Power × Crypto × Leverage: When the 'Trump Trade' Pushes the Crypto Market Toward Systemic Risk

marsbitPubblicato 2025-12-18Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-12-18

Introduzione

"The 'Trump Trade' in cryptocurrency has catalyzed a surge of high-risk financial activity, pushing the crypto market toward systemic risk. Following regulatory easing and explicit support from former President Trump, over 250 public companies have adopted a 'crypto treasury' strategy, borrowing heavily to amass digital assets like Bitcoin. This leveraged speculation, coupled with new products like 10x leveraged futures on major exchanges, led to a massive flash crash in October, wiping out $19 billion in leveraged positions and causing widespread exchange outages. The article highlights the rise of 'Digital Asset Treasuries' (DATs)—often shell companies that pivot to hoarding crypto—which have announced plans to borrow over $20 billion. Many of these entities have ties to Trump’s family business, World Liberty Financial, blurring the lines between political influence and private profit. One DAT, ALT5 Sigma, saw an 85% stock plunge after a executive was convicted of money laundering. Simultaneously, firms like Plume and Kraken are advancing 'tokenization'—creating crypto tokens tied to real-world assets like stocks—raising concerns at the Federal Reserve about contagion risk to the traditional financial system. While crypto advocates frame this as innovation, former regulators warn that the blurring of speculation and investment, amplified by extreme leverage, echoes pre-crisis financial patterns. The SEC has expressed concern but, under Trump-appointed leadership, is also ...

This summer, a group of corporate executives pitched a business plan to Wall Street financier and former Trump advisor Anthony Scaramucci. They hoped Scaramucci would join a publicly traded company with a unique strategy: boosting the company's appeal to investors by hoarding massive amounts of cryptocurrency assets.

"They didn't really need to say much," Scaramucci recalled. Soon after, he joined three little-known companies adopting this strategy as an advisor. "The entire negotiation process went very smoothly."

However, this boom didn't last long. This fall, the cryptocurrency market crashed, and the stock prices of the three companies Scaramucci was involved with plummeted, with the worst performer dropping over 80%.

The rise and fall of these companies is a microcosm of the cryptocurrency frenzy ignited by Trump. The leader, who calls himself the "first crypto president," not only ended the regulatory crackdown on crypto firms but also publicly promoted cryptocurrency investment from the White House, signed bills supporting crypto development, and even issued a meme coin named TRUMP, thrusting this once-niche field into the global economic spotlight.

Now, the ripple effects of Trump's strong support for cryptocurrency are becoming apparent.

This year, a large number of new cryptocurrency ventures pushing industry boundaries have emerged, drawing more people into this highly volatile market. Over 250 publicly traded companies have begun accumulating cryptocurrency—digital assets whose price volatility characteristics are no different from traditional investments like stocks and bonds.

2024, Former Trump advisor Anthony Scaramucci attends the UAE Bitcoin Conference

A wave of companies has顺势 launched innovative products, lowering the barrier to including cryptocurrency in brokerage accounts and retirement plans. Meanwhile, industry executives are lobbying regulators, planning to issue crypto tokens pegged to publicly traded company stocks, creating a stock trading market based on crypto technology.

This radical innovation wave has already exposed numerous problems. Over the past two months, the prices of major cryptocurrencies have plunged, causing companies heavily invested in crypto assets to face a crash crisis. Other emerging projects have also prompted warnings from economists and regulators, as market risks continue to accumulate.

The core concern triggering各方担忧 is the continuous膨胀 of borrowing. By this fall, publicly traded companies had borrowed heavily to purchase cryptocurrency; investors' futures contract holdings for cryptocurrency surpassed $200 billion, with most of these trades relying on leveraged funds, potentially bringing huge profits but also hiding the risk of liquidation.

More alarmingly, a series of new initiatives in the cryptocurrency industry have deeply bound the crypto market to the stock market and other financial sectors. Once a crisis erupts in the cryptocurrency market, the risk could传导至 the entire financial system, triggering a chain reaction.

"Today, the line between speculation, gambling, and investment has become blurred," said Timothy Massad, who served as Assistant Secretary for Financial Stability at the U.S. Treasury after the 2008 financial crisis. "This current state deeply worries me."

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt responded that Trump's policies are "helping the U.S. become a global cryptocurrency hub by driving innovation and creating economic opportunities for all Americans."

