SoftBank's Son, Bankrupted by Good Stories, Awaits His Next Alibaba

marsbitPubblicato 2026-06-09Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-06-09

Introduzione

Masayoshi Son is back. After years defined by Vision Fund's massive losses and costly missteps like WeWork—which shattered market confidence and led to billions in write-downs—Son has found redemption through AI. His early, high-conviction bets are paying off handsomely. Arm, acquired for $32 billion in 2016 and once a heavily leveraged burden, has become a gold mine amid the AI compute boom, delivering roughly a 10x return for SoftBank after its 2023 IPO. More crucially, SoftBank has made an enormous, concentrated bet on OpenAI, committing over $64 billion for a roughly 13% stake. This investment is already showing massive paper gains, contributing significantly to SoftBank's soaring valuation and propelling Son back to the top as Asia's richest person. The narrative has shifted from the "fool" who fell for grandiose stories to the visionary who endured a brutal downturn and is now being rewarded for his early faith in artificial intelligence.

Masayoshi Son is back.

In recent years, when people mention SoftBank, they no longer talk about him being Jack Ma's 'benefactor'. More often, they think of the failed investment in WeWork, the massive losses of the Vision Fund, and the Japanese investor who was repeatedly humbled by the market during the tech bubble.

But today, AI assets are being repriced. The value of Son's shares in Arm and OpenAI is rising. SoftBank's stock price has surged, Son's fortune has climbed back to the top, and he is once again Asia's richest person.

Evaporating $70 Billion

People fear the unknown, so someone who hasn't experienced a bubble bursting might be afraid.

But not Masayoshi Son. At 67, he has experienced the peak of the internet 20 years ago and was left bruised when the bubble burst.

Son was first chosen by fortune in the late 1990s. Back then, the internet was like a newly discovered magic. Yahoo, portals, e-commerce, online trading—anything related to the web was believed by the capital markets to be rewriting the world. SoftBank also changed during that time. It was no longer just a Japanese software company but became a massive basket filled with internet stocks. Son bet on Yahoo and Yahoo Japan, and SoftBank's stock price was pushed to dizzying heights by the bubble.

In early 2000, Son's wealth became unreal. At that time, his net worth could increase by about $10 billion in a week, even briefly surpassing Bill Gates to become the world's richest person for three days. A Japanese entrepreneur of Korean descent from Kyushu, relying on extreme belief in the internet, suddenly stood at the pinnacle of global wealth.

After the dot-com bubble burst, SoftBank's stock plummeted, and Son's personal wealth evaporated by about $70 billion from a peak of roughly $76 billion. However, Son wasn't written off as a failure of that bubble era because he still held Alibaba. In the autumn of 2014, Alibaba listed on the NYSE. With the huge success of this single investment, Son's personal wealth exceeded $58 billion. That's equivalent to Warren Buffett's total investment gains over 70 years.

It was the most important and successful venture capital investment in the history of China's internet. This investment forged Alibaba and also made Masayoshi Son.

Around 2017, the Vision Fund was established with a size close to $100 billion. Son became the person tech startups worldwide most wanted to meet and the most powerful money bag in Silicon Valley.

Armed with funds from the Middle East, Apple, Qualcomm, and others, he traveled through Silicon Valley, China, India, and Southeast Asia, pouring money into ride-sharing, food delivery, fintech, autonomous driving, and co-working spaces. Those companies all talked about scale, network effects, winner-takes-all, and changing the world.

Son Felt He Was Getting Old

Son's fall from grace this time started with WeWork.

An ordinary failed investment at most hurts profits, but WeWork damaged the market's trust in Son's judgment and his acumen.

In early 2019, WeWork's valuation was still as high as $47 billion. Its founder, Adam Neumann, was charismatic and wildly ambitious. He never described his company as just an office rental business but as a lifestyle, a community, a future work order.

Son liked this kind of person because he was one himself. He spent his life searching for founders who framed business on a human scale.

