山寨币暴跌,TRON 却守住了 0.3 美元

ambcryptoPubblicato 2025-10-13Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-10-13

Introduzione

当市场准备迎接又一个动荡的一周时,TRON 的韧性还能保持吗?

TRX 的根本性弱点是什么?

网络活动和交易所余额没有显示出恐慌性抛售,为潜在的短期复苏留下了空间。

TRX/BTC 的相对强度意味着什么?

TRX/BTC 上涨,而其他主要资产的 BTC 对则下跌,显示出 TRON 相对的韧性。然而,投资者仍应保持谨慎。

TRON [TRX]于 10 月 11 日跌至 0.30 美元的波动低点,在周五的抛售期间下跌了 10.98%。

Coin Days Destroyed (CDD)显示,TRX 链上波动较小,这意味着价格波动主要由交易所内部驱动。有报告支持这一观点,称非中心化交易所上线的代币跌幅较小。

无论导致山寨币如此剧烈抛售的具体原因是什么,持有者和幸存者都必须制定下一步计划。

TRX 坚守阵地,而同行则遭遇损失

分析师CrazzyBlockk在CryptoQuant Insights的一篇文章中指出,波场币 (TRON) 在此次大规模抛售中是个例外。以太坊 [ETH]和Solana [SOL]等其他领先的加密资产相对于比特币 [BTC]的价值也迅速下跌。

这在比较BTC对 TRX、ETH 和 SOL的表现的图表中很明显。

10月11日,TRX/BTC上涨2.1%,ETH/BTC下跌3.86%,SOL/BTC下跌8.27%。

投资者和交易者应该记住,TRX/BTC 对在 1 天图上仍然呈现看跌结构,并且处于可追溯至 7 月底的关键支撑位。

当然,与其他主要资产相比,比特币的强势令人鼓舞,但谨慎也是必要的。

TRON 在恐慌面前表现出的韧性

在最近的一份报告中,AMBCrypto解释了为什么可能突破 0.37 美元。

尽管遭遇抛售,但0.3美元的支撑位仍然得到守住。正如日线图所示,该支撑位自7月以来一直存在。

当 TRX 无法攀升至 0.353 美元(白色)以上,并被迫跌破 10 月 2 日创下的 0.33 美元低点时,日线图上的看跌结构得到确认。

20日和50日均线均向下倾斜,资金流量指数(MFI)保持在50以下,表明动能利好卖方。因此,跌破0.3美元可能开启下一轮下跌。

每周前景仍然有利于长期持有者

虽然该结构在日线图上看跌,但在周线图上看涨。因此,波段交易者不应急于做空。

在CryptoQuant Insights的一篇文章中,分析师Darkfost指出,TRON 仅比其历史最高价低 12.57%。

自3月份市场回调以来,TRX截至10月份的跌幅均未超过10%。该分析师表示,这体现了该山寨币的韧性。

事实上,即使在周五的暴跌之后,TRX 的整体市场稳定性也与较弱的 Layer-1 资产形成了鲜明对比。

交易员们正在关注比特币的下一步走势,因为 10 月 13 日 BTC 的走势可能决定短期走势。如果 BTC 企稳,TRON 可能会迅速回升至 0.33-0.35 美元区间。

Letture associate

South Korea’s KB Financial Completes Stablecoin Pilot As Lawmakers Press For Regulatory Framework

South Korea's KB Financial Group has completed a Proof-of-Concept (PoC) for a won-denominated stablecoin in partnership with several companies. The pilot integrated the entire financial process—from stablecoin issuance to offline payments, merchant settlements, and international remittances—into a single blockchain-based workflow. A key test involved offline payments at a coffee shop via QR code without requiring a digital wallet. For international transfers, the model converted the won stablecoin to a dollar stablecoin, completing the process within three minutes and reducing fees by approximately 87% compared to traditional methods. KB aims to launch services once digital asset regulations are established. However, South Korea's Digital Asset Act, which would establish rules for such stablecoins, faces significant delays due to a disagreement between the Financial Services Commission (FSC) and the Bank of Korea (BOK). The central bank advocates for a consortium of banks to hold a majority stake in any issuer, while the FSC worries this could stifle innovation and tech firm participation. Lawmakers and experts have urged the National Assembly to prioritize the legislation, warning that South Korea is falling behind in the global digital asset market despite accounting for 10% of global transactions. Bank of Korea Deputy Governor Chang Cheong-soo acknowledged the potential of won-pegged stablecoins as a competitive future payment method.

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South Korea’s KB Financial Completes Stablecoin Pilot As Lawmakers Press For Regulatory Framework

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The Bond Market Deals a Blow to the AI Bull Market

The article "Bond Market Deals a Blow to the AI Bull Market" discusses how a recent global bond sell-off is threatening to end the AI-driven stock market rally that had been ongoing for about a month and a half. A sharp sell-off in global equity markets began last Friday, with significant declines in indices like South Korea's KOSPI and Japan's Nikkei 225. The primary suspect, according to Morgan Stanley, is the bond market. Key long-term bond yields, such as the U.S. 30-year Treasury and Japan's 10-year government bond, have surged to multi-decade highs. This breach of critical yield levels (like 5% for the 30-year U.S. Treasury) is seen as a dangerous signal that historically precedes risk asset corrections. The root cause is identified as resurgent inflation, fueled by rising oil prices due to renewed Middle East geopolitical tensions, specifically the breakdown of U.S.-Iran talks and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. This has led markets to drastically revise expectations for U.S. Federal Reserve policy, now pricing in a significant chance of future rate hikes instead of cuts. Higher bond yields negatively impact stocks, especially high-growth tech/AI stocks, through two main channels: 1. **Valuation Pressure:** Higher yields increase the discount rate used to value future earnings, making the present value of distant AI-related cash flows less attractive. 2. **Relative Attraction:** Safer government bonds offering ~5% yields reduce the appeal of riskier equity investments in emerging markets and tech sectors. Despite the pressure from bonds, the AI bull market has fundamental support from strong sector earnings (e.g., semiconductor companies). The current situation is described as a "tug-of-war" between bond market turbulence and AI prosperity. However, warnings exist that AI stock valuations have become excessive. For investors, the advice is to increase portfolio flexibility. Suggestions include focusing on specific AI supply chain segments (domestic computing, semiconductors, equipment) and being prepared for continued volatility. The article concludes by noting the market is at a precarious point, caught between geopolitical uncertainty and the AI revolution, requiring careful navigation.

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The Bond Market Deals a Blow to the AI Bull Market

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1.5k Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2024.12.10Aggiornato il 2025.03.21

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