Crypto ETPs could see a flood of liquidations by 2027: Analyst

cointelegraphPubblicato 2025-12-18Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-12-18

Introduzione

Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart predicts that while over 100 crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs) could launch in 2026, a significant number will face liquidation by 2027 due to insufficient demand and low assets under management. This follows a trend of ETF closures, with 244 shutting down in the U.S. in 2023 alone. The anticipated surge in approvals is linked to the SEC's new generic listing standards, which streamline the process. Despite the success of major spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs, which have attracted tens of billions in inflows, more speculative products, including those tracking tokens like Solana, have seen smaller inflows, and some, such as two ARK 21Shares ETFs, have already been liquidated this year.

More than 100 crypto exchange-traded products are likely to hit the market in 2026, but many of them will quickly be shuttered due to a lack of demand, an analyst says.

Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart said on Wednesday that he agreed with a 2026 prediction from crypto asset manager Bitwise that over 100 crypto ETFs would launch, but said many wouldn’t last.

“We’re going to see a lot of liquidations in crypto ETP products. Might happen at [the] tail end of 2026 but likely by the end of 2027,” Seyffart said, adding that over 126 ETP applications are currently awaiting an outcome from the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

“Issuers are throwing A LOT of product at the wall.”

Last year, a total of 622 ETFs closed down, including over 189 in the US, The Daily Upside noted last month. Morningstar reported in January 2024 that the 244 ETFs that closed in the US in 2023 had an average age of 5.4 years.

Source: James Seyffart

Most of these investment products shut down because they failed to attract sufficient inflows, resulting in low assets under management.

Several crypto ETPs have already been liquidated this year, the most noteworthy were the ARK 21Shares Active Bitcoin Ethereum Strategy ETF (ARKY) and ARK 21Shares Active On‐Chain Bitcoin Strategy ETF (ARKC).

SEC’s listing standards to spur mass approvals

Industry analysts expect an explosion in the number of crypto ETPs approved in 2026 under the SEC’s new generic listing standards, which no longer require that each application be assessed on a case-by-case basis.

Even before the SEC’s generic listing standards came into effect in September, asset managers had filed to launch ETFs tied to increasingly speculative tokens, such as Melania Trump‘s memecoin.

ETFs tracking Litecoin (LTC), Solana (SOL), and XRP (XRP) launched with relative success this year, expanding from the Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) ETFs that launched in 2024.

Related: Bitcoin institutional buys flip new supply for the first time in 6 weeks

Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US have accumulated $57.6 billion worth of inflows since launching in January 2024, while spot Ether ETFs have amassed $12.6 billion since July 2024, Farside Investors data shows.

Meanwhile, spot Solana ETFs from Bitwise, VanEck, Fidelity, 21Shares, Franklin Templeton, and Grayscale have seen $725 million since late October.

Magazine: Quantum attacking Bitcoin would be a waste of time: Kevin O’Leary

Crypto di tendenza

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A 'Overlooked' Market Event: Joint US-Japan-South Korea Intervention, Rare US Treasury Involvement, and Bessent's Quiet 'Market Rescue'?