But not everyone bought it.

In August 2019, WeWork filed its IPO prospectus. Details previously obscured in the private financing market by grand visions were now under the spotlight, laid bare before investors.

The company was burning massive cash, weighed down by heavy leases, plagued by governance chaos, and had a founder with excessive power. It claimed to be a tech company, but the more Wall Street looked, the more its core business appeared to be leasing office buildings and subdividing and subletting them. This business could hardly support a $47 billion valuation.

The market began to doubt Son's own abilities, forcing him to reflect on his investment style: Were those who could articulate grand visions more likely to get Son's money? Did he value founder charisma too much and financial discipline too lightly? Why was SoftBank willing to give such high valuations? Why believe a company that hadn't proven profitability could burn cash into a future? Could a founder who was good at saying 'change the world' make Son overlook due diligence, valuation, and business models?

Months later, WeWork withdrew its IPO. Adam Neumann resigned as CEO. The valuation plummeted from $47 billion to around $8 billion.

But by then, SoftBank and WeWork were in the same boat, unable to disembark. SoftBank had no choice but to bail it out.

Heaven abhors excess; human affairs avoid perfection. The company once lifted to the clouds by Son suddenly became the most glaring loss on SoftBank's books.

In November 2019, SoftBank posted its first quarterly loss in 14 years. The Vision Fund alone lost nearly $9 billion in a single quarter. Son admitted his misjudgment and that he had turned a blind eye to WeWork's governance issues. Because he wanted so desperately to find the next Alibaba, to replicate that victory of betting early when everyone else couldn't see.

In 2020, the wounds widened. The pandemic hit global markets. Uber underperformed its original myth. Oyo fell into layoffs and governance controversies. OneWeb filed for bankruptcy. Wirecard imploded, and later Greensill collapsed.

The money Son scattered had basically turned into shattered fragments.

Then, in 2021, fortune briefly glanced his way again. DoorDash, Coupang, and others went public. SoftBank's stock surged, and buybacks pushed the price higher. That year, Son returned to the top of Japan's wealth list. For a while, the outside world thought WeWork was just an ugly interlude, and the Vision Fund could eventually cover its losses with a few big wins. Son seemed about to prove once more that he wasn't wrong, just early to the market again.

But it was just a brief recovery. Starting in the second half of 2021, the winds changed. China tightened internet regulations, US inflation heated up, interest rates rose, and global tech stocks receded. The market was no longer willing to pay infinite money for 'will be big in the future.' Companies reliant on financing, scale, and imagination to support their valuations suddenly had to answer the same old question: When exactly will you make money?

Heaven and Earth have cycles; life has its ups and downs. Observing the way of Heaven and acting accordingly—that is all.

In 2022, Son truly fell into the biggest trough of his life.

The SoftBank Vision Fund lost about $27.5 billion in the 2021 fiscal year. In August 2022, SoftBank announced a net loss of about $23.4 billion for a single quarter.

He said he cried for two whole weeks. "For two weeks, I cried every day. I did nothing. I was anxious, didn't know what to do."

Recalling that period later, Son left a sincere monologue: "I thought about how I am already old, my remaining life is limited, but I haven't achieved anything. I cried a lot. I asked myself, am I really going to grow old like this and then die? People call me a successful businessman? Entrepreneur? Business guru? But I really felt sorry for myself."

SoftBank also began to shrink. New investments slowed dramatically. The Vision Fund team faced layoffs. Assets were continuously monetized. Alibaba, the功臣 that once helped Son turn his fortunes, was also gradually sold off by SoftBank to improve its financial structure. Son's business empire was under siege from all sides, and his father was taken by cancer.

In recent years, the companies that excited Son became strings of write-downs and losses. He said, "I would rather accept my own stupidity and ignorance, accept the wrong decisions I made, so I can learn from them." He admitted that he was too happy when he saw huge profits in the past and now felt ashamed. He also said that if he had been more selective and invested better at the time, the damage wouldn't have been so great.

