8月将会是上车最后的窗口期, 错过了8月等于错过了本轮牛市 !

币界网Published on 2024-07-31Last updated on 2024-07-31

币界网报道:

当前行情分析及未来展望

1. 行情回顾与对比

2020年牛市回顾:

时间节点:2020年8月行情加速,9月市场正式突破,从9800美元一路上涨至66,000美元。

模式对比:目前的行情似乎提前了一个月,预期2024年8月可能是加速阶段的开始,与2020年的模式相似。

7月行情总结:

大饼走势:比特币从低点5万3冲破7万,显著回升。尽管7月初市场下跌,但特朗普事件后全球注意力重新聚焦,加密市场重回牛市走势。

未来展望:8月可能是本轮牛市的最后上车窗口期。预计8月将进入加速阶段,牛市将持续6个月以上,明年2-3月大饼有可能达到15万美元的目标。

2. ETF市场动态

以太坊ETF:

资金流入:以太坊ETF最近出现了资金净流入,3370万美元。灰度ETHE的砸盘量减少至1.2亿美元,贝莱德等机构也有资金流入。

市场反应:若灰度ETHE的大规模砸盘在本周消退,预计接下来两周以太坊ETF的利好将显现,ETH走势可能变强。

比特币ETF:

资金流出:比特币ETF出现1800万美元的资金外流,GBTC是主要流出源。尽管如此,贝莱德作为补仓主力,流入量与流出量大致相当,影响相对有限。

市场稳定:尽管资金流出,但比特币的走势相对平稳。

3. 操作建议

8月的策略:

上车机会:预计8月将是本轮牛市的加速阶段,建议在8月初考虑进场,错过了这个机会可能会影响牛市收益。

风险控制:尽管市场前景看好,但应保持风险控制,设置合理的止损和止盈点。

总结

当前行情与2020年的牛市模式有相似之处,预计8月将进入加速阶段,牛市将持续至明年2-3月。以太坊ETF近期资金流入情况良好,可能带来短期利好;比特币ETF资金流出虽有,但影响相对有限。接下来继续保持关注市场动态,合理制定投资策略,以把握牛市机会。

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