暴跌99%的NFT凭啥翻10倍?老牌NFT Moonbirds的复仇

marsbitPublished on 2025-08-25Last updated on 2025-08-26

NFT 的世界从不缺起伏,但极少有项目能像 Moonbirds 一样,把跌宕演绎到极致。从辉煌的 38.5 ETH 高点到跌落至 0.22 ETH 的深渊,然后在短短三个月内,它完成了一次惊心动魄的逆转。

转折点出现在 Spencer 收购 Moonbirds 的那一刻。从巅峰到坠落,再到重生,它走过了数字藏品里最疯狂的一条曲线,而 Spencer 则站在舞台中央,把一个被遗忘的项目,重塑为加密圈最炙手可热的 NFT。

巅峰开局

2022 年 4 月 16 日,由 Digg 联合创始人 Kevin Rose 创建的 Moonbirds 正式亮相,铸造价 2.5 ETH。7,875 枚 NFT 通过白名单在 48 小时内一扫而空。持有者相信自己买到的不只是像素猫头鹰,而是 PROOF 生态的核心门票——一个仅限 1000 名顶级 NFT 收藏家与艺术家的私密社群。

项目铸造当天就发生了一件小插曲。COO Ryan Carson 被发现花了 58 万美元扫下稀有 Moonbirds,作为掌握稀有度数据的内部人员,精准“狙击”无异于赤裸裸的内幕交易。社区在Discord抨击内部交易,迫于舆论压力,Carson 在九天后宣布辞职,转身去创立自己的 NFT 基金 121G。

这件事情罕见的没有成为 Moonbirds 的滑铁卢,市场情绪依旧火热。地板价从 3 ETH 到 6 ETH,再到 13 ETH,最后冲上 38.5 ETH。不到一周,早期铸造者就迎来 15 倍回报,这是 NFT 史上最快的造富神话之一。

Fun Fact: Moonbirds 当时还引入了「Nesting」机制。简单来说,就是“软质押”:Moonbirds 会被锁在持有者的钱包里,不能交易,但能赚取额外奖励。这个设计让原本想短线套现的玩家变成了长线党。

 Orange Cap Games

信任崩塌

然而,转折点很快到来。同年8月5日,Rose 做出了一个让整个社区震惊的决定:未经社区讨论,单方面宣布 Moonbirds 将采用 CC0 协议。这意味着持有者失去了NFT的独家商业化权利,即任何人都可以使用Moonbirds图像进行商业活动。

对许多人而言,这是一次赤裸裸的背叛。这是领导层与社区之间第一次真正的裂痕,而阴影从此笼罩着 Moonbirds。

彼时,受 XCopy 加密艺术家的影响,CC0 在艺术领域蔚然成风。开放版权,意味着作品能更容易被二次创作、做成梗图、做成周边,从而扩大曝光度。对单件艺术品来说,这或许是放大影响力的捷径。可问题是,Moonbirds 并不是单件艺术品,而是一个 PFP 系列。PFP 的逻辑与 CC0 相违背,头像本身就是 IP 的入口,持有者正是因为其独占性才愿意投入时间与金钱去打造它。

反弹声浪极其猛烈。

 Orange Cap Games

时隔三年,推特KOL @waleswoosh 回顾此事时说,社区对CC0的恐慌现在看来其实有些夸大了,毕竟真正能成功把 PFP 授权商业化的持有者少之又少。

但在那个时刻,Rose 的一次失误与糟糕的沟通,点燃了整个社群的不满。

Moonbirds 的衰落也从此开始。

从 2022 年 8 月到 2023 年底,Moonbirds 的地板从 19 ETH 跌到不足 2 ETH。

Fun Fact: 那时候几乎所有项目都在出周边,Moonbirds 也不例外。官方给参与 Nesting 的持有者空投了一波独家纪念品。作者本人也领过,说实话,对下面这句评论感同身受。

 Orange Cap Games

沉默时代

2024 年 2 月,Bored Ape Yacht Club 的母公司 Yuga Labs 收购了 Proof 及其旗下项目,其中包括 Moonbirds。消息一出,OpenSea CMO Adam Hollander 直言这是“一团糟”,更直言不讳地补刀:“Moonbirds 是 NFT 史上最差的运营案例之一。他们赚了接近一亿美元,却没有兑现承诺。”

收购带来了一丝短暂的希望。持有者被告知 Moonbirds 将整合进 Otherside 元宇宙。收购消息短暂刺激地板价从1.5 ETH反弹至2.5 ETH,但仅维持了两周。Yuga 试图修补裂痕,将版权模式从 CC0 改回持有者独占商业权利,并推出全新的 3D 头像,用于动画和 Otherside 的整合。

可惜,这些努力并没有打动社群。2024 年 8 月,地板价狂跌至 0.22 ETH,年底才缓慢回升到 0.8 ETH。

对绝大多数人而言,这个项目似乎早已名存实亡。

Fun Fact: Kevin Rose 曾公开承认,他靠 K 他命来缓解运营 Moonbirds 的压力。当 Proof 被 Yuga Labs 收购后,评论区出现了一些有趣的声音。

 Orange Cap Games

这个叫 Spencer 的人是谁?

