# Valuation Articoli collegati

Il Centro Notizie HTX fornisce gli articoli più recenti e le analisi più approfondite su "Valuation", coprendo tendenze di mercato, aggiornamenti sui progetti, sviluppi tecnologici e politiche normative nel settore crypto.

From ETH to SOL: Why Will L1s Ultimately Lose to Bitcoin?

The article "From ETH to SOL: Why L1s Will Ultimately Lose to Bitcoin?" argues that Bitcoin (BTC) is increasingly dominating the "cryptomoney" narrative, leaving little room for other Layer-1 (L1) blockchains to compete for monetary premium. The core of the argument is that approximately 81% of the total crypto market cap is invested in assets viewed as money or potential money, with BTC alone accounting for 55%. While L1s like ETH, XRP, BNB, and SOL represent a significant portion of the remaining value, their valuations are not primarily driven by revenue or real economic activity. Data shows that L1 revenues have been declining annually, yet their price-to-earnings ratios have soared, suggesting their market caps are almost entirely propped up by speculation on future monetary premium, not fundamentals. The performance of L1s against BTC further supports this. Since December 2022, eight of the top ten L1s have underperformed BTC, with six lagging by over 40%. Solana (SOL) was a notable exception, outperforming BTC by 87%. However, this gain is put into perspective by its ecosystem's explosive growth: a ~3,000% increase in DeFi TVL, fees, and DEX volume. This indicates that an L1 must achieve astronomical, orders-of-magnitude growth to merely eke out a modest performance lead over BTC. The conclusion is that the trend of BTC consolidating monetary premium at the expense of L1s is irreversible. The narrative that an L1 could become "money" is losing credibility as investors now have a decade of data showing that L1s consistently underperform BTC unless their ecosystems experience extreme, unsustainable growth. Without genuine economic growth, L1s' monetary premium will continue to erode.

coinvoice2 giorni fa 04:07

From ETH to SOL: Why Will L1s Ultimately Lose to Bitcoin?

coinvoice2 giorni fa 04:07

Valuation of $1 Billion, After Five Years of Exploration, Why Did It Suddenly 'Admit Defeat'?

After five years of development, $180 million in funding, and a valuation nearing $1 billion, Farcaster has officially conceded that its Web3 social strategy did not succeed. Co-founder Dan Romero announced a major pivot: abandoning the "social-first" approach to focus entirely on wallet development. Farcaster, launched in 2020, aimed to solve Web2 platform issues like centralized control, user data ownership, and creator monetization through a decentralized protocol. Despite initial traction in 2024—when monthly active users (MAU) briefly surged to 80,000—growth proved unsustainable. MAU later fell to under 20,000 by late 2025, with the platform failing to attract users beyond a highly specific crypto-native audience. Key challenges included high onboarding barriers, heavily insular content, and an inability to compete with mainstream social platforms like X or Instagram. As one observer noted, it’s “easier to add social features to a wallet than to add a wallet to a social product.” Data revealed that Farcaster’s built-in wallet—initially a supplementary feature—showed stronger growth, retention, and usage metrics than its social components. This shift toward wallet-centric utility reflects a broader realization: in Web3, financial tools like transactions, transfers, and token interactions represent a clearer path to product-market fit than social features alone. The company’s acquisition of token launch tool Clanker and integration of AI agent capabilities further signal its commitment to a wallet-driven future. While some long-time users expressed disappointment over the cultural shift, Farcaster’s team has made a pragmatic choice to prioritize sustainable utility over idealized social networking.

比推Ieri 00:55

Valuation of $1 Billion, After Five Years of Exploration, Why Did It Suddenly 'Admit Defeat'?

比推Ieri 00:55

After a Valuation of $1 Billion and Five Years of Exploration, Why Did It 'Admit Defeat'?

After five years of development and raising $180 million at a near $1 billion valuation, Farcaster has officially conceded that its Web3 social strategy did not succeed. The platform, initially designed as a decentralized alternative to Twitter, aimed to address issues like platform monopoly, user data ownership, and creator monetization through an on-chain, protocol-based approach. Despite a brief surge in early 2024—when monthly active users (MAU) peaked at around 80,000—growth quickly stalled. MAU has since declined to under 20,000 by late 2025. Farcaster’s user base remained heavily concentrated within the crypto-native community, failing to attract mainstream users due to high barriers to entry, niche content, and inferior user experience compared to established platforms like X or Instagram. Co-founder Dan Romero announced a strategic pivot from social-first to a wallet-focused product, acknowledging that social alone wasn’t driving sustainable growth. Internal data showed that wallet features—used for transactions, trading, and interacting with dApps—consistently outperformed social modules in user retention and frequency. The shift reflects a broader realization: It’s easier to add social features to a wallet than to build a social product around crypto. While the move has sparked some community discontent, Farcaster is betting that deeper integration with on-chain utilities represents a more viable path to product-market fit.