Cryptocurrency industry executives argue that these emerging projects demonstrate the potential of crypto technology to reshape the outdated financial system. In their view, market volatility is precisely an opportunity for profit.

"High risk often comes with high reward," said Duncan Moir, President of 21Shares, which issues cryptocurrency investment products. "Our mission is to bring these investment opportunities to more people."

The rise of this innovation wave离不开 the comprehensive relaxation of the regulatory environment, representing the most friendly regulatory window for cryptocurrency companies in years. For many years prior, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was constantly in legal battles with the crypto industry; but in January this year, the agency established a dedicated cryptocurrency task force, which has held meetings with dozens of companies seeking new regulatory support or product listing approvals.

An SEC spokesperson said the agency is committed to "ensuring investors have sufficient information to make rational investment decisions."

U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission headquarters building in Washington, D.C.

Notably, many of these emerging companies are connected to the Trump family's expanding cryptocurrency business empire, a connection that has blurred the lines between business and government.

This summer, executives from Trump's cryptocurrency startup World Liberty Financial announced they would join the board of the publicly traded company ALT5 Sigma. This company, originally in the recycling business, now plans to raise $1.5 billion to enter the cryptocurrency market.

Capital Frenzy: An Out-of-Control Crypto Gamble

Cryptocurrency enthusiasts have named the high-risk investment boom催生 by the Trump administration the "Summer of Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs)."

A Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) company is a publicly traded company whose core goal is to hoard cryptocurrency. Data from cryptocurrency consulting firm Architect Partners shows that among these emerging companies, nearly half focus on accumulating Bitcoin, the most well-known cryptocurrency, while dozens of others have announced plans to buy non-mainstream coins like Dogecoin.

Number of DAT companies founded each month in 2025. Source: Architect Partners, statistics as of December 16

The operating model of these companies is often straightforward: a group of executives identifies a small company trading on public markets (e.g., a toy manufacturer), convinces it to转型 into a cryptocurrency hoarding business; then partners with the company to raise hundreds of millions of dollars from high-net-worth investors, ultimately using the funds to buy cryptocurrency.

The core purpose is to allow more people to participate in cryptocurrency investment by issuing traditional stocks that track the price of cryptocurrency. This strategy theoretically has considerable profit potential. Many investment funds and asset management institutions have been hesitant to invest directly in cryptocurrency due to the complex and costly storage process and vulnerability to hacker attacks.

Investing in a DAT company is equivalent to outsourcing the storage and other logistical work of cryptocurrency. But these companies also隐藏巨大风险: many are hastily established, with management lacking experience in operating public companies. Data from Architect Partners shows these companies have collectively announced plans to borrow over $20 billion to purchase cryptocurrency.

"Leverage is the culprit behind financial crises," warned Corey Frayer, a former cryptocurrency advisor to the SEC. "And the current market is generating a massive amount of leverage."

Some DAT companies have already陷入 operational difficulties or management crises, causing investors to suffer huge losses.

The publicly traded company Forward Industries转型 into a DAT company and heavily invested in SOL. In September this year, the company raised over $1.6 billion from private investors, and its stock price一度飙升至 nearly $40 per share.

Allan Teh from Miami, who manages assets for a family office, invested $2.5 million in Forward Industries this year. "At that time, everyone thought this strategy was foolproof, that crypto asset prices would keep rising," Allan Teh recalled.

However, as the cryptocurrency market crashed, Forward Industries' stock price fell to $7 per share this month. The company announced plans to spend $1 billion to repurchase shares over the next two years, but this move failed to stop the stock's decline.

"The music stopped, the game's over. Now I'm starting to panic, can I get out unscathed?" Allan Teh has lost about $1.5 million. "How much will the final loss on this investment be?" Forward Industries declined to comment.

The proliferation of DAT companies has alerted the SEC. "Clearly, we are very concerned about this," agency Chairman Paul Atkins said in an interview last month at a cryptocurrency conference in Miami. "We are closely monitoring developments."

And behind this new track in cryptocurrency lies the strong support of the Trump family.

World Liberty Financial's founders include Trump's son Eric Trump and Zach Witkoff

In August, World Liberty Financial announced that its founders (including the president's son, Eric Trump) would join the board of ALT5 Sigma. This publicly traded company plans to hoard the WLFI crypto token issued by World Liberty Financial (Eric Trump's current title is Strategic Advisor and Board Observer).

