Crypto index funds ‘a big deal’ as market complexity grows: Bitwise CIO

cointelegraphPubblicato 2025-12-09Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-12-09

Introduzione

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan predicts crypto index funds will surge in popularity in 2026 as investors seek diversified exposure amid growing market complexity. He argues that predicting individual token performance is nearly impossible due to regulatory, macroeconomic, and execution variables. Instead, he advocates for market-cap-weighted crypto index funds to capture broad growth without risking wrong bets on specific chains. Hougan believes the market could grow up to 20 times in a decade, driven by tokenization, stablecoins, DeFi, and other emerging use cases. Despite recent market gains fueled by pro-crypto policies, uncertainty around tariffs and interest rates persists.

Funds that track a basket of cryptocurrencies are likely to rocket in popularity next year as investors look to get easy exposure to a broader range of digital assets, according to Bitwise’s investment chief Matt Hougan.

“Crypto index funds are going to be a big deal in 2026,” Hougan said in a note on Monday. “The market is getting more complex and the use cases are multiplying.”

He added that while the overall crypto market is poised to grow, it isn’t possible to predict which tokens will perform, so owning a fund that tracks the market is a “great place to start,” although it’s “not right for everyone.”

Many exchange-traded fund issuers, including Bitwise, offer funds that track multiple cryptocurrencies, drawing inspiration from indexes such as the S&P 500, which track the top 500 companies on US stock exchanges.

Multi-crypto ETFs already exist, with some going live in the US earlier this year that hold crypto in proportion to each token’s market capitalization. However, these have seen relatively modest inflows as they largely hold Bitcoin (BTC), which currently dominates nearly 60% of the market, per CoinGecko.

“Buy the market” as crypto is unknowable

Hougan said that despite his experience and network of experts within crypto, he can’t say “with confidence which chain will win, or precisely how things will turn out.”

“At this stage of crypto’s development, I’d argue it’s unknowable,” he added. “Outcomes will be shaped by regulation, execution, macro conditions, the actions of a few key individuals, luck, and a hundred other variables.”

“Forecasting all of that correctly would require supernatural foresight.”

Crypto markets rallied from November 2024 to January through Donald Trump’s presidential election and inauguration and have remained elevated on his pro-crypto policies.

However, crypto has felt the negative effects of sweeping US tariffs and uncertainty over further interest rates cuts as traditional finance becomes more involved in the market.

“Given that uncertainty, my approach is simple: I buy the market,” Hougan said. “Specifically, I buy a market-cap-weighted crypto index fund.”

He added that crypto “will be far more important in 10 years than it is today,” and the market could grow up to 20 times over that time.

Hougan pointed to Securities and Exchange Commission chair Paul Atkins’ comment on Wednesday that the US financial system could embrace tokenization in a “couple of years.”

Related: Bank of America backs 1%–4% crypto allocation, opens door to Bitcoin ETFs

“Stablecoins will matter more. Tokenization will matter more. Bitcoin will matter more. And I think a dozen other major use cases will follow: prediction markets, decentralized finance (DeFi), privacy tech, digital identity,” Hougan said.

“I don’t want to risk picking the wrong chain,” he added. “Imagine correctly calling a market that goes up 100,000x—and still underperforming because you backed the wrong horse.”

“So I use a crypto index fund as the core of my portfolio,” Hougan said, “knowing that, however crypto evolves, I’ll own exposure to the potential winners.”

Magazine: Solana vs Ethereum ETFs, Facebook’s influence on Bitwise — Hunter Horsley

Crypto di tendenza

Letture associate

Has Bitcoin Bottomed, or Is a 'Shakeout' Approaching? What's the Situation with XRP?

Cryptocurrency analytics platform Santiment shared key insights on Bitcoin and altcoin markets, highlighting significant signals from on-chain data. Analysis shows Bitcoin's 365-day MVRV ratio has fallen to -26%, indicating substantial losses for long-term holders, a level historically associated with market bottom formations and long-term buying opportunities. While short-term MVRV is near breakeven, suggesting no clear directional signal, the annual perspective points to a bottom before bullish cycles. On-chain data reveals divergent behavior: large wallets (10-10,000 BTC) have been accumulating, adding ~18,500 BTC in 10 days, while smaller retail investors continue buying dips. Analysts caution that high retail demand can sometimes create a risk of a final market shakeout or correction. The altcoin market shows a mixed picture. Ethereum's 365-day MVRV is around -33%, but recent monthly gains combined with overly optimistic social sentiment pose a short-term correction risk. XRP is in oversold territory with 30-day and 365-day MVRVs at -57.5% and -45.5% respectively, signaling potential for a strong mid-to-long term rebound. Social activity and optimism are rising for Solana, while investor sentiment remains calmer towards Cardano. Future direction for Bitcoin and altcoins depends not only on on-chain metrics but also on macroeconomic and regulatory developments. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and upcoming policy rulings are increasing market volatility expectations, while uncertainty around the U.S. Congressional clarity process continues to pressure pricing. *This is not investment advice.

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Has Bitcoin Bottomed, or Is a 'Shakeout' Approaching? What's the Situation with XRP?

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Bank of Korea Reveals Results of Tokenized Deposit Testing

The Bank of Korea has announced the results of its pilot test for tokenized deposits. Involving 28 central banks and international financial organizations, the project saw participation from major South Korean banks including KB Kookmin Bank, NH NongHyup Bank, Shinhan Bank, Woori Bank, and Hana Bank. Transactions, from payment orders to final settlement, were completed in real time, averaging just 80 seconds. The test involved 30 transactions across 17 different scenarios—such as corporate and interbank transfers—and was conducted in six currencies, including the Korean won, US dollar, and euro, with a total transaction value reaching approximately $995,000. The central bank reported that the platform operated stably throughout, despite being only partially connected to the existing banking infrastructure. Settlements using tokenized deposits were executed seamlessly, quickly, and transparently. An internal transfer of 20 million won (about $13,890) between NH NongHyup Bank and Shinhan Bank was also successfully processed via the Project Agora platform, which involved connecting to the Bank of Korea's CBDC test platform, Project Hangang. Additionally, KB Kookmin Bank and Japan's MUFG Bank tested cross-border payments using these deposit tokens—digital certificates issued by commercial banks within the pilot, not directly by the central bank. The Bank of Korea plans to continue testing payments with tokenized deposits. This follows last year's pledge by South Korean authorities to tighten regulations for won-based stablecoins, which will require approval from both the central bank and the Financial Services Commission.

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Bank of Korea Reveals Results of Tokenized Deposit Testing

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