Bears tighten grip on AVAX as open interest rises alongside falling prices

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-07-24Last updated on 2026-07-24

Abstract

Avalanche's AVAX token price dropped 4.91% in 24 hours, marking one of the largest declines among top cryptocurrencies. This decline occurred alongside a rise in Open Interest, a noticeable drop in spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), and funding rates turning negative, indicating strong bearish sentiment and heightened short-selling activity. The price fell below the crucial $6.50 local support zone, threatening to accelerate the downtrend toward $6.00 or lower. Despite a recent surge in on-chain transactions, AVAX has struggled to break the $7.08 resistance, solidifying a bearish market structure. With Bitcoin also trading below key support levels, overall market pressure is contributing to AVAX's weakness. A cluster of potential short liquidations in the $6.70-$6.85 zone presents a risk for a brief price rebound or short squeeze. Traders are advised to maintain a bearish outlook while remaining cautious of this potential volatility.

Avalanche [AVAX] token prices were down by 4.91% in the past 24 hours. This was among the biggest price drops for crypto assets in the top 35, by market capitalization, CoinMarketCap data showed.

Source: Coinalyze

The price drop came alongside an uptick in Open Interest in the past few hours, even as prices fell below the $6.50 local support zone. The spot CVD declined noticeably, and the funding rates also slipped into negative territory.

In other words, the short-term market expectations were firmly bearish. Let’s see what the price trends hold in store for AVAX bulls.

The Avalanche bulls’ struggles have centered around $7 recently

In a recent report, AMBCrypto detailed how the altcoin’s price trends were stalling even after a 20x surge in daily transactions onchain. The long-term price trend of Avalanche was pointed downward.

It did not help that in the past 24 hours Bitcoin [BTC] fell below the $65.5k local support zone and was trading below $65k too at the time of writing. If this selling persists, it could trigger a bearish market sentiment shift, dragging AVAX further south.

Source: AVAX/USDT on TradingView

The longer-term downtrend saw a new swing low registered at $5.68. On the 12-hour timeframe price chart above, this has given rise to a bearish swing structure. A bullish structure would have come into play had the $7.08 swing high been broken.

It was tested in early July, but not broken. The subsequent rejection has dragged prices lower. Over the past two weeks, AVAX has traded between $6.38 and $6.78.

At press time, the band of support around $6.40 appeared to have been breached. This could accelerate the downtrend and drive prices toward $6 and below in the coming days.

Traders’ call to action- Maintain a bearish bias

As the Coinalyze data showed, short-selling was becoming popular. As bearish conviction takes root in the derivatives market, it could lead to a short squeeze.

Source: CoinGlass

The 2-week AVAX liquidation map underlined this threat precisely. To the north, the $6.70-$6.85 area had a dense cluster of short liquidations. This area can be a key magnetic zone that pulls prices upward briefly, before a continuation of the existing bearish trend.

Therefore, traders can maintain a bearish bias but also be wary of a short squeeze.


Final Summary

  • Avalanche witnessed steady spot selling, a slight uptick in Open Interest, and negative funding rates in recent trading hours- pointing to heightened short-selling.
  • The loss of the $6.50 support zone could push prices toward and below $6.0 next, but traders should beware of a potential short squeeze.

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Related Questions

QWhat is the current short-term market outlook for AVAX based on the article?

AThe short-term market expectations for AVAX are firmly bearish, as indicated by falling prices, negative funding rates, a decline in spot CVD, and an uptick in Open Interest suggesting heightened short-selling.

QWhat key support level for AVAX has been breached according to the analysis?

AThe article states that the support band around $6.40 appears to have been breached, following the earlier loss of the $6.50 local support zone.

QWhat price level could AVAX be driven towards if the downtrend accelerates?

AIf the downtrend accelerates, prices could be driven toward $6 and below in the coming days.

QWhat potential counter-move should traders be wary of despite the bearish bias?

ATraders should be wary of a potential short squeeze, as a dense cluster of short liquidations exists in the $6.70-$6.85 area, which could briefly pull prices upward.

QWhy did the article suggest that a bullish price structure for AVAX did not come into play?

AA bullish structure would have come into play if the $7.08 swing high had been broken. It was tested in early July but rejected, leading to lower prices.

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