Shiba Inu: Will burn surge and Japan approval push SHIB toward a full recovery?

ambcryptoPubblicato 2025-11-17Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-11-17

Key Takeaways

What drives SHIB’s early recovery signals in the first half?

Strong burn acceleration and Japan’s Green List approval strengthen SHIB’s bullish foundation.

What supports SHIB’s upward momentum in the second half?

Falling exchange reserves and buy-dominant CVD reinforce improving demand conditions.


Shiba Inu’s [SHIB] on-chain activity intensified after more than 18 million SHIB disappeared from circulation in 24 hours, reinforcing a growing supply-shock narrative that aligns with improving market sentiment.

The burn acceleration becomes even more impactful when considering the past week’s destruction of 831 million SHIB, showing a strong increase in community participation. 

These burn levels tighten liquid supply and create better conditions for upward volatility, especially when market structure begins stabilizing. 

Moreover, this trend arrives at a moment when SHIB attempts to hold key support, which strengthens the bullish backdrop. 

Although burns alone cannot spark a rally, this momentum supports a healthier short-term outlook.

Japan’s Green List upgrade gives SHIB a fresh boost

Japan added SHIB to its respected Green List, and this move gives the token a major regulatory advantage in one of the world’s strictest crypto markets. 

The Green List allows a fast-track exchange approval without lengthy reviews, effectively placing SHIB beside Bitcoin and Ethereum in compliance status.

Additionally, Japan’s push toward a 20% flat tax for approved digital assets introduces better conditions for traders who previously faced burdens reaching 55%.

This shift increases SHIB’s attractiveness in a market known for high retail engagement. 

As regulatory clarity improves, SHIB gains a strong legitimacy boost that may influence long-term adoption while supporting short-term sentiment.

SHIB rebounds as bulls defend the $0.0000088 support

SHIB attempts a recovery after buyers firmly defended the $0.00000883 support region, forming a steady bounce on the daily chart. 

The structure now shows a controlled upward drift toward $0.00001029, marking the first meaningful resistance ahead. 

Furthermore, the RSI rests near 39, signaling fading downside strength and potential momentum building at lower levels.

Buyers now eye a push toward $0.00001118, a zone that triggered previous rejections. However, SHIB must maintain higher lows to sustain this move because any breakdown could reset the trend. 

Still, the reaction at support signals resilience, and chart behavior suggests growing confidence from short-term participants.

SHIB price actionSHIB price action

Source: TradingView

Exchange reserves fall and ease immediate sell pressure

Exchange reserves dropped by 1.42%, indicating that holders continue removing SHIB from trading platforms. 

This behavior reduces the amount of supply available for instant selling and often aligns with quiet accumulation phases. 

Lower reserves also create an environment where demand faces less friction, improving SHIB’s ability to sustain rebounds.

Moreover, the trend shows that whales avoid pushing excess supply into exchanges, which weakens downward pressure. This dynamic complements SHIB’s burn activity and the ongoing defense of local support. 

The combined effect strengthens the broader supply-tightening narrative, helping stabilize price behavior after weeks of volatility.

SHIBA INU Exchange Reserve USD - All Exchanges (3)SHIBA INU Exchange Reserve USD - All Exchanges (3)

Source: CryptoQuant

Taker Buy CVD shows buyers regaining short-term control

Spot Taker Buy CVD remains buy-dominant, showing that aggressive buyers actively absorb sell orders during intraday swings. 

This shift highlights improving confidence because buyers choose to lift offers rather than trade passively, which often mirrors strengthening momentum.

Additionally, the CVD structure aligns with SHIB’s rebound from support, signaling that buyers participate consistently during dips. 

This relationship matters because rising buy-side pressure frequently acts as an early signal for continuation patterns. 

Although SHIB still needs stronger confirmation, the behavior across CVD strengthens the argument for a gradual recovery as long as buy-side activity holds firm.

SHIBA INU Spot Taker CVD(Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day) (1)SHIBA INU Spot Taker CVD(Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day) (1)

Source: CryptoQuant

Can SHIB sustain this improving momentum?

SHIB now benefits from multiple supportive factors—strong burn acceleration, major regulatory clarity from Japan, lower exchange reserves, and renewed buy-side strength through CVD. 

These elements improve short-term sentiment and support the rebound from $0.00000883. 

If buyers maintain pressure, SHIB can challenge $0.00001029 and possibly $0.00001118, giving bulls a clearer path to extend this recovery structure.

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Upbit is Anxious: A Hasty Counterattack Aimed at Regaining Stablecoin Market Share

Title: Upbit's Rushed Counterattack to Reclaim Stablecoin Market Share Facing a dramatic shift in South Korea's stablecoin market, leading exchange Upbit launched a promotional campaign from July 26 to August 9, waiving the 0.05% trading fee for stablecoins paired with the Korean Won (KRW) and rapidly listing new stablecoins like RLUSD and USDG. This move is a direct response to its plummeting market share in this sector. Historically a duopoly with Bithumb, the market has been reshaped since October 2025 when Coinone permanently removed fees for USDC trading. By June 2026, Coinone led with 34.8% of stablecoin volume, followed by Bithumb (31.1%) and Upbit (30.1%). This contrasts sharply with the overall crypto market, where Upbit commands 60%. The data shows stablecoin demand is highly sensitive to fees, as users primarily buy them to transfer capital overseas for derivatives trading or forex arbitrage. South Korean exchanges have seen a net outflow of stablecoins for 18 consecutive months, totaling approximately 14.9 trillion KRW, underscoring their role as a cross-border capital conduit. Upbit's limited-time promotion initially boosted its daily stablecoin volume by 162%, but the surge was almost entirely in USDT (98.1% of volume). The newly listed stablecoins saw negligible, fleeting interest. Furthermore, the promotional effect quickly waned in the second week, with volume dropping 33% on weekdays. A concurrent weakening of the KRW also contributed to the trading spike, independent of the fee waiver. The analysis suggests that once the promotion ends, Upbit is unlikely to retain its temporary gains unless it matches Coinone's permanent zero-fee policy, forcing a choice between market share and fee revenue. Upbit's strategic push may be less about immediate profit and more about preparing for future regulatory shifts. With South Korea's *Digital Asset Basic Act* on the horizon, which will regulate KRW-backed stablecoins, and following Dunamu's (Upbit's parent) integration into Naver Financial to build a payment ecosystem, securing a dominant position in the dollar stablecoin distribution channel holds long-term strategic value. However, potential regulatory conflicts could prevent Upbit from listing a future Naver-issued KRW stablecoin, making the current fight for dollar stablecoin flow even more critical.

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Upbit is Anxious: A Hasty Counterattack Aimed at Regaining Stablecoin Market Share

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