3 причины, почему рост Dogecoin к $0,41 лишь откладывается, а не отменяется

cryptonews.ruPubblicato 2025-09-27Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-09-27

Цена Dogecoin готовится к прорыву, но пока остается на месте. На 12-часовом графике монета демонстрирует готовность к бычьему прорыву с целью на $0,41. Это на 46% выше текущих уровней

Бычий пробой задерживается из-за слабой реакции на рыночные события и затишья перед возможной бурей. Разбираемся, почему рост Dogecoin может быть лишь отложен, а не отменен.

Крупные игроки увеличивают запасы DOGE

Крупные держатели активизировались после снижения ажиотажа вокруг ставки ФРС и запуска ETF на Dogecoin на Чикагской бирже опционов (CBOE). Категория инвесторов, владеющая от 100 млн до 1 млрд DOGE, пополнила свои балансы с 26,7 млрд 17 сентября до 27,4 млрд 18 сентября. За 24 часа они докупили 700 млн DOGE (около $196 млн). Такой значительный прирост за один день показывает, что крупные инвесторы ожидают роста цены.

Крупные держатели Dogecoin: Santiment

Волны HODL — это метрика, отслеживающая время держания криптовалюты. Сейчас она показывает уверенность двух противоположных групп инвесторов. Самые краткосрочные держатели (от 1 дня до 1 недели) увеличили свою долю в активе с 0,84% 25 августа до 3,53% к 18 сентября, вероятно, из-за ажиотажа вокруг ETF. В то же время долгосрочные держатели (1–2 года), которые уже находятся в прибыли после роста Dogecoin на 166,5% г/г, также увеличили свою долю с 22,19% в середине августа до 23,63% сейчас.

Читайте также: ETF на Dogecoin (DOGE) стал одним из самых успешных запусков года

Две противоположные группы держателей в действии: Glassnode

Ситуация, когда и стремительные трейдеры, и терпеливые долгосрочные инвесторы одновременно наращивают свои позиции, встречается очень редко. Такая динамика укрепляет мнение о том, что настроение на рынке улучшается. Однако действия китов и держателей обычно с опозданием отражаются на цене. Это может быть одной из причин, задерживающих прорыв цены Dogecoin.

График Dogecoin сулит скорое ралли на 46%

Несмотря на поддержку крупных игроков, цена не смогла преодолеть ключевое сопротивление на $0,29. Эта линия обозначает верхнюю границу флага. Токен должен закрыть дневные торги выше нее. До этого времени бычьего прорыва придется подождать.

Листинг DOGE-ETF на CBOE не привел к резкому всплеску спроса. Dogecoin продолжает торговаться в боковом диапазоне, показывая, что весь хайп уже был учтен в цене. Эта пауза также откладывает прорыв.

Тем не менее, бычий флаг остается в силе. Если цена завершит день выше $0,29, следующей целью станет $0,41. Уровни Фибоначчи на $0,31 и $0,33 выступают как промежуточные препятствия, которые нужно преодолеть. Поддержка находится на $0,25. Если цена упадет ниже нее, это временно отменит бычий тренд.

Анализ цены Dogecoin: TradingView

В целом, сценарий прорыва остается актуальным. Он задерживается, но не отменяется. В поддержку этого сценария выступают три фактора. Киты активно наращивают свои позиции в DOGE, краткосрочные трейдеры входят в рынок, а долгосрочные держатели не желают продавать. Если импульс усилится, цена Dogecoin может вырасти на 46% до $0,41.

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Is LIT’s burn worth $42 million enough to spur the altcoin’s next big rally?

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Nearly a Hundred Players Rush into Embodied Data: With 4.47 Billion Yuan in Financing in One Year, Who Can Really Make Money by 'Selling Data'?

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Dialogue with Multicoin Partner: The Crypto Market Has Bottomed Out, Favoring Three Cryptocurrencies in This Cycle

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Bitcoin nears cycle bottom despite record $8B Spot ETF outflows – Why?

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