# Saylor Articoli collegati

Il Centro Notizie HTX fornisce gli articoli più recenti e le analisi più approfondite su "Saylor", coprendo tendenze di mercato, aggiornamenti sui progetti, sviluppi tecnologici e politiche normative nel settore crypto.

Chat with the Godfather of Crypto: $60k Bitcoin is Definitely Not the Bottom, the Real 'Capitulation Moment' is in October

**Summary: Interview with "Crypto Godfather" Michael Terpin on Bitcoin Outlook** Michael Terpin, founder of Transform Ventures and author of "Bitcoin Supercycle," discusses his market views in a podcast. He argues that Bitcoin's price around $60K is likely not the cycle bottom, with odds favoring a further decline to the $48K–$57K range, potentially bottoming in October. Key points include: * **Saylor & STRC:** He clarifies Michael Saylor's recent statement about potentially selling Bitcoin to pay dividends is driven by STRC's retail/ hybrid structure requiring an "escape valve," not a strategic shift. Saylor's large-scale OTC purchases create a floor for Bitcoin's price. * **October Bottom Thesis:** Terpin cites historical patterns (e.g., ~1-year bear markets, Coin Days Destroyed indicator, 23/35-month cycles) pointing to an October bottom. Current selling pressure is largely from leveraged retail liquidations, not whales. * **Cycle Dynamics:** He notes diminishing returns per cycle (e.g., 3000x, 100x, 30x, ~8x) and converging drawdowns. The long-term $1M Bitcoin target by 2033 remains. * **Risks & Narratives:** The real near-term "FTX moment" risk is an advanced AI model attacking a major Ethereum smart contract (e.g., Lido), not quantum computing breaking Bitcoin soon. AI tokens are expected to outperform Bitcoin in the next three years, with profits potentially flowing back into BTC. * **Market Mechanics:** He comments on reported systematic selling by firms like Jane Street and how Wall Street tactics (OTC buying, public market shorting) now influence Bitcoin. * **Supercycle & Design:** Terpin believes Satoshi intentionally aligned Bitcoin's 4-year halving cycle with US election years, influencing global liquidity cycles. He discusses Bitcoin's role in a potential new commodity supercycle driven by currency debasement.

marsbit05/19 01:13

Chat with the Godfather of Crypto: $60k Bitcoin is Definitely Not the Bottom, the Real 'Capitulation Moment' is in October

marsbit05/19 01:13

Saylor Softens Stance, STRC Weakens, Is BTC Facing a Do-or-Die Battle?

**Summary: Bitcoin (BTC) at a Critical Juncture? Saylor's Hint and STRC Softness Spark Concerns** This article examines two recent developments that could pressure Bitcoin's price: Saylor's hinted willingness to sell some of MicroStrategy's (MSTR) BTC holdings and a significant slowdown in the issuance of its Structured Token Receipt Capital (STRC) product. Previously, STR C was viewed as a powerful new source of ongoing demand for Bitcoin, as the funds raised were used to buy more BTC with leverage. However, MicroStrategy CEO Michael Saylor's recent acknowledgment that the company *might* sell BTC to pay dividends undermines the "never sell" narrative that underpins MSTR's valuation premium and the entire STRC-driven demand thesis. While mathematically sustainable if BTC appreciates, forced selling during a market downturn would severely damage the company's balance sheet and reverse much of its recent buying. Simultaneously, the STRC "flywheel" appears to be stalling. Unlike in previous cycles, the STRC price has failed to return to its $100 par value ahead of the May dividend date, indicating zero new BTC purchases via this channel for the current period. The author attributes this "softness" to a saturated market of arbitrage traders after huge inflows in March and April, whose selling pressure kept prices down, as well as higher opportunity costs in a surging stock market. The combination risks starting a "reverse flywheel": No STRC issuance means no new BTC buying, putting downward pressure on BTC's price. This weakens STRC's collateral backing, potentially raising its required yield and making it even less attractive, which further starves BTC of demand. Saylor's comments may be preemptively pricing in this scenario. The article concludes that the near-term direction of BTC hinges on whether STRC can regain its par value and resume meaningful issuance in the coming week. A small, recent STRC issuance and a brief return of positive Coinbase premiums are noted as faintly optimistic signals. However, failure of the STRC model could lead to a sharp BTC correction by removing a key perceived source of support.

marsbit05/09 01:03

Saylor Softens Stance, STRC Weakens, Is BTC Facing a Do-or-Die Battle?

marsbit05/09 01:03

Bitcoin Treasury Companies That Promised Never to Sell Are Now Selling. Why?

The narrative of "never selling" Bitcoin treasuries is unraveling as major holders pivot to using BTC as a liquidity tool. MicroStrategy has formally integrated selling Bitcoin into its financial framework, stating it will sell when beneficial—for instance, to pay dividends if its mNAV ratio falls below 1.22x. CEO Michael Saylor outlined a model where selling BTC is preferable to equity issuance under certain conditions, based on quantified thresholds like a 2.3% annual Bitcoin appreciation break-even. Similarly, Marathon Digital (MARA) sold 15,133 BTC to repay convertible debt, framing it as "balance sheet optimization." Sequans Communications has sold Bitcoin for two consecutive quarters to service maturing convertible bonds, using its BTC holdings as collateral and operational liquidity amidst revenue declines. The shift redefines these companies from pure "belief-based reserves" to leveraged treasuries where capital management decisions—driven by debt obligations, financing costs, and shareholder returns—can override holding dogma. The future path hinges on Bitcoin's price: a bull market above $112,000 would ease financing pressure and absorb tactical sales, while a drop toward $50,000–$58,000 could force more defensive selling to meet liabilities, potentially creating a downward spiral of selling pressure and price declines. Investors must now price in debt maturities, collateral calls, and specific financial triggers alongside Bitcoin exposure.

marsbit05/08 04:51

Bitcoin Treasury Companies That Promised Never to Sell Are Now Selling. Why?

marsbit05/08 04:51

Strategy's 'Money Printer': Is STRC Bitcoin's Savior or Destroyer?

Bitcoin's recent price movement is being heavily influenced by Michael Saylor and his company, MicroStrategy, through a new financial instrument: STRC (Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock). This Nasdaq-listed perpetual preferred stock offers an 11.5% annual dividend, attracting significant capital. Crucially, funds raised from STRC are used to purchase Bitcoin, with a 3x leverage effect—for every $1 from STRC, MicroStrategy adds $2 from MSTR equity to buy $3 worth of BTC. This creates a powerful "flywheel": more STRC sales fuel massive BTC buying, supporting its price and improving MicroStrategy's credit, which in turn makes STRC more attractive to investors. However, this mechanism introduces risks. A significant "ex-dividend arbitrage" pattern has emerged, where traders buy STRC before its monthly dividend, collect the payout, and quickly sell, causing price volatility and potentially driving up Bitcoin's cost basis for MicroStrategy. In response, Saylor has proposed shifting STRC to a semi-monthly dividend to smooth out these effects. Furthermore, STRC's high yield is being integrated into DeFi protocols like Apyx Protocol and Saturn Credit, offering new on-chain yield opportunities. The central concern remains: as MicroStrategy aggressively accumulates over 3.5% of all BTC, it challenges Bitcoin's foundational principle of decentralization, creating a system where a single public company significantly influences the market.

marsbit04/20 08:06

Strategy's 'Money Printer': Is STRC Bitcoin's Savior or Destroyer?

marsbit04/20 08:06

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