Pokémon Cards May Have Their “Polymarket Moment” Soon: Bitwise

TheCryptoTimesPubblicato 2025-09-05Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-09-05

Pokémon, the iconic franchise known for its video games, anime, and trading card game, could be the next major real-world asset (RWA) to move on-chain. With a market valued at $21.4 billion, Pokémon cards may soon embrace blockchain technology. Bitwise research analyst Danny Nelson noted Thursday, “Pokémon and other trading cards (TCGs) are about to have their ‘Polymarket moment.’”

In a post on X, Nelson explained that this boom could be “sticky,” meaning it might create a lasting trend where a crypto innovation enters the mainstream, similar to how Polymarket transformed prediction markets.

Why Pokémon Cards Could Benefit More from Blockchain

While traditional RWA tokenization has grown into a $28.34 billion market in 2025, it mainly focuses on stocks, treasuries, and real estate. Nelson noted that these markets already have “good enough digital rails,” so blockchain doesn’t dramatically improve them. 

Pokémon cards, however, rely on physical shipping of Charizard, Pikachu, and Gardevoir, making them perfect candidates for tokenization.

Market leader Whatnot handled $3 billion in sales last year, showing the sector’s potential. Nelson hinted that Pokémon exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or investment funds could appear sooner than expected.

A New Market Leader Emerges

Recently, Collector Crypt released a tokenization platform on Solana, named Metaplex, that allows trading Pokémon cards, which is fast and profitable to exit.

Its token CARDS soared 10 times to a fully diluted value of $450 million within a span of one week, indicating a projected annual revenue of $38 million. The Collector Crypt’s Gacha Machine project also generated $16.6 million in revenue over the past week.

NFT trading volumes increased by 9% in August, reaching $578 million, their highest point since January, according to DappRadar. The figures suggest collectors are spending more per sale even as fewer assets change hands.

If Pokémon cards move on-chain, they could redefine the collectibles market and bring millions of fans into crypto through a familiar entry point.

Also Read: Tokenized Pokémon TCG Volume Goes Parabolic on Marketplaces


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Uncovering the Truth About Agent Commerce, Payments, and Infrastructure

Decoding Agent Commerce, Payments, and Infrastructure: The Reality Over the past year, I've been building infrastructure for the Agent economy, engaging with major players like Stripe, Visa, Coinbase, Google, and dozens of startups. A clear conclusion emerges: true, large-scale demand does not yet exist. Startups face structural challenges. Data points illustrate this gap. Stripe's Agent commerce platform has over 1,000 merchants but only single-digit transacting agents. Visa's Agent payment token requires 9-month KYC and a $250M revenue threshold, accessible only to giants like Amazon. On-chain analysis reveals actual daily Agent transaction volume is around $17k, half of which are test transactions. The article analyzes four potential markets: **1. Agent-to-Merchant (A2M):** Current AI shopping UX is often inferior to traditional e-commerce for visual, comparison-heavy purchases (clothing, electronics). Chat interfaces are a step back. Real merchant interest is defensive "Agent Engine Optimization," fearing future obsolescence, not current demand. Potential exists in high-frequency, low-decision purchases (e.g., food delivery) or simplifying terrible UX (complex checkouts, non-native shoppers), but these require massive consumer distribution channels dominated by giants like DoorDash and Amazon. **2. Agent-to-API (A2A):** Developers already have subscriptions and billing for core APIs (compute, data). The argument for micro-payments via crypto for sub-dollar API calls is addressed by pre-paid balances today. The deeper issue is supplier resistance; major SaaS firms rely on enterprise contracts, not fractional cent pricing. Opportunity lies in the long tail of niche services, but this is a smaller market catering to developers, a historically low-paying group. **3. Agent-to-Agent (A2A):** This remains a theoretical long-term vision with near-zero current transaction volume. It involves unique challenges: discovery, trust, negotiation, dispute resolution. When it materializes, it will require a fundamentally new settlement infrastructure for high-speed, variable-value, multi-party transactions. It's a real long-term bet, but not the current market. **4. Agent-to-Finance (A2F):** This is the only category with existing, paying demand. Integrating AI into financial workflows (trading, portfolio management) is a natural evolution and enables new capabilities like autonomous rebalancing. However, competition favors incumbents with regulatory licenses, compliance infrastructure, and existing client relationships. **The Real Issue:** Why is infrastructure still being built? Incumbents can afford long-term bets, and payment companies see every problem as a nail for their payment hammer. However, payment is just one piece. The core challenge is *coordination*—orchestrating work between Agents and humans, verifying outcomes, and settling results. Payment is part of settlement, which is part of coordination. Companies that solve the coordination problem will subsume payments, not the other way around. Startups lack the infinite runway of giants and must find today's real market, which, after a year of exploration, lies outside these four categories—in an area with real, growing, and underserved activity.

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