Aster Chain’s Mainnet Set for March Launch as ASTER Token Surges Over 14%

Analysis Report on Prediction Markets for the Russia-Ukraine War

As global tensions rise due to events like the Russia-Ukraine war, the Gaza conflict, and other geopolitical risks, the demand for open-source intelligence (OSINT) has grown significantly. This report analyzes the predictive market, particularly Polymarket, as a form of OSINT that leverages public data to forecast outcomes. Initially serving blockchain users, Polymarket gained mainstream attention during the 2024 U.S. presidential election by accurately predicting Trump’s victory with 65% probability a week before results were official, reaching 90% on election night—outperforming traditional polls and media. With $3.686 billion in trading volume, the event shifted perceptions of predictive markets from mere gambling to a credible data source. The core value lies not in betting itself, but in the informational edge it provides, allowing insiders to signal outcomes—from entertainment awards to geopolitical events—through market activity. This transforms traditional information flow, enabling early insight into everything from business decisions to military movements, making market prices a powerful real-time signal.

marsbit19 min fa

The Cycle Without A Ceiling: Why Bitcoin’s Missing Peak Rewrites The Rules For The 2026 Bottom

Bitcoin remains below $70,000 amid persistent selling pressure and cautious market sentiment, with analysts warning a deeper correction below $60,000 is possible. However, a CryptoQuant report suggests Bitcoin may be nearing an undervalued zone based on on-chain metrics. The MVRV ratio is around 1.1, approaching levels historically linked to accumulation phases. Unlike previous cycles, Bitcoin did not reach extreme overvaluation before correcting, meaning this downturn may not mirror past capitulation patterns. Technically, Bitcoin shows a bearish structure with lower highs and lows, trading below key moving averages. The $60,000 level is critical; reclaiming $70,000 is necessary for any sustained recovery.

bitcoinist33 min fa

Crypto’s Dark Side: Funds To Suspected Human Traffickers Climb 85% In 2025

bitcoinist37 min fa

Decred surges 11%: – Can DCR flip KEY price level and retest $27?

Decred (DCR) surged 11.72% to $24.12, rebounding from a recent low of $21 and approaching a key resistance level at $25. Market dynamics shifted as buyer strength rose to 62, while seller dominance dropped to 37. Key indicators, including the Accumulation/Distribution Volume and Buy-Sell Volume, showed increased accumulation with a positive buy-sell delta, signaling aggressive spot buying. The RSI made a bullish crossover to 59, and the DMI rose to 27, indicating strengthened upward momentum. If demand holds, DCR could target $27; however, a loss of momentum may lead to a pullback toward $20.

ambcrypto37 min fa

Less Than a Year in Office and Leaving Again: Why Are Core Figures of the Ethereum Foundation Departing Once More?

Tomasz Stańczak, the co-executive director of the Ethereum Foundation (EF), has announced his resignation, just 11 months after taking the role. He was appointed alongside Hsiao-Wei Wang in March 2025, replacing long-time leader Aya Miyaguchi amid community criticism that EF was too slow and disconnected. Stańczak, founder of core Ethereum client Nethermind, was brought in to make EF more decisive and execution-focused. During his tenure, he streamlined operations, refocused strategy on Layer-1 scaling, accelerated upgrade timelines, and pushed new initiatives in AI integration and privacy. His departure hints at internal tension. In his statement, Stańczak suggested his ability to operate independently within EF diminished as the leadership became more self-sufficient. He expressed a desire to return to hands-on product building, specifically in AI/blockchain convergence, echoing Ethereum’s early experimental spirit. He is replaced by Bastian Aue, a low-profile internal figure focused on "principled" decision-making aligned with "cypherpunk values," signaling a potential shift back towards a coordination-focused rather than execution-driven approach. This leadership change comes at a critical time. EF is preparing to release key proposals on "Lean Ethereum" and future roadmaps, while Ethereum faces intense competition, Layer-2 fragmentation, and market pressure—with its price risk falling below inflation-adjusted 2018 levels.

marsbit53 min fa