Summary: The United States, Japan, and South Korea executed their largest coordinated foreign exchange intervention in nearly 30 years. The action targeted depreciation pressure on the Japanese yen and South Korean won. This move is seen as a significant effort by the US to stabilize the financial markets of its key allies and prevent the spillover of risks. Key details: * Japan reportedly intervened on July 30 using approximately 8.45 trillion yen (about $52.8 billion). South Korean authorities also intervened that day, selling dollars to support the won. * Notably, the US Treasury Department intervened directly in yen markets for the first time in roughly 30 years. The New York Fed, reportedly acting on behalf of the Treasury, sold euros to buy yen via Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on July 31. Analysts view the use of the euro-yen pair as a way to alleviate yen pressure without adding selling pressure to the US dollar. * Prior to the action, the New York Fed conducted "rate checks" on both USD/JPY and EUR/JPY, a newer signaling tool that falls between verbal and physical intervention. The intervention is interpreted as going beyond traditional currency stabilization. Analysts, such as Michael Hartnett of Bank of America, suggest it resembles a "Price Keeping Operation" for the AI era. The core US objectives are perceived to be: 1. Preventing rapid yen depreciation from triggering a sharp rise in Japanese government bond yields. 2. Containing financial stress from spreading across Asian markets like South Korea and Japan. 3. Reducing the risk of disorderly capital flows impacting the US bond market. This coordinated action underscores the importance of Japan and South Korea as critical partners in the US semiconductor and AI supply chain. Stabilizing their financial markets is seen as vital to mitigating risks to the broader tech industry and the US market itself. The intervention coincides with market pressures, including the KOSDAQ index hitting a low since October 2022. While seen as a move to control volatility, some analysts caution it may not fundamentally reverse existing market trends.

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A 'Overlooked' Market Event: Joint US-Japan-South Korea Intervention, Rare US Treasury Involvement, and Bessent's Quiet 'Market Rescue'?

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Will the Federal Reserve Definitely Raise Interest Rates in September? How Will Cryptocurrencies and US Stocks Bear the Pressure?

In early August 2024, market expectations for a September Federal Reserve rate hike surged dramatically, from below 50% to over 80%, driven by renewed inflation concerns. This shift followed a contentious July FOMC meeting where a 9-3 vote to hold rates revealed a growing hawkish faction advocating for an immediate hike, citing prolonged above-target inflation. The key catalyst is escalating conflict near the Strait of Hormuz, which has pushed oil prices up approximately 20% in July, threatening to reignite inflation. The next critical data point is the July CPI report on August 12th; a hot reading could solidify hike expectations. For crypto assets, particularly Bitcoin, this represents near-term pressure. Bitcoin continues to exhibit high-beta, risk-on characteristics, making it sensitive to tightening liquidity and higher opportunity costs. However, historical precedent suggests that if a hike is perceived as the cycle's end rather than its start, the negative impact may be brief, with markets quickly pivoting to anticipate future rate cuts. U.S. stocks, especially crypto-linked equities like Coinbase and high-valuation tech stocks, face amplified volatility. Higher rates increase discount rates in valuation models, pressuring growth stocks. This coincides with a pivotal tech earnings season where investor focus has shifted from massive AI capital expenditures to demonstrable revenue and cash flow generation. Companies with negative cash flows and weak growth narratives could see severe pressure if a September hike materializes, as financing costs would rise. Key indicators to watch include oil prices, upcoming inflation data, and Fed commentary at events like the Jackson Hole symposium.

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From South Korea to the United States: Blue-Collar Jobs Are Becoming Increasingly Popular, Thanks to AI

AI is reshaping the labor market's value proposition. The traditional four-year college degree is losing its appeal as a guaranteed career path, while skilled blue-collar trades like electricians, welders, and plumbers are experiencing historic demand and wage premiums. This shift is driven by dual pressures: AI's displacement of certain white-collar roles and a booming need for physical infrastructure and data center construction. Data confirms the trend. In the U.S., vocational school revenue surged, and a significant portion of recent layoffs are AI-related. Surveys show a majority of Gen Z adults plan to pursue blue-collar work, citing better job security against AI automation. Vocational education interest has exploded recently. Experts cite a psychological shift as younger generations seek tangible, AI-resistant careers and avoid high student debt. In many cases, salaries for skilled trades now match or exceed those requiring a bachelor's degree. In South Korea, semiconductor vocational high schools boast near-total employment, with graduates securing high-paying roles at companies like Samsung. The shortage is structural, exacerbated by a retiring baby boomer workforce and massive infrastructure projects. Companies like JPMorgan Chase, Meta, and Lowe's are investing heavily in training programs. However, overcoming historical stigma and a "perception gap" around trade careers remains a key challenge to closing the talent gap.

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