链上流动性游戏:开发者、狙击者与交易者的层层猎杀

Odaily星球日报Pubblicato 2024-06-05Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-06-05

Introduzione

金字塔顶端的那些人收获了大部分的回报。

原文作者:post-goa

原文编译:深潮 TechFlow

根据我的研究,以下是对玩链上流动性游戏的角色的简要总结。

链上流动性游戏:开发者、狙击者与交易者的层层猎杀

开发者和内部人士

虚假实用性缓慢拉盘或“被利用”:

  • 这些在初期的 AI 热潮中非常流行,因为当时没有人真正理解 AI,但每个人都希望早期接触。

  • 他们从未完成超过 1% 的路线图,通常由意见领袖(KOLs)炒作。

  • 团队通常在合约启动时分配大量供应给自己,然后在其他人之前进行分配。这些代币随后被隐藏在多个钱包中,然后卖出。

  • 在初始拉升后缓慢拉盘或在几周的拉盘后遭遇漏洞,并在积累了大规模市值(20-100 百万)后迅速跑路。

  • 牵涉到反复发布跟随当前热门叙事的虚假项目的团伙。这些项目通常是由更成功的大型风险投资支持的项目衍生而来。

程序化狙击者

定制机器人:

  • 系统性狙击多个 ETH 项目的定制机器人。

  • 机器人根据智能合约和交易量遵循特定参数。

  • 目标是从许多失败或跑路的狙击中在少数几个项目上实现 10-100 倍的收益,几乎像是一种收益形式。

手动狙击者(ETH)

最赚钱的链上交易者之一:

  • 搜索发现新的合约地址,或通过内部消息获得合约地址。

  • 模拟合约以检查其安全性和确定潜力的其他指标,或者了解团队背景。

  • 在有前景的合约启动时超出其他狙击者出价。

  • 在没有反狙击防御或未使用 Fjord 等预启动平台的有前途的链上项目或隐秘项目启动时,抢购大量供应。

  • 使用多个钱包狙击以持有大量供应,超过 1% 。

  • 在很多情况下,项目受制于狙击者,狙击者可以在早期阶段将项目砸到零。

  • 许多狙击者进入项目后彼此博弈,希望“愚蠢的钱”进入,并在市值达到 500 k-1 百万时抛售,然后项目死亡。这种情况每天都发生在 ETH 主网上。

  • 结合一些基本分析和机器学习,确定哪些合约可能带来超过 5 百万市值或更多的盈利启动的狙击者在过去一年表现显著优于其他人。

  • 大多数狙击者持有代币的时间不到几个小时。

链上数据交易者

跟踪狙击者和内部人士的行动:

  • 跟踪盈利(最高 PNL)钱包的动作。

  • 跟踪交易量和持有者警报。

  • 通常在狙击者抛售后购买强势项目;或者,即使知道狙击者持有大量供应,如果启动非常有前途,他们也会购买。

  • 通常会对新启动项目进行一些基本分析或叙事分析。

  • 长期持有者。

  • 由于链上交易成为该领域日益增长的内容板块,并且更多链上服务可供零售使用,因此其受欢迎程度有所稀释并增加。

  • 是上述参与者的退出流动性。

  • 这些交易者经常在新启动项目上相互博弈,这些项目最终将归零。只是看谁更早介入。

  • 依赖于愚蠢的加密推特(CT)、意见领袖(KOLs)或其他后来的链上交易者作为退出流动性。

其他交易者

尚未学会使用 Etherscan 或如何检查代币的基本数据指标:

  • 从呼叫群组、意见领袖(KOLs)和加密推特(CT)获取信息。

  • 速度较慢的交易者,倾向于购买炒作。

  • 相信加密货币在投机之外具有实用性。

  • 在叙事上落后一步。

  • 可能只在该领域待了不到一年。

  • 这些交易者很可能已经放弃购买新的实用性项目或迷因币。或者他们慢慢开始学习链上交易并逐渐升级到上述类别。

总结

链上交易是一场开发者、狙击者、链上数据交易者和其他人的流动性游戏。随着链上领域进入的流动性减少,参与者之间的竞争变得更加激烈,结果是金字塔顶端的那些人收获了大部分的回报。

Letture associate

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