3300万美元疯狂抢购BONK!市场过热恐引发回调风险?

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-07-21Last updated on 2025-07-21

Abstract

BONK 的收益可能会受到更广泛的市场分销压力的阻碍。

关键要点

现货投资者和精明投资者已从市场上抢购了价值超过 3300 万美元的 BONK,这增加了维持当前涨势的压力。

Bonk [BONK]保持了看涨势头,过去一周上涨了 38%,并且似乎有望继续保持这一势头。

分析显示,在此期间吸筹活动有所加强。然而,更广泛的市场布局仍在持续拖累 BONK 的价格——即便其正接近潜在突破。

投资者继续积累

过去一周,BONK 投资者加大了持仓力度,目前持仓总额已达 3322 万美元。

根据 CoinGlass 的现货交易所 Netflow数据,现货市场参与者引领了这一趋势,购买了价值 3144 万美元的 BONK。

这些代币被转移到私人钱包,表明了长期投资前景,这一举措在历史上往往先于市场反弹。

智能货币投资者又贡献了 178 万美元。Nansen 表示,尽管金额相对较小,但这笔资金是过去一周 Solana 生态系统中 memecoin 的最大一笔智能货币流入。

从历史上看,BONK 的聪明资金持有者以盈利押注而闻名,这表明这种资本流入可能反映了对即将到来的反弹的预期。

衍生品信号看涨情绪

衍生品交易员也加入了竞争。截至撰写本文时,未平仓合约加权融资利率 (OGR) 仍维持在正值之上。

这一正值表明,大多数活跃衍生品合约都是多头仓位。融资利率为0.0114%,这意味着多头交易者需要支付溢价来维持其仓位。

AMBCrypto 分析显示,BONK 已经突破看涨图表模式,上行目标为 0.00003900 美元。

然而,仍然存在两个主要阻力位:0.00003461 美元(已经拒绝价格一次)和前方 0.00003680 美元。

鉴于目前的积累速度,BONK 似乎处于有利地位,可以挑战这些水平,并可能延续其涨势。

不过,持续看涨突破的最大障碍仍然是整个市场的分布。

分发阶段继续

累积/派发 (A/D) 比率与 BONK 的前景形成了鲜明对比。尽管现货市场和精明投资者都在积极买入,但整体市场仍处于派发阶段。

仅在过去 24 小时内,BONK 总发行量就达到了 31.88 万亿,这意味着出售的代币数量多于购买的数量。

截至发稿时,A/D指标略有上升,表明派发速度可能正在放缓。如果这种趋势持续下去,BONK可能会重拾其长期看涨轨迹。

然而,如果分销恢复下降趋势,即使突破当前的看涨图表形态,也可能会抑制 BONK 的上行潜力。

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