that the U.S.-Iran war could end soon.

A positive for meme coin is that crypto whales are accumulating the meme coin, likely in anticipation of a rally to the upside. On-chain analytics platform Lookonchain revealed that a particular crypto whale withdrew 800 billion PEPE, worth $3 million, from crypto exchange Coinbase. This whale is said to have withdrawn 600 billion PEPE, worth $7.32 million at the time, but is now down $5 million on their holdings.

At the time of writing, the PEPE price is trading at around $0.000003764, down almost 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

PEPE trading at $0.0000038 on the 1D chart | Source: PEPEUSDT on Tradingview.com

Related Questions

QWhat does the Composite Trader's TCT model distribution predict for PEPE's price?

AThe Composite Trader's TCT model distribution predicts that PEPE could rally to $0.004 and then potentially drop to $0.0038.

QWhat is a 'naked low' in the context of an altcoin's price action, according to the analyst?

AA 'naked low' is when an altcoin's price low lacks the accumulative strength needed for a sustainable reversal, making it a setup to monitor for deviations at swing highs for potential bearish reversals.

QWhat on-chain activity suggests that crypto whales are anticipating a PEPE rally?

AOn-chain analytics platform Lookonchain revealed that a crypto whale withdrew 800 billion PEPE, worth $3 million, from Coinbase, indicating accumulation in anticipation of a price rally.

QWhat is the current trading price of PEPE as mentioned in the article?

AAt the time of writing, PEPE is trading at around $0.000003764, down almost 3% in the last 24 hours.

QAccording to analyst Sweep, what is the expected timeline for a significant price move in PEPE?

AAnalyst Sweep stated that PEPE is days away from a massive move, with his chart indicating that the meme coin has already bottomed.

Related Reads

Warsh's Debut: Will the FED Chair Who Knows Crypto Best Bring Surprises or Shocks to the Market?

Kevin Warsh, the new Federal Reserve Chairman, prepares for his inaugural press conference amidst a challenging macroeconomic landscape: resurgent inflation, a bond market sell-off, and political pressure from President Trump for rate cuts. Uniquely, Warsh holds indirect investments in over 20 crypto and Web3 entities (e.g., Solana, dYdX), making him the first Fed Chair with disclosed crypto exposure. His stance may combine a hawkish, inflation-focused monetary policy with a crypto-friendly regulatory philosophy that shifts from Powell’s “same risk, same rule” approach toward a framework acknowledging blockchain’s productivity value. Warsh’s leadership could impact crypto markets across three dimensions: a paradigm shift in regulation (potentially accelerating pro-innovation legislation and stable币 rules), a re-pricing of risk premiums based on clearer communication and his view of AI as a structural disinflationary force, and a long-term reallocation of global institutional capital driven by increased legitimacy. Two potential scenarios for the press conference are outlined. A “positive surprise” would involve a dovish-leaning tone on rates coupled with signals of regulatory openness, potentially boosting crypto asset valuations. Conversely, a “negative shock” would see a more hawkish-than-expected stance on inflation and rates, triggering a broad risk-asset selloff that crypto markets would not escape. While ethics rules required Warsh to divest his crypto holdings upon confirmation, his deep understanding of the technology may fundamentally lower policy uncertainty and build a more receptive long-term foundation for digital assets’ integration into the mainstream financial system.

marsbit8h ago

Warsh's Debut: Will the FED Chair Who Knows Crypto Best Bring Surprises or Shocks to the Market?

marsbit8h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of S (S) are presented below.

活动图片