空投申领即将开放,速览Mode Network(MODE)估值预期

Odaily星球日报Published on 2024-05-07Last updated on 2024-05-07

Abstract

Layer2估值逻辑相对清晰,TVL加权之后MODE的价格区间会落在哪个位置?

原创 | Odaily星球日报

作者 | Azuma

空投申领即将开放,速览Mode Network(MODE)估值预期

五一期间,基于 OP Stack 构建的 Layer 2 网络 Mode Network 宣布,将于 5 月 7 日推出治理代币 MODE,并将于 UTC 当日 11: 00 (北京时间 19: 00)正式开放第一季的空投申领,目前申领主页(Claim.mode.network)已开放,但暂时仍无法看到具体的空投分配额度。

空投申领即将开放,速览Mode Network(MODE)估值预期

Mode Network 基础信息概述

从定位上看,Mode Network 是一个聚焦于 DeFi 服务的模块化 Layer 2 网络,该网络基于 OP Stack 构建,且已通过集成 Celestia 的 DA 方案来构建了 Layer 3 网络 Mode Flare。

与其他 Layer 2 不同,Mode Network 最大的特点在于将协议层内置合约收入的共享激励机制,通过将排序器收益的部分利润分享而出,让 Dapp 及用户具备协同工作的经济动力。

L2BEAT 数据显示,Mode Network 当前的锁仓总价值(TVL)约为 6.03 亿美元,在所有 Layer 2 之中排名第 10 ,距离前方的 zkSync Era、Linea 等更具知名度的 Layer 2 仅有 2 亿美元左右的差额。

空投申领即将开放,速览Mode Network(MODE)估值预期

生态版图方面,Mode Network 官方曾提到该网络已集成了上百个外部应用,比如 The Graph、LayerZero、Pyth、Etherfi、Renzo、Safe 等等,且该网络还拥有超过 30 个原生应用,包括 Ionic、KIM、Ironclad 等等。如其定位,Mode Network 之上的应用类型也主要以 DeFi 服务为主。

网络活性方面,截至第一季空投结束时,Mode Network 合计共有 45 万个活跃地址,总交易笔数约为 2000 万笔。

MODE 代币经济模型

从效用上看,MODE 在 Mode Network 之上将发挥两项效用,一是作为治理代币决定该网络未来的发展方向,二是作为激励媒介来推动该网络的生态发展。

MODE 的总供应量为 100 亿枚,其中初始流通供应量将为 13 亿枚,流通份额部分来自第一季空投奖励,部分来自基金会和链上财库。分配机制方面,MODE 的分配详情如下:

空投申领即将开放,速览Mode Network(MODE)估值预期

  • 35% 的 MODE 将用于用户及开发者的空投,其中第一季空投分配 5.5% ,第二季空投分配 5% ,剩余代币将在未来的空投轮次中逐步分发;

  • 19% 的 MODE 将分配给投资者,该部分代币将锁仓 12 个月,之后在 24 个月内线性释放;

  • 19% 的 MODE 将分配给早期贡献者,该部分代币也将锁仓 12 个月,之后在 24 个月内线性释放;

  • 27% 的 MODE 将归属于基金会及链上财库,用于生态发展激励。

值得一提的是,Mode Network 官方已解释了基金会及链上财库的运作机制,其中基金会代币主要负责对生态项目进行拨款支持,链上财库代币的使用则需要通过社区治理来决议,继而以激励形式对接至各大应用。这也意味着在 MODE TGE 初期, 13 亿流通份额中可能仅有不到 5.5 亿枚的第一季空投份额(部分空投也会锁仓,下文细讲)出于绝对的可流通状态。

空投申领即将开放,速览Mode Network(MODE)估值预期

空投机制浅析

与当前许多项目的选择一项,Mode Network 也采用了积分机制来衡量社区贡献,用户可通过向该网络桥接资产并使用各类应用来累积积分,积分数额则将影响最终的空投份额。

5 月 5 日,Mode Network 已结束了第一季空投活动,在此之前曾使用过该网络并累积了积分(需要达到某个暂未宣布的最低阈值)的用户均有机会获得项目。不过,Mode Network 也提到快照会在 5 月 7 日前拍摄,若用户在此之前提出资金,其所获得的空投份额有可能出现变化。

此外,为了限制来自于大户的潜在抛压,Mode Network 会对积分排名前 2000 名的地址设置一定的空投锁仓限制 —— 空投启动时可申领 50% , 90 天后可再申领 50% ,且在此期间用户必须将资产保留在 Mode Network 之上,不然会依照比例进行罚没,罚没代币则将流向第二季空投活动。

根据空投规则,第一季 MODE 空投的申领窗口将持续 30 天,未被领取的代币将作为未来奖励分发给开发者及用户。

第一季活动结束之后,Mode Network 紧接着立即启动第二季的空投活动。第二季活动将从 5 月 5 日持续至 9 月 6 日,总计将分配 5% 的代币份额,第一季活动的用户将在第二季活动中获得一定的积分加速。

MODE 估值预期

虽然 MODE 尚未 TGE,但部分盘前交易市场已提前开通了 MODE 的 OTC 交易,或可作为 MODE 今晚开放申领之后的数据参考。

Whale Markets 数据显示,当前 MODE 在平台内的 OTC 交易报价 0.11 美元,对应的初始流通市值(MC)为 1.43 亿美元,对应的全流通估值(FDV)为 11 亿美元。

空投申领即将开放,速览Mode Network(MODE)估值预期

此前,由于 Layer 2 本身的估值模型相对清晰,我们也可以通过对 TVL 进行加权计算,结合现有 Layer 2 项目的 MC 及 FDV 状况进行估值。

空投申领即将开放,速览Mode Network(MODE)估值预期

如上图所示,去掉一些极端异常值之后,可以看到对 MODE 的价格预估大致上落在了 0.098 - 0.24 美元区间,相对更集中于下半区间。

当然了,上述价格仅是我们基于 Mode Network 所处赛道的竞争状况作出的静态估算,考虑到各大 Layer 2 网络在结构设计、风格侧重、流通状况上均存在一定差异,MODE 的价格表现仍需等待开盘之后才有确定性的答案。

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