Cardano’s $0.244 defense returns, but will on-chain activity pull ADA down?

ambcryptoPubblicato 2026-02-16Pubblicato ultima volta 2026-02-16

Introduzione

Cardano (ADA) has declined by 5% in the past 24 hours and continues to struggle after falling out of the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap. It is currently trading above a key support level at $0.244, which has historically been a significant demand zone. Despite breaking below the 9 EMA, the 21 EMA remains strong, and the Chaikin Money Flow indicates capital inflow. Market sentiment is mixed: retail and whale accounts are largely long on ADA, while smart money remains bearish. On-chain activity has been lackluster, with stagnant active addresses and no growth in stablecoin market cap since August 2025. Although trading volume has seen a gradual increase, liquidity concerns persist. The altcoin's future direction remains uncertain due to these conflicting signals.

Cardano [ADA], which lost 5% in the past 24 hours, is still struggling a week after falling out of the top 10 most-capped cryptos.

The gap between ADA and Bitcoin Cash [BCH], which is at position ten, was widening as it was more than $1.20 billion.

The altcoin has persistently displayed weakness, yet the recent support level may mark a significant turning point.

Cardano holds above a key support level

On the three-day chart, Cardano was trading above a demand zone that bulls had defended since mid-2023. The zone at $0.244 initiated the move that reached $1.186 as 2024 came to a close.

On the 4-hour chart, the $0.537 zone was above where the current downtrend started. Price broke above this descending trendline resistance and was retesting it.

However, the altcoin was trading between the two short-term EMAs. Cardano had broken below the 9 EMA, but the 21 EMA was still holding strong.

On the capital flow side, money was moving into ADA, as seen in the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which was at 0.15. This was evident from the data on ADA Futures: longs vs. shorts.

Whales and retail go long

Whales, retail, and smart money had different views. However, in some instances, whales and retail appeared to align, while smart money remained generally bearish.

As per CoinGlass data, the Long/Short Ratio on Binance was bullish, with retail at 2.48, whale accounts at 2.77, and whale positions at 1.58. Smart money sentiment was extremely bearish even on Bybit.

OKX and Bybit had the same sentiment, but whale positions on both were bearish, at 0.78 and 0.97, respectively. This meant that whales and retail were buying while smart money was selling.

Apart from the lack of clarity in the price direction due to this mixed sentiment, activity was also not looking promising.

Cardano lags on-chain!

As per data from Token Terminal, the daily trading volume of the past week has been growing gradually. This was after a drop from the week’s high of $614 million.

When writing, the volume was at $549 million, a gradual increase from this week’s daily low of $364 million.

Additionally, active addresses have been stagnant since last year in March, even though there have been a few spikes. There were only 17,691 active addresses on the day.

Moreover, its stablecoin market cap had not shown growth since August of 2025. This indicated that liquidity could be a problem despite the high cumulative trading volume.


Final Summary

  • Cardano trades above its most important support level with whales and retail going long.
  • ADA was experiencing lagging network activity, which explained why the altcoin had dropped so hard.

Domande pertinenti

QWhat is the key support level that Cardano (ADA) is currently trading above, and why is it significant?

ACardano is trading above the $0.244 support level, which is significant because it is a demand zone that bulls have defended since mid-2023 and it initiated the price surge that reached $1.186 by the end of 2024.

QAccording to the data from CoinGlass, what was the sentiment of whales, retail, and smart money regarding ADA on Binance?

AOn Binance, the sentiment was bullish for retail (Long/Short Ratio of 2.48) and whales (2.77), while smart money was extremely bearish.

QWhat does the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) value of 0.15 indicate about the capital flow for ADA?

AA Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) value of 0.15 indicates that money was moving into ADA, suggesting positive capital inflow.

QWhat two on-chain metrics are highlighted as concerning or stagnant for the Cardano network?

AThe two concerning on-chain metrics are stagnant active addresses, with only 17,691 on the day, and a stablecoin market cap that has not shown growth since August 2025, indicating potential liquidity issues.

QWhat was the gap in market capitalization between ADA and the crypto in the 10th position (Bitcoin Cash) at the time of writing?

AThe gap in market capitalization between Cardano (ADA) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH) in the 10th position was more than $1.20 billion.

Letture associate

Raising Interest Rates Is Not a Tech Killer, EPS Is: A Strategy for Discarding the Weak and Retaining the Strong After the AI Theme's Sharp Decline

**Summary: Rising Interest Rates Are Not the Killer of Tech; EPS Is: The "Keep the Strong, Ditch the Weak" Strategy After the AI Theme Plunge** The author argues that the sharp sell-off in tech and AI-related stocks, triggered by a strong US jobs report that heightened Fed rate hike fears, represents a "pullback to pick up passengers" rather than a "car crash." The true end of a tech bull market is not determined by an extra 25 basis point hike, but by industry overcapacity and the disproval of earnings per share (EPS) expectations. Historical analysis shows that during past rate hike cycles, the Nasdaq-100 often outperformed, provided EPS growth remained strong. The current phase is seen as a shift from a "broad narrative-driven rally" to a "focused verification stage" for AI. The investment strategy should be to "keep the strong, ditch the weak." * **Retain exposure** to high-conviction AI infrastructure leaders with clear order visibility, stable margins, strong cash flow, and upward EPS revisions (e.g., AI servers, advanced packaging, optical modules, key cloud suppliers). * **Reduce exposure** to high-beta, narrative-driven stocks with unclear profit paths (e.g., some quantum computing, space, or speculative chip stocks), especially on rebounds. Valuation concerns should focus on whether earnings can catch up to high multiples, not on high P/E alone. Crowded positioning signals a concentration into quality assets, not necessarily a market top. The upcoming Q2 earnings season will be a key validation point. The core principle is to hold stocks with proven EPS, while using macro events (CPI data, central bank meetings) to manage timing and risk.

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Raising Interest Rates Is Not a Tech Killer, EPS Is: A Strategy for Discarding the Weak and Retaining the Strong After the AI Theme's Sharp Decline

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Benvenuto nella Community HTX. Qui puoi rimanere informato sugli ultimi sviluppi della piattaforma e accedere ad approfondimenti esperti sul mercato. Le opinioni degli utenti sul prezzo di ADA ADA sono presentate come di seguito.

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