Bitcoin (BTC) Gains Buying Support, But Data Shows Professional Traders Are Skeptical of a Rally Above $92,000
Based on the provided article, here is a concise English summary:
Bitcoin (BTC) is facing resistance after failing to break above $92,250, leading to a pullback. The article attributes this to macroeconomic uncertainty, including a delayed U.S. jobs report, a softening housing market, and a pause in spot Bitcoin ETF inflows.
Data shows professional traders remain skeptical of a sustained rally above $92,000. The monthly futures premium (basis rate) has remained low, and the demand for protective put options is high, with market makers demanding a 13% premium to sell downside protection on Deribit. This indicates traders are willing to pay a significant cost to hedge against potential price declines.
Furthermore, a bearish signal is emerging from China, where Tether (USDT) is trading at a discount to the official USD/CNY rate. This suggests strong selling pressure and capital flight from the crypto market, a pattern often seen during bearish phases.
The article concludes that while the $90,000 level is providing support, a rapid return to $100,000 is unlikely. It hinges on improved visibility regarding the U.S. job market and real estate sector, which may take longer to materialize than the upcoming Fed policy decision.
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