【重磅解读】BTC创新低欲变盘，LTC强者恒强

jinjin说币Pubblicato 2022-11-22Pubblicato ultima volta 2022-11-23

Introduzione

BTC价格走势低迷，向下空间仍在。

1、BTC下跌趋势延续

BTC价格的回调趋势延续，11月22日最低点位已经达到了15476美元。也就是说，行情处在了非常关键的变盘位置。4小时K线图小时，BTC价格的布林线已经开始扩张，进一步的破位已经在酝酿中。近期BTC成交量回归平淡以后，下跌趋势仍然有望延续。

2、BTC未确认的亏损占比提升

随着跌幅的不断扩大，BTC的未确认亏损交易占比明显回升，11月22日的数值达到了0.62，为3年来最高水平。同时，随着BTC价格持续低迷，并且短期反弹空间不高，使得亏损盘占比维持高位运行。未确认的亏损交易占比超过60%，意味着新进投资者亏损持币的压力较大，对BTC反弹的影响明显是利空的。

3、ETH短线回撤到支撑位

ETH价格目前处在低迷运行阶段，4小时K线图中显示，价格达到了近期低位101073美元附近。从成交量上看，ETH成交量在前期下跌期间显著放大，而近期成交量又一次回升，价格或将迎来再次向下的变盘信号。

占比方面，布林线已经开始扩张，ETH价格随时可能出现破位迹象，因此需要关注价格异动的表现。

4、ETH融资利率小幅反弹

ETH融资利率从0以下的区域反弹以后，数值已经逐步靠近了0轴线。不同于11月10日的低迷表现，目前ETH投资者已经开始主动交易ETH。据此判断，ETH价格虽然处在近期低位运行，抛压没有显著增加。但是在支撑点位1073美元附近，价格反弹以前还需要关注调整风险。同时，斐波那契78.6%对应的1106美元压力较强，跌破该点位意味着高达的调整压力出现。

5、 LTC短线强势

由于融资利率波动不大，经常表现为正数的融资利率，因此LTC市场表现较好。LTC价格仍然在60美元上方运行。从支撑来看，LTC在60美元的多头支撑较强。近半年来价格维持横盘整理，近期可继续关注向上的机会。

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