This collaboration seemed poised to quickly benefit the Trump family. According to the revenue-sharing agreement published on World Liberty Financial's website, commercial entities owned by the Trump family receive a cut whenever WLFI tokens are traded.

Subsequently, ALT5 Sigma's business took a turn for the worse. In August, the company disclosed that an executive at one of its subsidiaries had been convicted of money laundering in Rwanda, and the board was investigating other "undisclosed matters." Soon after, ALT5 Sigma announced the suspension of its CEO and terminated contracts with two other executives.

Since August, the company's stock price has plummeted 85%. An ALT5 Sigma spokesperson said the company "remains confident about its future development."

Flash Crash: A Trillion in Market Value Vanishs Overnight

The recent turmoil in the cryptocurrency market can be traced back to one night in October.

Driven by Trump's policies, the cryptocurrency market had been rising for most of this year. But on October 10th, the prices of dozens of cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, collectively crashed in a flash crash.

The immediate trigger for this crash was Trump's announcement of new tariffs on China, a move that caused剧烈震荡 in the global economy. The reason the cryptocurrency market was hit so hard lies in the massive leveraged funds that drove the market up.

On cryptocurrency trading platforms, traders can use their held crypto assets as collateral to borrow fiat currency, or use leveraged funds to increase their cryptocurrency investment positions. Data from crypto data firm Galaxy Research shows that in the third quarter of this year, global cryptocurrency lending grew by $20 billion in a single quarter, reaching a historical peak of $74 billion.

Previously, the riskiest cryptocurrency leverage trades mostly occurred in overseas markets. But in July of this year, the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange, Coinbase, announced the launch of a new investment tool allowing traders to bet on Bitcoin and Ethereum futures prices with 10x leverage. Prior to this, U.S. federal regulators had revoked guidance limiting such leveraged trading, greenlighting Coinbase's new product.

In July, Coinbase exchange launched a 10x leverage cryptocurrency trading tool

October's flash crash, while not causing an industry catastrophe like the 2022 bankruptcy of several major cryptocurrency firms, served as a wake-up call for the market, signaling the潜藏 systemic crisis in the cryptocurrency领域.

The nature of leveraged trading is that losses are magnified when the market falls. Trading platforms force liquidate positions, selling clients' collateral assets, a process that often further exacerbates price declines.

Data from cryptocurrency data firm CoinGlass shows that on October 10th alone, at least $19 billion worth of cryptocurrency leveraged trades were liquidated globally, affecting 1.6 million traders. This wave of liquidations was concentrated on platforms like Binance, OKX, and Bybit.

The crash caused a surge in trading volume, leading to technical failures at several major exchanges, preventing traders from moving funds promptly. Coinbase said it was aware that some users "experienced delays or degraded system performance during trading."

Derek Bartron, a software developer in Tennessee and also a cryptocurrency investor, said his Coinbase account was frozen during the flash crash. "I wanted to close my position and exit, but there was no way to operate," Derek Bartron said. "Coinbase effectively locked users' funds. We could only watch helplessly as asset values plummeted."

Derek Bartron said that in the days following the flash crash, his cryptocurrency assets lost about $50,000, partly because he couldn't close positions in time to stop losses.

A Coinbase spokesperson responded that the company provides automated risk management tools, "These tools functioned normally during this market volatility, and our exchange remained stable throughout the incident."

A Binance spokesperson admitted the exchange "experienced technical issues due to a surge in trading volume" and said measures had been taken to compensate affected users.

Crazy Experiment: The Regulatory Dilemma of the Tokenization Wave

One night this summer, cryptocurrency entrepreneurs Chris Yin and Teddy Pornprinya, dressed in formal wear, appeared at the Kennedy Center in Washington, D.C., attending a grand black-tie dinner.

The dinner was star-studded. Chris Yin, in a tuxedo bought the night before, met U.S. Vice President JD Vance, who had previously been involved in Silicon Valley venture capital; he and Teddy Pornprinya also spoke with former hedge fund manager and current U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent; they even took a photo with Trump, who gave a thumbs up to the camera.

Chris Yin and Teddy Pornprinya were there to pave the way for their startup, Plume. The company is advancing an industry-disrupting innovation plan, attempting to expand the underlying technology of cryptocurrency to a wider financial领域.

