# Fed Articoli collegati

Il Centro Notizie HTX fornisce gli articoli più recenti e le analisi più approfondite su "Fed", coprendo tendenze di mercato, aggiornamenti sui progetti, sviluppi tecnologici e politiche normative nel settore crypto.

Trump Signs Executive Order, Kraken, Coinbase and Others May Gain Access to Fed Payment Channels

President Trump has signed an executive order, "Incorporating Financial Technology Innovation into the Regulatory Framework," pressuring the Federal Reserve to reassess its rules on granting non-bank financial companies—including crypto and fintech firms—access to its payment systems, specifically master accounts that connect to the Fedwire settlement system. Currently, such accounts are primarily reserved for depository institutions. The order mandates a review to determine if broader access is permissible and to establish an application process. This move, supported by figures like Senator Cynthia Lummis, aims to reduce barriers to innovation and lower public payment costs by fostering fairer competition. It does not grant immediate access but could pave the way for companies like Kraken, Coinbase, Ripple, and Circle to reduce reliance on intermediary banks, lowering costs and speeding up settlements. A key precedent is the Kansas City Fed granting Kraken's parent company a restricted master account in March, offering limited payment services without interest or credit privileges. This model is seen as a potential template for allowing controlled access while mitigating systemic risk. Other firms like Anchorage, Paxos, and BitGo, which hold specialized banking charters, are also well-positioned to apply. The banking industry, represented by the American Bankers Association, opposes easing access, arguing any institution handling bank-like payments must meet the same stringent regulatory, consumer protection, and risk-management standards as traditional banks. Their core concerns include potential systemic risks, compliance gaps in areas like anti-money laundering, and the diversion of liquidity from the traditional banking system. The outcome of the Fed's review will be crucial in determining whether and how crypto and fintech firms can integrate more directly into the core U.S. financial infrastructure, balancing innovation with financial stability.

marsbit2 h fa

Trump Signs Executive Order, Kraken, Coinbase and Others May Gain Access to Fed Payment Channels

marsbit2 h fa

Ripple’s Fed Master Account Bid Gains Momentum After Trump Order

President Donald Trump has signed an executive order directing financial regulators and the Federal Reserve to review expanding fintech and crypto firms' access to core payment infrastructure. This order significantly advances the industry's push for direct Fed connectivity, a central issue for Ripple. The company has been seeking a Federal Reserve master account as part of its strategy for its RLUSD stablecoin, which would allow it to hold reserves directly with the central bank and access its payment rails. The order, titled "Integrating Financial Technology Innovation into Regulatory Frameworks," mandates a Fed review within 120 days on allowing access for entities like uninsured depository institutions and non-bank financial companies, including those in digital assets. This creates a formal policy timeline for resolving whether crypto payment firms must rely on traditional bank intermediaries. Ripple's application for a national bank charter and a master account is part of this broader landscape. The issue gained precedent when Kraken Financial received a limited-purpose master account, while Custodia Bank's application was denied after a legal battle. The Fed has also proposed a more restricted "payment account" option. Trump's order does not guarantee approval for Ripple but forces a high-level examination of the regulatory barriers, bringing the company's long-running effort to the forefront of Washington's financial policy agenda.

bitcoinist3 h fa

Ripple’s Fed Master Account Bid Gains Momentum After Trump Order

bitcoinist3 h fa

Warsh's First Conundrum: Rate Cuts, Inflation, and a Fractured Fed

Walsh's First Dilemma: Rate Cuts, Inflation, and a Divided Fed Kevin Warsh officially assumed the Fed Chairmanship on May 15th, inheriting a central bank deeply divided over inflation. Contrary to market expectations of a dovish stance due to his appointment by President Trump, Warsh's historical record shows early and consistent hawkish concerns about inflation. The Fed he leads is fractured, with three FOMC members recently dissenting against even hinting at future rate cuts. The immediate challenge is surging inflation. While the Iran-related oil shock is a temporary factor, core CPI and services inflation are accelerating, showing signs of becoming entrenched—echoing the Fed's 2022 "transitory" misstep. Warsh faces the task of building consensus within a committee where several members believe policy may not be restrictive enough, especially if the neutral interest rate (r-star) is higher than currently estimated. Politically, Warsh is caught between Trump's desire for rate cuts and the economic reality of persistent price pressures. Any move perceived as bowing to political pressure could undermine Fed independence. Market implications are significant. Long-term Treasury yields (e.g., 30-year at 5.19%) could rise further, especially if the June FOMC statement hints at possible tightening. Tech stocks face continued valuation pressure from higher rates. The key variable is progress in Iran negotiations; a breakthrough before the June meeting could temporarily ease oil-driven inflation, but stubborn services inflation would remain. All eyes are on Warsh's first post-FOMC press conference on June 17th. His wording on inflation and policy will reveal how much the market has mispriced his stance and the Fed's likely path forward.

