华尔街巨鲸撤退,散户大军能否接盘?ETH迎来终极流动性考验!

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-08-25Last updated on 2025-08-25

Abstract

ETF 流出量达到 2.41 亿美元,但链上数据显示散户交易者仍在坚守阵地。

以太坊 [ETH] 的反弹显示出华尔街和普通民众之间的势头出现分歧。

尽管数据显示草根活动日益活跃,但在美国上市的以太坊 ETF 刚刚录得 15 周以来的首次资金流出,流出金额达 2.41 亿美元。

以太坊上的交易失败数量(有时是 DEX 交易中零售驱动的爆发的副产品)已飙升至 20 万以上,这种模式此前标志着价格触底并引发复苏。

以下是概要。

机构资金流动稍事喘息

美国以太坊 ETF打破了连续 15 周的资金流入势头,投资者在 8 月 22 日当周流入资金 2.41 亿美元。

损失主要发生在本周初。对通胀数据高于预期的担忧引发了一波赎回潮,周二单日流出金额达4.29亿美元,为推出以来第二大赎回额。

美联储随后的鸽派立场缓解了市场紧张情绪,帮助 ETH 回升至新高,并引发了周末的资金流入。

然而,反弹不足以抵消早先的撤资,导致 ETF 出现罕见的周净回落。

尽管 ETF 回调,草根活动依然活跃

以太坊的失败交易(在最近的价格触底期间飙升至 200,000 笔以上)显示出链上压力,这通常与更高的零售参与度有关。

虽然这些峰值并不与 DEX 交易量的突然激增完全重叠,但整个夏季 DEX 的交易活动一直保持强劲。

这意味着,即使机构从美国上市的以太坊 ETF 中撤出了 2.41 亿美元,小型交易者仍然活跃在链上。

市场情绪出现了分歧。一方面,传统市场谨慎退出;另一方面,坚韧的草根资金流继续支撑以太坊的复苏。

ETH保持稳定

截至发稿时,以太坊交易价格为 4,724 美元,当日下跌 1.09%,此前曾短暂测试 4,816 美元附近的阻力位。

本周早些时候的反弹将 ETH 推高至其短期支撑位之上,9 天 SMA 为 4,465 美元,21 天 SMA 为 4,295 美元。

动量指标显示有所降温,但仍保持积极态势:RSI 徘徊在 63,表明 ETH 尚未超买,而 MACD 线保持在信号线上方,保持看涨情绪不变。

飙升后的盘整阶段表明了健康的停顿,以太坊保持了近期的大部分涨幅,并为进一步上涨保持了强劲的技术基础。

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