For months, Plume has been seeking permission from U.S. regulators to build an online trading platform that issues crypto tokens to clients pegged to real-world assets, covering everything from publicly traded company stocks to farms, oil wells, and other physical entities.

Plume founders Chris Yin and Teddy Pornprinya at the Empire State Building

Currently, Plume has launched such tokenized products in overseas markets, where clients can buy and sell these asset tokens like cryptocurrencies. But this business, known as asset tokenization, exists in a legal gray area in the U.S. Securities laws enacted decades ago impose strict regulatory rules on the issuance of equity in various assets, requiring issuers to disclose detailed information to protect investor rights.

This year, asset tokenization has become the hottest concept in the cryptocurrency industry. Industry executives claim that tokenized stocks can make stock trading more efficient and faster, creating a 24/7 global trading market. The major U.S. cryptocurrency exchange Kraken has already launched crypto-based stock trading services for clients in overseas markets.

Cryptocurrency industry executives say that cryptocurrency transactions are recorded on a public ledger, making them more transparent than the traditional financial system. "All transactions are traceable and auditable," said Kraken CEO Arjun Sethi. "It carries almost no risk."

Representatives from Kraken and Coinbase have met with the SEC to discuss regulatory rules for tokenized assets; meanwhile, Plume is also seeking a legal path to expand its business in the U.S.

But this race for tokenized products has raised concerns among current and former regulatory officials, as well as executives from traditional financial giants.

In September this year, Federal Reserve economists warned that asset tokenization could lead to the传导 of cryptocurrency market risks to the entire financial system, "weakening policymakers' ability to maintain the stability of the payment system during times of market stress."

SEC Chairman Paul Atkins, however, has a positive attitude towards tokenized stocks, calling them a "major technological breakthrough." "Under the securities laws, the Commission has broad discretion to provide regulatory support for the cryptocurrency industry. I am determined to push this work forward," Atkins said at a roundtable meeting on asset tokenization in May.

To promote their company's compliance, Chris Yin and Teddy Pornprinya have taken a series of measures. In May, the two met with the SEC's cryptocurrency task force; they also provided chart support for the White House's cryptocurrency industry report; and set up Plume's U.S. headquarters on the 77th floor of the Empire State Building.

At that black-tie dinner in Washington this summer, Trump's team showed great interest in the two founders. "They knew about Plume," Teddy Pornprinya recalled. "Everyone was somewhat aware of our business."

A few weeks later, Plume announced a key partnership, establishing a business relationship with the Trump family's World Liberty Financial.

Domande pertinenti

QWhat is the core concern raised by economists and regulators regarding the recent cryptocurrency boom under Trump's policies?

AThe core concern is the massive expansion of leverage in the cryptocurrency market. Companies have borrowed heavily to buy crypto, and investors' futures contracts have exceeded $200 billion, creating systemic risks that could spread to the entire financial system if the crypto market crashes.

QHow did the 'crypto treasury company' model work, and what risks did it pose?

AThe 'crypto treasury company' (DAT) model involved executives taking over small public companies to transform them into entities that hoard large amounts of cryptocurrency, raising funds from investors to buy crypto. The risks included inexperience of management, high leverage with over $20 billion in planned borrowing, and vulnerability to market crashes, leading to significant investor losses.

QWhat event triggered the sharp crash in the cryptocurrency market in October, and what role did leverage play?

AThe crash was sparked by Trump's announcement of new tariffs on China, which caused global economic turbulence. Leverage magnified the losses, as traders used borrowed funds to amplify their bets. When prices fell, exchanges forced liquidations, selling off collateral and exacerbating the decline, with $19 billion in leveraged positions liquidated in one day.

QWhat is asset tokenization, and why is it controversial according to regulators?

AAsset tokenization involves creating cryptocurrency tokens that represent real-world assets like stocks, farms, or oil wells, allowing them to be traded on crypto platforms. It is controversial because it operates in a regulatory gray area, potentially bypassing traditional securities laws that require detailed disclosures to protect investors, and could transmit crypto market risks to the broader financial system.

QHow is the Trump family's business interests connected to the cryptocurrency companies mentioned in the article?

AThe Trump family, through World Liberty Financial (founded by Eric Trump and Zach Witkoff), has ties to several crypto companies. For example, Trump family members joined the board of ALT5 Sigma, a company planning to hoard World Liberty's token WLFI, and Plume partnered with World Liberty Financial, blurring the lines between business and government interests.

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