marsbit22 h fa

Warsh's First Conundrum: Rate Cuts, Inflation, and a Fractured Fed

marsbit22 h fa

The Bond Market Deals a Blow to the AI Bull Market

The article "Bond Market Deals a Blow to the AI Bull Market" discusses how a recent global bond sell-off is threatening to end the AI-driven stock market rally that had been ongoing for about a month and a half. A sharp sell-off in global equity markets began last Friday, with significant declines in indices like South Korea's KOSPI and Japan's Nikkei 225. The primary suspect, according to Morgan Stanley, is the bond market. Key long-term bond yields, such as the U.S. 30-year Treasury and Japan's 10-year government bond, have surged to multi-decade highs. This breach of critical yield levels (like 5% for the 30-year U.S. Treasury) is seen as a dangerous signal that historically precedes risk asset corrections. The root cause is identified as resurgent inflation, fueled by rising oil prices due to renewed Middle East geopolitical tensions, specifically the breakdown of U.S.-Iran talks and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. This has led markets to drastically revise expectations for U.S. Federal Reserve policy, now pricing in a significant chance of future rate hikes instead of cuts. Higher bond yields negatively impact stocks, especially high-growth tech/AI stocks, through two main channels: 1. **Valuation Pressure:** Higher yields increase the discount rate used to value future earnings, making the present value of distant AI-related cash flows less attractive. 2. **Relative Attraction:** Safer government bonds offering ~5% yields reduce the appeal of riskier equity investments in emerging markets and tech sectors. Despite the pressure from bonds, the AI bull market has fundamental support from strong sector earnings (e.g., semiconductor companies). The current situation is described as a "tug-of-war" between bond market turbulence and AI prosperity. However, warnings exist that AI stock valuations have become excessive. For investors, the advice is to increase portfolio flexibility. Suggestions include focusing on specific AI supply chain segments (domestic computing, semiconductors, equipment) and being prepared for continued volatility. The article concludes by noting the market is at a precarious point, caught between geopolitical uncertainty and the AI revolution, requiring careful navigation.

marsbitIeri 12:26

The Bond Market Deals a Blow to the AI Bull Market

marsbitIeri 12:26

Global Long-Term Bonds Break Down: The Fiscal Illusion of the Low-Interest Era is Collapsing

Global long-term bonds are experiencing a widespread breakdown, as the fiscal illusion of the low-interest-rate era collapses. Sovereign yields are hitting multi-year highs in the US, UK, Japan, and France, signaling a market repricing driven by a common reality: unsustainable debt and deficits outpacing economic growth, compounded by renewed inflationary pressures from energy shocks. The direct trigger is the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which has pushed oil prices higher and reignited inflation fears. This squeezes central bank policy space, with expectations shifting from future rate cuts to potential hikes. The core "fiscal Ponzi scheme" is becoming evident—governments rely on new debt to service existing obligations, but as growth lags and borrowing costs rise, investors demand higher yields. Key developments include the US 30-year yield surpassing 5% for the first time since 2007, with tepid auction demand; Japan's 30-year yield reaching 4%, threatening its long-standing low-rate financial system; and political paralysis in the UK and France making meaningful fiscal consolidation unlikely. The marginal buyer for US debt is also shifting from foreign central banks to more price-sensitive private investors. While debt managers may adjust issuance, fundamental drivers—deteriorating fiscal paths, persistent inflation, and constrained central banks—remain. The market is conclusively repricing the end of the low-interest-rate financing model for highly indebted developed economies.

marsbitIeri 09:01

Global Long-Term Bonds Break Down: The Fiscal Illusion of the Low-Interest Era is Collapsing

marsbitIeri 09:01

Money Has Gone to Bonds and IPOs, Leaving Only HYPE Rising in Crypto

The article "Where Has All the Money Gone? Bonds and IPOs Are Soaring, While Crypto Only Sees HYPE Rising" analyzes the recent underperformance of major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum compared to traditional financial markets. It identifies three primary factors diverting capital away from crypto: First, surging bond yields, with the 30-year U.S. Treasury hitting a near 20-year high of 5.12%, are attracting capital seeking safe, predictable returns. This is evidenced by Bitcoin spot ETFs experiencing a significant $10.39 billion net outflow in mid-May. Second, a massive $4 trillion IPO pipeline, highlighted by SpaceX's upcoming listing, is absorbing risk capital that might otherwise flow into crypto. Platforms like Hyperliquid are even channeling on-chain crypto liquidity into pre-IPO trading for traditional stocks. Third, uncertainty surrounds new Federal Reserve Chair Warsh's ability to deliver expected interest rate cuts this year due to conflicting political pressures and stubborn inflation expectations, potentially eliminating a hoped-for source of new market liquidity. Consequently, while traditional equities and bonds rally, the crypto market's post-leverage crash recovery is stalled. The notable exception is assets like Hyperliquid (HYPE), which is rising due to its role in facilitating traditional asset trading, underscoring a market divergence where only crypto projects with novel, cross-market narratives are gaining. The article concludes that Bitcoin's next major catalyst may be the August enactment of the CLARITY Act, but warns of a potential retest of the $70,000 support level before then.