如果你也有同样的疑问,那你来对地方了。

 Orange Cap Games

2025年5月31日,Moonbirds 被 Orange Cap Games 收购的消息在推特上公布。Yuga Labs 联合创始人在公告中表示:“Moonbirds 需要一个把月鸟视为中心的团队,而 Orange Cap Games 是带它们发挥潜能的不二之选。”

聚光灯下站着 Spencer,Orange Cap Games 的创始人。从这一刻起,Moonbirds 的命运开始逆转。

与过去那些“宏大叙事”不同,Spencer 上任后并没有抛出庞大的路线图。他甚至直接表态:“我们不会去完成 Moonbirds 的旧愿景,而是要打造自己的路线图。有些人不会喜欢这样,但没关系。”

这句话听起来朴素,但正是这种真实感让人重新燃起信心。经历过 CC0 的争议、领导层的动荡,Moonbirds 社区需要的不是空洞承诺,而是一个能持续沟通、能站出来带头的人。Spencer 用最原始的方式把信任一点点砌了回来:疯狂发帖挺 Moonbirds,不厌其烦地回答社区的问题,扛下所有质疑,成为持有者心中最坚实的中坚力量。

Moonbirds重获新生,社区凝聚力达到前所未有的高度。

7月21日,Spencer在推特上总结了自 Orange Cap Games接手后的51天里程碑:OpenSea 直接换上了 Moonbird 作为官方头像;系列连续五天霸榜以太坊 NFTs 交易榜;Telegram 社群突破 2.5 万活跃成员;140万美元资金进入抽奖池里以用来购买贴纸。

 Orange Cap Games

号召 Birb Army

自 Spencer 接手时的 0.3 ETH 低点,到上周的 3.9 ETH,Moonbirds 的地板已经反弹超过 1000%。一个在 2025 年初看似走到尽头的系列,如今却再次振翅高飞。

这并不是偶然。早在 2023 年 NFT 市场最寒冷的冬天,Spencer 就做过一次看似疯狂的决定:他从 Three Arrows Capital 的破产清算中,以六位数的中等价格扫下了整整 144 只 Pudgy Penguins,还公开表示不打算出售。当时看似疯狂的举动,最后帮他赚了 1000 多万美元。

这种"钻石手"态度向市场传递了明确信号:Spencer 不是短期投机者,而是真正的长期建设者。

通过 Orange Cap Games,Spencer 把 Pudgy Penguins 的 IP 做成了卡牌游戏 Vibes TCG,创收超过 150 万美元,在线对局次数突破 35 万。这个活生生的例子证明了NFT不只是投机工具,而是可以"破圈"进入主流市场的真实IP。

 Orange Cap Games

当他宣布接手 Moonbirds 时,社群很自然地把希望投射在他身上,或许 Moonbirds 也能复制 Pudgy Penguins 的成功轨迹。 毕竟胖企鹅也曾跌入低谷,但在正确的运营下重新焕发了活力。

这种熟悉的剧情,让社区的心态发生了根本性转变:从“什么时候卖掉”变成了“为什么要留住”。Moonbirds 不再只是投机者的临时筹码,而逐渐被视为一个正在建设中的品牌资产。

而在推特上,这意味着重新夺回 CT 的注意力,最直接的方法就是获得足够高的讨论度。Birb Army 被他一点点号召起来,Moonbirds 也在推特上悄然立下了自己的一席之地。

但对月鸟社区来说,价格的反弹只是表层现象,真正反弹的,是信念。

Spencer 的方法论其实很简单:最好的营销,不是眼花缭乱的路线图,也不是动辄上亿的虚幻承诺,而是踏实做事,让社区感到自己正在共同参与一个有价值的建设。

换句话说,这一切不过是一次对 Spencer 的押注,而从眼下的结果来看,市场显然选择相信他。

 Orange Cap Games

月鸟归来

对 Moonbirds 来说,故事才刚刚开始。

在最近的一次访谈中,Spencer 谈到他的分阶段计划:第 0 步是唤醒社区,第 1 步是把 Moonbirds 打造成一个 IP 平台,第 2 步则是交付产品与合作。

“在五年内,我希望Moonbirds成为一个无处不在的IP,成为每个家庭都能认识的东西,商店货架上有它的实体产品,并成为一个能吸引更多新人进入这个领域的数字化存在。”

如今,势头已经显现。2025 年 8 月 18 日,Moonbirds 成为第一个登上 Kaito 榜单的 NFT 项目,象征它的影响力正在突破核心圈层。与此同时,外界对潜在代币的猜测,以及 Spencer 与 Pudgy Penguins 创办人 Luca Netz 的关系,也让期待值不断升温。

月鸟归来,这一次他们或许不再只是过客。

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