TRUMP memecoin slips near $5.4 as whales exit at 50% loss – What now?

ambcryptoPubblicato 2026-01-11Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-01-11

Introduzione

Trump (TRUMP) memecoin declined to around $5.4, continuing a downtrend after failing to reclaim $5.6. The token has been range-bound within a descending channel since peaking near $9.5 two months ago. Whale activity has shifted significantly, with large holders selling consistently for 11 consecutive days after months of accumulation inactivity. One whale sold 437K TRUMP tokens at a 50% loss of $2.35 million, signaling eroding long-term conviction rather than tactical repositioning. Momentum indicators show strengthening bearish control, with price below key EMAs. If selling continues, TRUMP could test support near $5.0–$4.6. A reclaim of the 50 EMA near $5.5 is needed for a potential trend reversal.

Official Trump [TRUMP] memecoin remained inside a descending channel after topping near $9.5 two months ago. Price attempts to reclaim $5.6, fails, leaving the memecoin range-bound.

At press time, TRUMP traded near $5.4 after a modest daily pullback.

That stagnation appeared to pressure long-term holders. Several whales exited positions after months of inactivity.

TRUMP whales exit after deep drawdowns

TRUMP memecoin has recorded a significant shift in sentiment, especially from large holders who jumped to accumulate early last year.

In fact, whales have not made any significant purchases since October 2025, when whales recorded an accumulation for seven consecutive days. In recent days, TRUMP has recorded no whale buy activity for six consecutive days, as per the Whale Buy Activity Indicator on Trading View.

Instead, whales have been consistently selling. Looking at the Whale Trend Analysis metric on Tradingview, whales have sold throughout the past 11 days.

Arkham data captured one such whale activity. According to Arkham, a whale sold his entire Trump holdings after holding for 8 months.

The whale deposited 437k TRUMP tokens worth $2.35 million into Binance. These tokens were purchased for $4.7 million, and with the recent sale, the whale realized $2.35 million in loss.

When whales realize losses exceeding 50%, it often reflects eroding conviction rather than tactical rotation. That behavior suggested capital stepped aside instead of repositioning.

Momentum weakens as sellers dominate

Selling pressure showed up across momentum indicators.

The Directional Movement Index showed a negative index near 30, above the positive index near 21. That configuration reflected strengthening downside control.

On top of that, TRUMP remained below the 50, 100, and 200 EMA levels. Price structure continued to favor sellers.

If distribution persists without matching demand, TRUMP could revisit the 20 EMA near $5.2. A breakdown there could expose the $5.0 zone, with downside risk toward $4.6.

For trend reversal signals, bulls would need a decisive reclaim of the 50 EMA near $5.5. Without that shift, rallies may continue to face supply.

Final Thoughts

TRUMP’s price action reflected more than short-term volatility; it mirrored fading conviction among large holders.
Without renewed accumulation or a reclaim of key EMAs, downside risk may continue to define near-term sentiment.

Domande pertinenti

QWhat is the current trading price of TRUMP memecoin and what key level did it fail to reclaim?

AAt press time, TRUMP traded near $5.4 after failing to reclaim the $5.6 level.

QAccording to the Whale Trend Analysis metric, for how many consecutive days have whales been selling TRUMP?

AWhales have been selling TRUMP throughout the past 11 consecutive days.

QWhat significant loss did a specific whale realize when selling his TRUMP holdings, as reported by Arkham?

AA whale sold his entire TRUMP holdings, realizing a loss of $2.35 million after purchasing the tokens for $4.7 million.

QWhat does the configuration of the Directional Movement Index (negative index above positive index) indicate about the market's momentum?

AThe configuration, with the negative index near 30 above the positive index near 21, reflects strengthening downside control and that sellers are dominating the momentum.

QWhat do bulls need to see for a potential trend reversal in TRUMP's price?

AFor a trend reversal, bulls would need a decisive reclaim of the 50 EMA, which is near the $5.5 level.

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