深潮Ieri 03:51

After a Valuation of $1 Billion and Five Years of Exploration, Why Did It 'Admit Defeat'?

深潮Ieri 03:51

Valuation of $1 Billion, After Five Years of Exploration, Why Did It "Admit Defeat"?

Farcaster, a once-promising decentralized social protocol that raised $180 million and reached a near-$1 billion valuation, has officially pivoted away from its Web3 social networking strategy after 4.5 years of effort. Co-founder Dan Romero announced the shift toward a wallet-first approach, acknowledging that the original vision of a decentralized Twitter alternative did not achieve product-market fit. Despite initial excitement and growth—with monthly active users (MAU) briefly surging to around 80,000 in mid-2024—Farcaster failed to break out beyond the crypto-native user base. Its MAU later declined to under 20,000 by late 2025, revealing structural challenges: high onboarding barriers, highly insular content, and an inability to compete with established platforms like X or Instagram. The protocol’s wallet feature, initially introduced as a supplementary tool, demonstrated stronger retention and usage patterns, leading the team to refocus on wallet-based growth. The recent acquisition of token launch tool Clanker further signals this strategic turn toward financial utility rather than social interaction. The shift has sparked community debate, with long-time users expressing concern over the platform’s cultural change from social networking to transaction-oriented interactions. Nonetheless, Farcaster’s move underscores a broader realization in Web3: that social needs may not be the primary entry point for users, whereas practical tools like wallets offer clearer paths to adoption and value.

marsbitIeri 05:02

Valuation of $1 Billion, After Five Years of Exploration, Why Did It "Admit Defeat"?

marsbitIeri 05:02

From 'Stablecoin First Stock' to 'Ankle Cut' in Stock Price: Why Circle Quickly Fell from the Spotlight into a Revaluation Cycle

From "Stablecoin Unicorn" to "Ankle-Cut" Stock Price: Why Circle Quickly Fell from Its Peak into a Revaluation Cycle Circle, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, experienced a dramatic stock price decline shortly after its IPO in June, dropping from an initial peak of around $260 to approximately $88. This reflects a broader market shift from hype-driven optimism to a more rational reassessment of the stablecoin industry. Multiple factors contributed to this sharp correction. Initially, the stock was significantly overvalued due to market enthusiasm for the "first stablecoin stock" and the high-interest environment that boosted the appeal of its reserve-backed revenue model. As early investors took profits and sentiment cooled, a price correction was inevitable. Increased competition is also pressuring Circle. While USDC is the world's second-largest dollar stablecoin, it faces growing challenges from new stablecoin projects and digital dollar initiatives from traditional financial institutions. The sector is shifting from an oligopoly to intense competition, raising investor concerns about USDC's future growth certainty. Furthermore, macroeconomic interest rate trends pose a fundamental risk to Circle's business model. Its core revenue comes from interest earned on the cash and short-term U.S. Treasuries backing USDC. Expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin a rate-cutting cycle could directly compress this income. Rising operational and distribution costs further squeeze profitability. Analysts hold divergent views on Circle's future. Firms like Mizuho have turned bullish, upgrading the stock and suggesting the sell-off related to its post-IPO lockup expiration may have created a buying opportunity. They point to USDC's continued adoption by mainstream financial institutions. Conversely, analysts at firms like Susquehanna remain pessimistic, maintaining an "Underperform" rating. They warn that lower future interest rates and potential underperformance in USDC growth could continue to pressure the stock price and have lowered their price target. The upcoming end of the post-IPO lockup period, which restricts insiders from selling shares, has added near-term selling pressure, but this is viewed by some as a temporary overhang. Circle's recent Q3 earnings report, which beat expectations for both revenue and profit, shows that these fundamental concerns have not yet materialized, leaving the company's trajectory highly dependent on future interest rates and its ability to maintain and grow USDC's market share amidst fierce competition.

cointelegraph_中文4 h fa

From 'Stablecoin First Stock' to 'Ankle Cut' in Stock Price: Why Circle Quickly Fell from the Spotlight into a Revaluation Cycle

cointelegraph_中文4 h fa

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