Today’s Crypto Boost: The FED, Inflation, And Global Adoption

newsbtcPubblicato 2022-03-17Pubblicato ultima volta 2022-03-17

Introduzione

Crypto assets saw some wild swings in the day and are now trading to the upside. Risky assets are reacting to the FED's decision to raise rates by 25-basis points,...

Crypto assets saw some wild swings in the day and are now trading to the upside. Risky assets are reacting to the FED’s decision to raise rates by 25-basis points, and the increasing global adoption might be adding weight to the boost.
What Hikes? Crypto Reacts To The FED
The Federal Reserve just lifted rates 25 basis points, raising rates for the first time since 2018. Six more hikes are expected in 2022.
The markets have been experiencing volatility following expectations for a more hawkish FED, given the implications of the Russo-Ukrainian war, rising U.S. inflation, and increasing Covid-19 cases. In the day, the crypto market had a downward reaction first, which experts described as a fake-out, then started to react to the upside.

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The total crypto market cap at $1,7 billion in the daily chart | Source: TradingView.com Experts expressed during a Fox Bussiness Live that the FED is lagging behind and this move will not affect the economy. They added that the FED is giving investors a plain field to do well in stocks, “not worrying about the U.S. economy.”
Similarly, the light interest raise hikes are looking positive for bitcoin and consequently for other crypto-assets as well.
Chair Jerome Powell claimed that “the probability of a recession within the next year is not particularly elevated,” and added, “All signs are that this is a strong economy, one that will be able to flourish — not to say withstand, but certainly flourish — in the face of less accommodative monetary policy.”
As NewsBTC has been reporting, the 25bps hike scenario looks bullish for Bitcoin for its more passive stance.
As many believe the FED’s dovish move comes as a late reaction and will do little to nothing to the U.S. inflation, investors might be taking refuge in Bitcoin as it has happened before. Inflation is expected to remain high at 4.3% by the end of 2022, above the Fed’s annual target of 2.3%.
Keeping savings in the bank only means a loss of purchasing power, and as a result, many people might start to see Bitcoin as a hedge against these losses. Cameron Winklevoss, the co-founder of Gemini, argues that the best way to shield yourself from rising inflation is Bitcoin.
“Imagine paying a money manager 7.9% a year to do absolutely nothing with your money. That’s what inflation is. It’s a hidden management fee that comes with no return. Today, if you hold USD cash, you are paying the US government 7.9% to do nothing with your money. Scary.”
Ukraine Sings Crypto Regulation
Amidst the Russo-Ukrainian war, crypto has also been looking like the only feasible option to the people affected by the invasion and sanctions.
Ukraine has benefited from crypto assets in several ways during the war. They have received over $108 million in donations in crypto-assets and reportedly, citizens have been able to use digital coins as a tool to safely take their funds with them when fleeing the country.
Moreover, regulatory clarity for crypto in the U.S. and other places is expected. Many politicians are taking stances in favor of cryptocurrencies, and Ukraine’s president Zelensky is not lagging behind.
Volodymyr Zelensky just signed a law “on virtual assets” to legalize crypto. An official statement says that this law “creates conditions for the launch of a legal market for virtual assets in Ukraine.”
“The signing of this Law by the President is another important step towards bringing the cryptocurrencies sector out of the shadows and launching a legal market for virtual assets in Ukraine.”
The deputy minister of digital transformation, Alex Bornyakov, expressed that they believe “that crypto industry offers new economic opportunities. We will do our best to bring the bright new future closer as soon as possible.”
This does not mean cryptocurrencies are a legal tender in Ukraine, but crypto holders are now legally protected in the country. This favorable sentiment appears to be growing amongst many politicians and governments around the world, which could turn into a rapidly growing institutional adoption of crypto.
As both Russians and Ukrainians have found themselves in need of an alternative to the traditional financial institutions, they have also sought refuge in bitcoin and stablecoins.
Besides the functional side experienced by Ukrainians, Russians could be finding in crypto a refuge from their devalued ruble. This sets a worldwide example and could end in a positive scenario for the market.

Letture associate

STRC Breaks Below $95: Why Does It Continue to Depeg? Is There Default Risk?

"STRC Falls Below $95: Why the Persistent Depegging and Is There Default Risk?" The article discusses the recent decline in the price of STRC, a perpetual preferred stock issued by Strategy (MSTR) designed to trade around a $100 par value. As of publication, STRC traded at $94.65, raising market concerns. STRC is described as a high-yield cash flow product, offering an 11.50% annual dividend paid monthly. Its "preferred" status grants it priority over common stock for dividends and in liquidation. Key reasons cited for the price depegging include: 1. **Bitcoin's Price Drop:** MSTR's assets are heavily tied to Bitcoin (BTC), which fell over 21% from its recent high, pressuring all Strategy-related products. 2. **Competitive Pressure:** Rival Strive Asset Management's similar product, SATA, offers daily dividends and has maintained its $100 par value with a ~13% yield. In response, Strategy has proposed changing STRC's dividend frequency from monthly to bi-weekly, pending shareholder vote. 3. **Technical Selling:** A break below $100 may have triggered algorithmic selling and stop-losses, exacerbating the decline. Regarding default risk, the analysis suggests it is currently low. Strategy founder Michael Saylor confirmed the June 2026 dividend rate remains at 11.50% with no cuts or suspensions. The company's massive reserve of 843,706 BTC provides a significant backstop for its obligations. Industry opinions are mixed. Some analysts view the BTC holdings as reliable support for dividends, while critics like Peter Schiff warn of potential dividend cuts leading to price crashes and lawsuits. Others highlight inflation risk and the company's ability to reduce dividends without a formal default. In summary, STRC's drop is attributed to BTC volatility, competition, and technical factors. While immediate default risk appears contained, the product faces challenges from market conditions and competitive dynamics.

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STRC Breaks Below $95: Why Does It Continue to Depeg? Is There Default Risk?

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AI Trading Cools, South Korean Stocks Plunge 1.8%, Spot Gold Rises 1%, Bitcoin Dives

A sell-off in AI-related stocks, triggered by Broadcom's disappointing earnings forecast, sent shockwaves through global markets. South Korea's KOSPI led Asia's decline, plunging 1.8% as the risks from concentrated chip stock gains and surging leveraged investments came to the fore. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.5% following Broadcom's 14% after-hours plunge, which signaled a slower-than-expected transition to AI clients. This pullback extended Wall Street's weakness, halting the S&P 500's nine-day rally amid hawkish Fed signals and renewed Middle East tensions. South Korean authorities convened an emergency meeting, pledging "immediate measures" against market volatility and warning of record-high stock margin debt. The adjustment rippled across assets: Bitcoin fell to around $64,000, its lowest since February, while safe-haven gold rose 1% on bargain hunting. Oil prices dipped on Middle East ceasefire news. Market analysts noted the sell-off was driven by profit-taking after massive gains, particularly in chip stocks like Samsung and SK Hynix, which now dominate the KOSPI. Wall Street banks are divided on Korea's outlook, with Goldman Sachs raising its target while Citigroup and others warn of overvaluation and a potential bubble. Bridgewater's Ray Dalio noted that great technological shifts often create bubbles. Meanwhile, Fed officials' hints at potential future rate hikes added to the cautious mood ahead of key U.S. jobs data.

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AI Trading Cools, South Korean Stocks Plunge 1.8%, Spot Gold Rises 1%, Bitcoin Dives

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