Unlocking 20%, $125 Million in Pressure, Can PUMP Hold Up?
"Pump.fun Faces Crucial Test with $125M Token Unlock
Despite a cooldown in the meme coin market, Pump.fun remains one of Web3's top revenue-generating protocols, earning $28.4 million in the past 30 days. The platform has accumulated approximately $1.05 billion in total revenue from over 12 million tokens created.
The protocol now faces its biggest challenge: the first unlock of team and investor tokens. A total of 82.5 billion PUMP tokens (8.25% of total supply, 20.23% of previous circulating supply), valued at around $125 million, have been unlocked. This potential selling pressure is significant compared to the token's 24-hour trading volume of only $28 million.
While Pump.fun uses a portion of its revenue to buy back and burn PUMP tokens, creating buy-side pressure, this support has weakened. The buyback rate was reduced from 100% to 50% of net fees in April 2024. In June 2024, monthly buybacks totaled just $9.2 million, an over 80% drop from its peak. At this rate, selling just 7% of the newly unlocked tokens would offset a full month of buybacks.
Furthermore, this unlock is only the first batch; team and investors still hold another 247.5 billion locked PUMP tokens, with 240 billion community tokens awaiting a release schedule.
Despite these headwinds, PUMP is argued to be a relatively scarce asset in the current market. With a $610 million market cap against $28.4 million in monthly revenue, its valuation is lower than competitors like Hyperliquid. The investment thesis for PUMP is not betting on a single meme coin but on the persistent activity of the meme market and Pump.fun's ability to maintain its position as a key platform. The conclusion suggests that while the unlock tests short-term price resilience, the protocol's underlying revenue strength will determine PUMP's long-term trajectory, potentially making the current dip a viable entry point for long-term accumulation."
Odaily星球日报07/13 01:52