Many said that Son during those years was not like the Son they knew. He grew quiet and rarely reappeared in the public eye.

He said SoftBank would enter "defense mode," and he would focus on Arm in the coming years.

Looking back today, this was another great investment by Son.

AI Has Forgiven Son

But initially, Arm didn't seem like a destined success; the deal put Son under immense pressure.

In the summer of 2016, SoftBank spent a whopping $32 billion in cash to acquire a 90% stake in Arm, a 40% premium.

Arm was, of course, a good company then. But most of the funds for the acquisition came from bank loans—leverage of 1.5 times raised by an already debt-laden SoftBank. Many investors doubted if Arm was really worth it. Even after being taken private by SoftBank, Arm's increased investments led to falling profit margins and severe performance declines at one point. SoftBank nearly sold Arm to Nvidia.

It wasn't until after ChatGPT that the market re-understood computing power. The vast rivers of artificial intelligence made Arm shine brightly. In September 2023, Arm listed on Nasdaq with an IPO valuation of about $54.5 billion. From about 14 trillion yen at the end of March 2023, SoftBank's NAV rose to about 34 trillion yen in June 2024. Arm now constitutes the bulk of SoftBank's shareholding value. SoftBank stated in its annual report that Arm has delivered returns of 24.6 trillion yen to group shareholders, roughly a 10x return.

If Arm gave Son a pull out of the mud, then OpenAI might be his comeback battle.

In January 2025, OpenAI, SoftBank, Oracle, and MGX announced the Stargate project, planning to build large-scale AI infrastructure in the US, with potential investments up to $500 billion over the next four years.

Subsequently, SoftBank's investments in OpenAI became very aggressive.

In 2025, SoftBank completed an investment of about $30 billion in OpenAI. By February 2026, SoftBank signed an additional $30 billion investment agreement with OpenAI. According to SoftBank's announcement, upon completion of the top-up, SoftBank's cumulative investment in OpenAI is expected to reach $64.6 billion for an approximately 13% stake. In April 2026, SoftBank executed the first tranche of this additional investment, amounting to $10 billion.

In March 2026, SoftBank secured a $40 billion bridge loan, primarily for the subsequent OpenAI investment. It is also selling or monetizing other assets, using Arm shares, SoftBank telecom assets, etc., as financing leverage.

This investment is classic Son. Once again, he is putting SoftBank's most valuable assets on the line to buy a ticket to the next round of the future.

In the internet era, he bet himself on Yahoo and Alibaba; in the mobile internet era, he heavily invested in telecoms, Sprint, Arm; in the Vision Fund era, he scattered money to startups telling huge stories. And in the AI era, he is pushing SoftBank towards OpenAI and AI infrastructure.

At the end of March this year, SoftBank disclosed its OpenAI investment cost at about $34.6 billion, with a fair value of about $79.6 billion, resulting in cumulative investment gains of about $45 billion.

Recently, SoftBank's stock soared, its market cap once surpassing Toyota, making it one of Japan's most sought-after companies. Son also reclaimed his title as Asia's richest person.

Fortune is once again on Son's side.

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Domande pertinenti

QWhy did the WeWork failure significantly damage Masayoshi Son's reputation and investment strategy?

AWeWork's failure, from a $47 billion valuation to a collapse before its planned IPO, exposed deep flaws in its business model, financials, and governance. It damaged Son's reputation because it became a symbol of his investment strategy prioritizing grand vision and charismatic founders over rigorous due diligence, financial discipline, and sustainable business models. It led the market to question his judgment and marked the beginning of massive losses for the Vision Fund.

QWhat role did the acquisition and IPO of Arm play in Masayoshi Son's recent financial recovery?

