Standard Chartered Cuts 2026 XRP Price Forecast From $8 to $2.80 — Why?

ccn.comPubblicato 2026-02-17Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-02-17

Introduzione

Standard Chartered has significantly lowered its cryptocurrency price forecasts, reducing its 2026 target for XRP from $8.00 to $2.80. The bank also cut its Bitcoin forecast to $100,000 (from $150,000) and its Ethereum target to $4,000 (from $7,500). According to Geoffrey Kendrick, the bank's global head of digital assets research, weaker risk appetite and selling pressure from ETFs could drive further industry losses, with Bitcoin potentially falling to $50,000 before recovering. Despite recent outflows across digital assets, XRP saw $33.4 million in inflows last week, showing relative resilience. However, analysts note that XRP's recent price action resembles a relief rally rather than a sustained recovery, and it may struggle to break out in the near term. While near-term forecasts were reduced, Standard Chartered maintained its long-term outlook, including a 2030 target of $500,000 for Bitcoin, $40,000 for Ethereum, $28 for XRP, and $2,000 for Solana. Matrixport analysts suggested that current depressed sentiment might be nearing stabilization, as key technical indicators show selling pressure could be exhausting.

Standard Chartered has lowered its price forecasts for major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP.

The firm says the market could face another leg down in the months ahead before stabilizing later in 2026.

Geoffrey Kendrick, the bank’s global head of digital assets research, said in a Thursday note that weaker risk appetite and selling pressure from exchange-traded funds could deepen losses across the industry.

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XRP Price Forecast Cut To $2.80, Bitcoin Slashed

Standard Chartered reduced its year-end 2026 target for XRP to $2.80, down from $8.00 previously, the note said.

The bank also lowered its XRP estimate for 2027, while keeping longer-range projections unchanged.

Standard Chartered also lowered its end-2026 Bitcoin target to $100,000, from $150,000 in its prior forecast. This marks the second time it has reduced its forecast in under three months.

Kendrick said Bitcoin could slide to around $50,000 or slightly below before a recovery, describing that level as a possible “buy zone” for longer-term investors.

XRP Price’s Struggled Momentum

Standard Chartered’s sharp reduction in its end-2026 XRP forecast comes as the token has struggled to sustain rebounds following a steep pullback in recent weeks, even as fund flow data shows relative resilience compared with the broader market.

According to a recent CoinShares report, digital asset investment products recorded net outflows of $173 million last week.

Bitcoin accounted for the bulk of the withdrawals with $133 million in outflows.

In contrast, XRP saw $33.4 million in inflows, making it one of the few major tokens to attract fresh capital during the period.

However, sentiment remains fragile.

Victor Olanrewaju, an analyst at CCN, said market sentiment around XRP price has weakened since its late-2025 rally, with investor confidence fading on successive price rebounds.

He said the recent XRP price bounce appears more consistent with a relief rally than the beginning of a sustained recovery, warning that XRP “might struggle” to post a stronger breakout in the near term.

Ethereum and Solana Cut

As well as XRP’s price, Standard Chartered also cut its end-2026 forecast for Ethereum to $4,000 from $7,500.

The bank added that ETH could fall toward $1,400 before rebounding. It also lowered its end-2026 target for Solana to $135 from $250.

“Near-term, we see potential for further price downside in the coming months,” he wrote in the note.

Despite near-term downgrades, Standard Chartered kept some longer-term projections unchanged, including its 2030 forecast for Bitcoin at $500,000.

Standard Chartered long-term forecasts include:

  • Bitcoin (2030): $500,000

  • Ethereum (2030): $40,000

  • XRP (2030): $28

  • Solana (2030): $2,000

In separate forecasts, investment firm VanEck has projected that Bitcoin could reach $2.9 million in its base case by 2050.

Meanwhile, research firm Bernstein recently reiterated its long-term outlook of $150,000 Bitcoin by the end of 2026.

Sentiment Drops, But Stabilization Near?

The change in forecasts comes as crypto market sentiment has reached “depressed levels,” according to Matrixport analysts, who claim “stabilization” could be approaching.

Matrixport highlighted that “durable bottoms tend to form” when the 21-day moving average drops below zero and reverses higher — something it says is currently happening.

“This transition signals that selling pressure is becoming exhausted and that market conditions are beginning to stabilize,” the firm wrote.

The firm added that while prices could still drop in the near-term, this set up usually highlights approaching “another inflection point.”

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Domande pertinenti

QWhy did Standard Chartered lower its 2026 XRP price forecast from $8 to $2.80?

AStandard Chartered lowered its XRP price forecast due to weaker risk appetite and selling pressure from exchange-traded funds, which could deepen losses across the cryptocurrency industry.

QWhat are Standard Chartered's long-term price forecasts for Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana by 2030?

AStandard Chartered's long-term forecasts for 2030 are: Bitcoin at $500,000, Ethereum at $40,000, XRP at $28, and Solana at $2,000.

