# Selling Pressure Articoli collegati

Il Centro Notizie HTX fornisce gli articoli più recenti e le analisi più approfondite su "Selling Pressure", coprendo tendenze di mercato, aggiornamenti sui progetti, sviluppi tecnologici e politiche normative nel settore crypto.

How is the 'Bottom Structure' of a Bear Market Formed, and Where Are We Now?

This article analyzes the formation of Bitcoin's bear market "bottom structure" by examining the relationship between cost basis and price action, particularly the behavior of short-term holders (STH). Historically, the cost basis of coins held for 1-3 months (1-3m_RP) has acted as a key resistance level during bear market rallies. This group's supply is often less committed; many entered the market expecting quick gains but were trapped. When the price rebounds to their break-even point, they tend to sell, creating resistance. Data shows that as of mid-April, the 1-3m_RP is approximately $75,400, a level Bitcoin is currently testing for the second time this cycle. The first test in mid-January failed, leading to a pullback. The author suggests a high probability of a similar outcome this time, as historical cycles show the second test rarely results in an immediate reversal. An alternative, less likely scenario is a break above this level, only to face stronger resistance at the broader STH-RP (average cost basis for all short-term holders) near $81,000, where a much larger supply of 2.31 million BTC resides. This could lead to price consolidation around the 1-3m_RP. A definitive bottom structure is confirmed only when the 1-3m_RP trend reverses from down to up, signaling a transition from a bear to a bull market. This process takes time, requiring patience to observe whether breakouts are genuine.

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How is the 'Bottom Structure' of a Bear Market Formed, and Where Are We Now?

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Deciphering the Top Ten Bearish Factors in the Crypto Market: How Severe Is This 'Siege of Bright Summit'?

Title: Decoding the Top 10 Bearish Factors in the Crypto Market: How Severe is This "Siege of Bright Summit"? The crypto market is experiencing a severe downturn, driven by multiple simultaneous pressures: tightening global regulations, escalating geopolitical conflicts, industry leaders exiting, and collapsing retail confidence. This "siege" consists of four major forces. 1. Regulatory Crackdown: The U.S. banking lobby is pushing to ban interest payments on stablecoins, which may reduce short-term appeal but could lead to a compromised solution. The OECD’s Crypto Asset Reporting Framework (CARF) has taken effect in 48 jurisdictions, increasing compliance costs but potentially paving the way for institutional adoption. X (formerly Twitter) has tightened ad policies for crypto projects, raising user acquisition costs. 2. Geopolitical Tensions: Escalating Middle East conflicts and Trump’s tariff hikes have strengthened the U.S. dollar and traditional safe-haven assets, draining liquidity from crypto. Market uncertainty may persist until potential U.S.-China summit talks in late March. 3. Internal Selling Pressure: Bitmain’s Jihan Wu sold over 1,100 BTC to fund AI data center ventures, while Vitalik Buterin sold ETH to support ecosystem development. Key opinion leaders (KOLs) are also reducing exposure, amplifying panic selling. 4. Emotional Meltdown: Searches for "Bitcoin is dead" hit a post-FTX peak, and stablecoin FUD caused brief depegging. An upcoming expose by ZachXBT could reveal insider trading, triggering further sell-offs. Technically, several indicators show extreme oversold conditions, historically suggesting a potential rebound within months. However, if geopolitical talks fail or major scandals emerge, the downturn could worsen. In summary, while 60% of the bearish factors stem from regulations and geopolitics—and 70% may turn bullish long-term—the immediate focus should be on risk management. The market may remain volatile until late March, but surviving the downturn is crucial for participating in a potential recovery.

marsbit02/25 10:45

Deciphering the Top Ten Bearish Factors in the Crypto Market: How Severe Is This 'Siege of Bright Summit'?

marsbit02/25 10:45

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