AThe acquisition of Arm in 2016, though initially heavily leveraged and criticized, became a cornerstone of Son's recovery. With the AI boom driving demand for compute power, Arm's value soared. Its successful IPO in 2023 at a $54.5 billion valuation significantly boosted SoftBank's asset value. Arm now constitutes a major part of SoftBank's holdings, delivering an approximately 10x return and helping to restore investor confidence and financial stability.

QHow did Masayoshi Son's investment in OpenAI contribute to his return as Asia's richest person?

ASon made aggressive, large-scale investments in OpenAI, with SoftBank's total commitment reaching around $64.6 billion for a roughly 13% stake. By March 2026, the fair value of this stake was approximately $79.6 billion against a cost of $34.6 billion, generating an unrealized gain of about $45 billion. This massive bet on a leading AI company, coupled with Arm's success, fueled a surge in SoftBank's stock price and market capitalization, propelling Son back to the top of Asia's wealth rankings.

QWhat major factors led to the massive losses of SoftBank's Vision Fund after 2021?

AKey factors include: the collapse of major portfolio companies like WeWork; broader market shifts where rising interest rates and inflation ended the era of cheap capital, forcing unprofitable tech companies to face scrutiny; regulatory tightening in China affecting tech investments; and underperformance or failures of other bets like Uber, Oyo, OneWeb, Wirecard, and Greensill. These combined to create unprecedented losses for the Vision Fund, culminating in a $27.5 billion loss for the 2021 fiscal year.

QHow did Masayoshi Son describe his personal and emotional state during the low point of his career in 2022?

ASon described being deeply distressed, stating he cried for two weeks straight, felt anxious, and did nothing. He questioned his life's achievements, feeling that despite being labeled a successful businessman, he had accomplished nothing meaningful as he grew older. He expressed shame over past mistakes driven by excitement over large profits and acknowledged his 'stupidity and ignorance' in making poor investment decisions, vowing to learn from them.

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130 Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2024.12.17Aggiornato il 2024.12.17