QHow did XRP's fund flows compare to the broader cryptocurrency market recently?

AWhile the broader cryptocurrency market saw net outflows of $173 million, with Bitcoin accounting for $133 million in outflows, XRP attracted $33.4 million in inflows, making it one of the few major tokens to gain fresh capital.

QWhat near-term price levels does Standard Chartered suggest as a 'buy zone' for Bitcoin?

AStandard Chartered suggested that Bitcoin could slide to around $50,000 or slightly below, which might serve as a 'buy zone' for longer-term investors.

QAccording to Matrixport, what signal indicates that cryptocurrency market selling pressure is becoming exhausted?

AMatrixport indicated that when the 21-day moving average drops below zero and reverses higher, it signals that selling pressure is becoming exhausted and market conditions are beginning to stabilize.

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In Conversation with Ray Dalio: We Are Currently in an AI Bubble, with 1% of My Portfolio in Bitcoin

Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, warns in an interview that the current AI boom shows classic bubble characteristics, which could lead to significant economic downturns as seen in past cycles like 1929 or 2000. He explains that speculative enthusiasm, fueled by debt and overvaluation, often precedes a crash when rising rates or taxation force asset sales, causing widespread losses and recession. Dalio also outlines his "Big Cycle" theory, describing an approximate 80-year pattern where widening wealth gaps, massive government deficits, and shifting geopolitical power (like China's rise) create internal conflict and global instability. He emphasizes that we are in a late-cycle, transitional phase where traditional powers like the US and UK face decline. For personal wealth protection, Dalio advises diversification beyond cash into assets like stocks, bonds, real estate, and particularly gold, which he prefers over Bitcoin. While he holds about 1% of his portfolio in Bitcoin as a non-printable hard asset, he views gold as more secure from technological or governmental threats. Regarding AI's impact, Dalio believes it will disproportionately benefit capital owners, worsening inequality by replacing both physical and cognitive labor. He suggests that human intuition and emotional intelligence, combined with AI, will be key for future workers. On taxation, Dalio argues that wealth taxes are impractical and risk triggering asset sell-offs, reducing productive investment. He points to the UK as a cautionary example of debt, low productivity, and political strife. Geopolitically, Dalio foresees a more regionalized world, with the US showing weakness in prolonged conflicts like with Iran, akin to past imperial declines. The ideal outcome, he suggests, is coexisting powerful blocs (e.g., Americas, China-Asia Pacific) without major war.

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Daily 7.2 Trillion KRW: Foreign Capital's Record Net Buying on Friday! Wall Street Says Headwinds for Korean Stock Fund Flows Have Subsided

South Korean stock market sees a dramatic shift in fund flows. On July 31, foreign investors made a record net purchase of approximately KRW 7.2 trillion in KOSPI stocks, marking a fundamental reversal from the persistent large-scale net outflows seen in previous months. This contributed to a significant narrowing of foreign net selling in July to KRW 9.8 trillion, down sharply from KRW 48.4 trillion in June and KRW 44.5 trillion in May. Simultaneously, domestic institutional pressure eased. South Korean pension funds and asset managers turned to a net buying position in July, purchasing KRW 1.0 trillion worth of KOSPI shares, contrasting with net sales in May and June. Market volatility is expected to be dampened by new financial regulations. Effective July 31, the Financial Services Commission tightened access for retail investors to single-stock leveraged ETFs by raising the minimum cash deposit requirement. Trading volumes for these products subsequently dropped to about 50% of their monthly average. Citigroup Research maintains its year-end KOSPI target of 10,000 points. The firm cites several supportive factors: the substantial easing of headwinds from capital outflows, a robust fundamental outlook for the semiconductor sector, historically low market valuations, strong economic fundamentals, and the potential for policy support from financial authorities if needed.

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Thanks to Dice Rolls, Bitcoin Keys Are Stored Offline, But Not Everyone Will Do It

The article discusses using dice rolls to generate secure Bitcoin wallet seeds, providing entropy independent of potentially flawed hardware random number generators. It explains that each fair dice roll offers about 2.585 bits of entropy, with around 50 rolls needed for a standard 12-word seed phrase and 99+ recommended for higher security. This method gained attention after a vulnerability was revealed in some Coldcard hardware wallets, where a faulty firmware RNG (dating back to 2021) compromised generated keys. The analysis notes that while a dice-generated main seed was safe from this specific flaw, other Coldcard functions (like creating paper wallets, backup keys, or passwords) could still be vulnerable if they used the defective RNG. The piece argues that while dice-based entropy is technically robust, the manual process is error-prone, tedious, and unrealistic for most new users, who might make mistakes in recording or inputting rolls. It concludes that while manual entropy generation should remain an option for advanced users, the long-term goal is to develop reliable, user-friendly hardware and software that securely generates randomness without requiring specialized knowledge. Coldcard users are advised to check their firmware version and replace any secondary secrets (like paper wallet keys) created with vulnerable devices, while also considering multi-signature setups with devices from different manufacturers for added security.

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