India’s $5T crypto volume vs. policy silence: Why Budget 2026 is a ‘make or break’ moment
India, a $4+ trillion economy with an estimated 100 million crypto users, remains in policy limbo regarding digital assets. While cryptocurrency trading is legal, it is heavily taxed (30% on profits and 1% TDS) and monitored, yet lacks a clear regulatory framework. This uncertainty has led to a significant portion of trading activity moving offshore, with recent estimates showing Indian users generated nearly $5 trillion in volume on foreign exchanges between October 2024 and October 2025. Experts warn that continued hesitation risks capital flight and undermines India’s potential to lead in the emerging digital asset economy, making the 2026 budget a critical turning point.
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