# On-chain Analysis Articoli collegati

Il Centro Notizie HTX fornisce gli articoli più recenti e le analisi più approfondite su "On-chain Analysis", coprendo tendenze di mercato, aggiornamenti sui progetti, sviluppi tecnologici e politiche normative nel settore crypto.

Bitcoin at 59,000 Is Not the Bottom, One Last Drop Needed! Chain Data and Liquidity Analysis: Where is BTC's True Bottom?

Based on analysis by trader Mr. Beggar, Bitcoin's (BTC) recent low of $59k is likely not the final cycle bottom. He argues that while a bottom is near, a final downward movement is still probable to target liquidity below that level, making a deeper low healthier for a sustainable reversal. Mr. Beggar's framework combines on-chain data for long-term cycles and liquidity-based technical analysis for shorter-term trades. His "four deep bear buying models" include Cointime Price (market cost weighted by coin holding time) and AVIV (an enhanced MVRV indicator), which currently suggest prices are nearing cyclical bottom zones. While a PSIP (Percent Supply in Profit) signal has flashed below 50%, it alone is not considered definitive; typically, the first signal is not the final bottom. He presents three potential scenarios for the current market: 1) a direct drop from here, 2) an upward liquidity sweep (stop hunt) of the recent high near $67.3k before declining, and 3) a direct reversal without new lows. He heavily discounts the third scenario due to significant un-swept liquidity in the $59k-$62.3k range, suggesting the market must revisit these levels. Mr. Beggar shares that he used on-chain signals to identify potential cycle tops in late 2024/early 2025 and later established low-leverage BTC-denominated short positions. He emphasizes the importance of risk management and staying within one's expertise ("strike zone"), warning against investing in assets like AI/semiconductor stocks simply because they are rising.

marsbit06/26 02:01

Bitcoin at 59,000 Is Not the Bottom, One Last Drop Needed! Chain Data and Liquidity Analysis: Where is BTC's True Bottom?

marsbit06/26 02:01

Ethereum Founder Dumps 100,000 ETH Worth $170M, What’s Going On?

A viral rumor in the crypto space claimed Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin had sold 110,000 ETH (worth ~$170M), sparking fears of a major market downturn. Analysts suggested it could be a bearish signal, comparing it to past sell-offs before crashes. However, the community quickly countered, revealing the transaction was actually by co-founder Joseph Lubin. On-chain analysis showed the ETH was not sold but moved as collateral into a DeFi vault to manage loan liquidation risk, with no tokens entering the open market. Critics called the initial reports exaggerated misinformation and urged verifying data through reliable on-chain tools.

bitcoinist06/09 01:33

Ethereum Founder Dumps 100,000 ETH Worth $170M, What’s Going On?

bitcoinist06/09 01:33

Conversation with Glassnode Analyst: Bitcoin Bull Market Has Restarted, Current Market Still in 'Sell on Rally' Phase

Bitcoin analyst Checkmate believes the cryptocurrency market is now in a bull phase following a likely capitulation event in June, with an 80% probability the $60,000 low marked the bottom. However, he expects a prolonged consolidation period, similar to past cycles. Key resistance levels are identified at $78,000 (short-term cost basis), $85,000 (a critical supply zone and 200-day moving average), and $95,000. Sustained price appreciation requires consistent capital inflows, with institutions expected to enter more aggressively if Bitcoin surpasses $100,000. The discussion extends to macroeconomics, where rising global bond yields signal a loss of trust in government fiscal management. Checkmate argues this reflects a broader monetary regime change, where Bitcoin and gold will serve as primary stores of value outside the traditional system, while fiat currencies like the USD act as mediums of exchange. Finally, Checkmate criticizes proposed Australian capital gains tax reforms, calling them a "wealth grab." The plan to replace a 50% discount for assets held over a year with inflation indexing based on low CPI rates would drastically increase effective tax rates, punishing savers and investors trying to overcome the country's severe housing affordability crisis. He urges public opposition to prevent such policies from spreading globally.

marsbit05/21 09:26

Conversation with Glassnode Analyst: Bitcoin Bull Market Has Restarted, Current Market Still in 'Sell on Rally' Phase

marsbit05/21 09:26

Bitcoin Crowd Euphoria Hits Highest Level Of 2026 After CLARITY Act Progress

Bitcoin surged over 3.5% after the US Senate Banking Committee advanced the CLARITY Act, a crypto regulation bill aimed at providing clearer rules. This news drove Bitcoin crowd sentiment to its most euphoric (or "greediest") level of the year, which on-chain analytics firm Santiment notes is a long-term bullish signal due to increased investor certainty. However, Santiment cautions that such extreme optimism historically precedes short-term bearish pressure, as markets often move opposite to crowd frenzy. Separately, market analyst Ali Martinez reported Bitcoin miners sold approximately 800 BTC (around $64 million) over 96 hours, adding potential near-term selling pressure. While miner selling is not massive, spikes in their outflows have historically preceded price weakness or consolidation. Combining excessive euphoria with miner selling suggests Bitcoin may face corrective movement. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $79,136, down 2.9% in 24 hours.

bitcoinist05/17 13:32

Bitcoin Crowd Euphoria Hits Highest Level Of 2026 After CLARITY Act Progress

bitcoinist05/17 13:32

Bitcoin – What should traders expect after sell pressure hits 3-year-high?

Bitcoin is currently experiencing its strongest selling pressure in three years, as market sell orders significantly outnumber buys. While this intense selling is unlikely to last long and may signal a market bottom followed by consolidation, the overall market structure remains risky for buyers. Despite a rising holder retention rate indicating growing long-term confidence, analysts warn that any price bounce should be viewed as a selling opportunity rather than the start of a recovery, as rallies are hard to sustain under current conditions.

ambcrypto12/23 07:04

Bitcoin – What should traders expect after sell pressure hits 3-year-high?