Cosa è AGENT S

Agent S: Il Futuro dell'Interazione Autonoma in Web3 Introduzione Nel panorama in continua evoluzione di Web3 e criptovalute, le innovazioni stanno costantemente ridefinendo il modo in cui gli individui interagiscono con le piattaforme digitali. Uno di questi progetti pionieristici, Agent S, promette di rivoluzionare l'interazione uomo-computer attraverso il suo framework agentico aperto. Aprendo la strada a interazioni autonome, Agent S mira a semplificare compiti complessi, offrendo applicazioni trasformative nell'intelligenza artificiale (AI). Questa esplorazione dettagliata approfondirà le complessità del progetto, le sue caratteristiche uniche e le implicazioni per il dominio delle criptovalute. Cos'è Agent S? Agent S si presenta come un innovativo framework agentico aperto, progettato specificamente per affrontare tre sfide fondamentali nell'automazione dei compiti informatici: Acquisizione di Conoscenze Specifiche del Dominio: Il framework apprende in modo intelligente da varie fonti di conoscenza esterne ed esperienze interne. Questo approccio duale gli consente di costruire un ricco repository di conoscenze specifiche del dominio, migliorando le sue prestazioni nell'esecuzione dei compiti. Pianificazione su Lungo Orizzonte di Compiti: Agent S impiega una pianificazione gerarchica potenziata dall'esperienza, un approccio strategico che facilita la suddivisione e l'esecuzione efficiente di compiti complessi. Questa caratteristica migliora significativamente la sua capacità di gestire più sottocompiti in modo efficiente ed efficace. Gestione di Interfacce Dinamiche e Non Uniformi: Il progetto introduce l'Interfaccia Agente-Computer (ACI), una soluzione innovativa che migliora l'interazione tra agenti e utenti. Utilizzando Modelli Linguistici Multimodali di Grandi Dimensioni (MLLM), Agent S può navigare e manipolare senza sforzo diverse interfacce grafiche utente. Attraverso queste caratteristiche pionieristiche, Agent S fornisce un framework robusto che affronta le complessità coinvolte nell'automazione dell'interazione umana con le macchine, preparando il terreno per innumerevoli applicazioni nell'AI e oltre. Chi è il Creatore di Agent S? Sebbene il concetto di Agent S sia fondamentalmente innovativo, informazioni specifiche sul suo creatore rimangono elusive. Il creatore è attualmente sconosciuto, il che evidenzia sia la fase embrionale del progetto sia la scelta strategica di mantenere i membri fondatori sotto anonimato. Indipendentemente dall'anonimato, l'attenzione rimane sulle capacità e sul potenziale del framework. Chi sono gli Investitori di Agent S? Poiché Agent S è relativamente nuovo nell'ecosistema crittografico, informazioni dettagliate riguardanti i suoi investitori e sostenitori finanziari non sono documentate esplicitamente. La mancanza di approfondimenti pubblicamente disponibili sulle fondazioni di investimento o sulle organizzazioni che supportano il progetto solleva interrogativi sulla sua struttura di finanziamento e sulla roadmap di sviluppo. Comprendere il supporto è cruciale per valutare la sostenibilità del progetto e il suo potenziale impatto sul mercato. Come Funziona Agent S? Al centro di Agent S si trova una tecnologia all'avanguardia che gli consente di funzionare efficacemente in contesti diversi. Il suo modello operativo è costruito attorno a diverse caratteristiche chiave: Interazione Uomo-Computer Simile a Quella Umana: Il framework offre una pianificazione AI avanzata, cercando di rendere le interazioni con i computer più intuitive. Mimando il comportamento umano nell'esecuzione dei compiti, promette di elevare le esperienze degli utenti. Memoria Narrativa: Utilizzata per sfruttare esperienze di alto livello, Agent S utilizza la memoria narrativa per tenere traccia delle storie dei compiti, migliorando così i suoi processi decisionali. Memoria Episodica: Questa caratteristica fornisce agli utenti una guida passo-passo, consentendo al framework di offrire supporto contestuale mentre i compiti si sviluppano. Supporto per OpenACI: Con la capacità di funzionare localmente, Agent S consente agli utenti di mantenere il controllo sulle proprie interazioni e flussi di lavoro, allineandosi con l'etica decentralizzata di Web3. Facile Integrazione con API Esterne: La sua versatilità e compatibilità con varie piattaforme AI garantiscono che Agent S possa adattarsi senza problemi agli ecosistemi tecnologici esistenti, rendendolo una scelta attraente per sviluppatori e organizzazioni. Queste funzionalità contribuiscono collettivamente alla posizione unica di Agent S all'interno dello spazio crittografico, poiché automatizza compiti complessi e multi-fase con un intervento umano minimo. Man mano che il progetto evolve, le sue potenziali applicazioni in Web3 potrebbero ridefinire il modo in cui si svolgono le interazioni digitali. Cronologia di Agent S Lo sviluppo e le tappe di Agent S possono essere riassunti in una cronologia che evidenzia i suoi eventi significativi: 27 Settembre 2024: Il concetto di Agent S è stato lanciato in un documento di ricerca completo intitolato “Un Framework Agentico Aperto che Usa i Computer Come un Umano”, mostrando le basi per il progetto. 10 Ottobre 2024: Il documento di ricerca è stato reso pubblicamente disponibile su arXiv, offrendo un'esplorazione approfondita del framework e della sua valutazione delle prestazioni basata sul benchmark OSWorld. 12 Ottobre 2024: È stata rilasciata una presentazione video, fornendo un'idea visiva delle capacità e delle caratteristiche di Agent S, coinvolgendo ulteriormente potenziali utenti e investitori. Questi indicatori nella cronologia non solo illustrano i progressi di Agent S, ma indicano anche il suo impegno per la trasparenza e il coinvolgimento della comunità. Punti Chiave su Agent S Man mano che il framework Agent S continua a evolversi, diversi attributi chiave si distinguono, sottolineando la sua natura innovativa e il potenziale: Framework Innovativo: Progettato per fornire un uso intuitivo dei computer simile all'interazione umana, Agent S porta un approccio nuovo all'automazione dei compiti. Interazione Autonoma: La capacità di interagire autonomamente con i computer attraverso GUI segna un passo avanti verso soluzioni informatiche più intelligenti ed efficienti. Automazione di Compiti Complessi: Con la sua metodologia robusta, può automatizzare compiti complessi e multi-fase, rendendo i processi più veloci e meno soggetti a errori. Miglioramento Continuo: I meccanismi di apprendimento consentono ad Agent S di migliorare dalle esperienze passate, migliorando continuamente le sue prestazioni e la sua efficacia. Versatilità: La sua adattabilità attraverso diversi ambienti operativi come OSWorld e WindowsAgentArena garantisce che possa servire un'ampia gamma di applicazioni. Man mano che Agent S si posiziona nel panorama di Web3 e delle criptovalute, il suo potenziale per migliorare le capacità di interazione e automatizzare i processi segna un significativo avanzamento nelle tecnologie AI. Attraverso il suo framework innovativo, Agent S esemplifica il futuro delle interazioni digitali, promettendo un'esperienza più fluida ed efficiente per gli utenti in vari settori. Conclusione Agent S rappresenta un audace passo avanti nell'unione tra AI e Web3, con la capacità di ridefinire il modo in cui interagiamo con la tecnologia. Sebbene sia ancora nelle sue fasi iniziali, le possibilità per la sua applicazione sono vaste e coinvolgenti. Attraverso il suo framework completo che affronta sfide critiche, Agent S mira a portare le interazioni autonome al centro dell'esperienza digitale. Man mano che ci addentriamo nei regni delle criptovalute e della decentralizzazione, progetti come Agent S giocheranno senza dubbio un ruolo cruciale nel plasmare il futuro della tecnologia e della collaborazione uomo-computer.

