Is A Bitcoin Christmas Rally Possible? Why Price Could Crash To $80,000

bitcoinistPubblicato 2025-12-26Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-12-26

Introduzione

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading downward near $87,000, but analyst RBswingtrader suggests a Christmas rally is still possible, though a further crash to $80,000—or even $74,185—could occur first. The analyst identifies an Elliott Wave structure with a corrective pattern, noting key supports at $87,106, $86,169, and $83,986. A breakdown could trigger deeper losses. However, growing accumulation volume and a bullish RSI divergence hint at potential upward momentum. Reclaiming the $96,690–$96,836 Fibonacci level may support a rally back toward $108,519.

It’s the holiday season, and Bitcoin (BTC) is trading downwards after plunging toward the $87,000 region. Although the cryptocurrency has struggled for months, failing to reclaim key resistance levels, a crypto analyst believes Bitcoin could still stage a major Christmas rally. As the analyst outlines a potential roadmap for this projected upswing, he cautions that a further price crash to $80,000, or even lower, remains a strong possibility.

Bitcoin Risks Crash To $80,000

Crypto analyst RBswingtrader shared a Bitcoin market outlook on X the day before Christmas, outlining multiple scenarios that could determine whether the cryptocurrency resumes an upward trend or faces further downside. The analyst noted that smart money is currently buying Bitcoin in a new zone and also cautioned that a final price crash, potentially driven by market manipulation, could occur before a trend reversal.

According to his analysis, Bitcoin could still decline to a fresh local low around $80,000 before strong buyers enter the market. The analyst stressed the importance of patience, viewing this potential dip as part of a broader accumulation strategy.

He shared a chart highlighting BTC trading under a declining orange Moving Average (MA) after a sharp selloff from the $108,519 resistance zone. The analyst noted that the cryptocurrency’s price had previously failed at the upper range and rolled over into a strong downtrend that has persisted for weeks.

RBswingtrader further pinpointed a clear Elliott Wave structure on the BTC chart, with waves labeled from one through five, followed by an ABC corrective pattern. Wave 3 accelerated Bitcoin’s selloff, while Wave 5 appears to be developing, with downside targets still open. Multiple key support levels were also highlighted, including $87,106, $86,169, and $83,986.

The analyst warned that a deeper breakdown from these support levels could open the door to a potential crash toward $80,427, with an extended lower target near $74,185 if Bitcoin’s selling pressure intensifies. He also plotted multiple Fibonacci retracement levels that align with the lower support zones for the BTC price.

Notably, the volume data at the bottom of the chart indicates a large accumulation trend through December. Increased trading activity supports the view that large players are taking advantage of dips and building positions despite Bitcoin’s weak price action.

Is A Christmas Rally Still Possible For BTC?

In RBswingtrader’s chart, a potential Christmas rally for Bitcoin was illustrated with an upward projection targeting the $108,519 region if the price recovers from its current lows. The chart indicated that growing accumulation volume this December and the Bullish Divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) could support upward momentum.

RBswingtrader also noted that reclaiming key technical levels, including the 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement near $96,690-$96,836, could support Bitcoin’s potential upward move. At the time of writing, the leading cryptocurrency is trading around $87,669.

BTC fails to hold $89,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com

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Domande pertinenti

QAccording to the analyst RBswingtrader, what is the potential downside target for Bitcoin if selling pressure intensifies?

AThe analyst warned that if selling pressure intensifies, Bitcoin could experience a deeper breakdown toward $80,427, with an extended lower target near $74,185.

QWhat technical indicator, mentioned in the growing accumulation volume, is cited as a potential support for upward momentum in a Christmas rally?

AA Bullish Divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is cited as a potential support for upward momentum, alongside the growing accumulation volume.

QWhat key Fibonacci Retracement level does the analyst say needs to be reclaimed to support a potential upward move for Bitcoin?

AThe analyst noted that reclaiming the 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement level near $96,690-$96,836 could support Bitcoin's potential upward move.

QWhat market behavior does the volume data at the bottom of the chart indicate is happening through December?

AThe volume data indicates a large accumulation trend, suggesting that large players are taking advantage of price dips to build positions despite Bitcoin's weak price action.

QWhat classic technical analysis pattern did the analyst identify on the Bitcoin chart, and what were its components?

AThe analyst identified a clear Elliott Wave structure with waves labeled one through five, which was followed by an ABC corrective pattern.

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