marsbit2 giorni fa 06:47

Money Has Gone to Bonds and IPOs, Leaving Only HYPE Rising in Crypto

marsbit2 giorni fa 06:47

The Warsh Storm Approaches

The article "The Warsh Storm Approaches" analyzes the potential market impact of Kevin Warsh becoming the new Federal Reserve Chairman, succeeding Jerome Powell. It argues that the current AI-driven stock market rally, concentrated in high-valuation tech giants, relies on a crucial premise: that long-term interest rates will eventually fall. This premise is now under threat as the 30-year Treasury yield remains persistently high, exceeding 5%, due to sticky inflation, worsening U.S. fiscal deficits, and deteriorating Treasury supply-demand dynamics. The core vulnerability is that high long-term rates pressure valuations by increasing the discount rate for future earnings. The article warns that Warsh's policy stance could intensify this pressure. Unlike Powell, Warsh is seen as more tolerant of market stress, more committed to quantitative tightening (QT/shrinking the Fed's balance sheet), and less inclined to provide implicit market support. His tenure at the Fed during the 2008 crisis shaped his skepticism about prolonged quantitative easing, believing it fuels asset bubbles without sufficiently boosting the real economy. While strong AI-driven earnings growth could theoretically offset higher rates, the narrative is currently concentrated in a few firms and hasn't yet translated into broad-based productivity gains for the wider economy. Therefore, the AI boom may not be enough to counter the valuation pressures from sustained high yields. Warsh's leadership could force the market to confront a new reality where the old supports—low long-term rates and a reliably supportive Fed—are no longer guaranteed, potentially triggering a reassessment of sky-high stock valuations.

marsbit2 giorni fa 04:58

The Warsh Storm Approaches

marsbit2 giorni fa 04:58

Analyst Predicts Bitcoin And Ethereum Price For The Rest Of 2026, What To Expect

A crypto analyst predicts Bitcoin and Ethereum prices for the remainder of 2026. For Q2 2026, he forecasts Bitcoin could drop to $58,000 and Ethereum to $1,700, potentially accompanied by panic selling and a broader S&P 500 decline. In Q3, Bitcoin may hit its cycle bottom, with whales accumulating ahead of a new trend, amid market distrust and a potential Fed leadership change. By Q4, the analyst expects Bitcoin to enter a bullish uptrend towards $90,000-$109,000+, driven by AI integrations in crypto and the potential start of Quantitative Easing.

bitcoinist2 giorni fa 22:32

Analyst Predicts Bitcoin And Ethereum Price For The Rest Of 2026, What To Expect

bitcoinist2 giorni fa 22:32

What Does The Rising US Inflation Mean for Bitcoin?

The latest US inflation report shows the Consumer Price Index rising to an annual rate of 3.8% in April, the highest level since May 2023. Typically, such inflation pressures the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates high, making risk assets like Bitcoin less attractive. Indeed, US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw significant daily outflows, and Treasury yields climbed. However, Bitcoin's price demonstrated resilience, dipping only slightly before stabilizing. This suggests some investors still view it as a potential inflation hedge. Financial author Robert Kiyosaki has urged buying Bitcoin, gold, and silver as hedges, citing ongoing geopolitical tensions that drive oil prices higher and the growing US national debt that fuels further inflation.

bitcoinist05/16 04:01

What Does The Rising US Inflation Mean for Bitcoin?

bitcoinist05/16 04:01

Bitcoin Under $80,000: Warsh Confirmed As Next Fed Chair—Here’s The Likely Impact

Bitcoin dropped below $80,000 amid news that Kevin Warsh has been confirmed as the next Federal Reserve Chair. Market analyst Sam Daodu noted Warsh's unique personal crypto holdings and views on Bitcoin, but also his hawkish stance, particularly on quantitative easing. The market's reaction to his appointment hinges on two potential Fed policy paths. In a hawkish scenario where Warsh signals a prolonged hold on rates due to high inflation, Bitcoin could fall below $78,000. Conversely, if he advocates for rate cuts citing AI-driven productivity gains, BTC could rebound to $82,000-$85,000. Key upcoming catalysts include a surprise rate cut or a revised "dot plot" indicating fewer cuts in 2026, which would likely push Bitcoin lower.

bitcoinist05/14 15:32

Bitcoin Under $80,000: Warsh Confirmed As Next Fed Chair—Here’s The Likely Impact

bitcoinist05/14 15:32

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