584 Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2025.01.14Aggiornato il 2025.01.14

Come comprare S

Benvenuto in HTX.com! Abbiamo reso l'acquisto di Sonic (S) semplice e conveniente. Segui la nostra guida passo passo per intraprendere il tuo viaggio nel mondo delle criptovalute.Step 1: Crea il tuo Account HTXUsa la tua email o numero di telefono per registrarti il tuo account gratuito su HTX. Vivi un'esperienza facile e sblocca tutte le funzionalità,Crea il mio accountStep 2: Vai in Acquista crypto e seleziona il tuo metodo di pagamentoCarta di credito/debito: utilizza la tua Visa o Mastercard per acquistare immediatamente SonicS.Bilancio: Usa i fondi dal bilancio del tuo account HTX per fare trading senza problemi.Terze parti: abbiamo aggiunto metodi di pagamento molto utilizzati come Google Pay e Apple Pay per maggiore comodità.P2P: Fai trading direttamente con altri utenti HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): Offriamo servizi su misura e tassi di cambio competitivi per i trader.Step 3: Conserva Sonic (S)Dopo aver acquistato Sonic (S), conserva nel tuo account HTX. In alternativa, puoi inviare tramite trasferimento blockchain o scambiare per altre criptovalute.Step 4: Scambia Sonic (S)Scambia facilmente Sonic (S) nel mercato spot di HTX. Accedi al tuo account, seleziona la tua coppia di trading, esegui le tue operazioni e monitora in tempo reale. Offriamo un'esperienza user-friendly sia per chi ha appena iniziato che per i trader più esperti.

1.2k Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2025.01.15Aggiornato il 2026.06.02

Discussioni

Benvenuto nella Community HTX. Qui puoi rimanere informato sugli ultimi sviluppi della piattaforma e accedere ad approfondimenti esperti sul mercato. Le opinioni degli utenti sul prezzo di S S sono presentate come di seguito.