Где затерялся альтсезон и стоит ли его ждать

cryptonews.ruPubblicato 2025-03-24Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-08-25

Участники криптосообщества продолжают ждать альтсезон. Падение рынка после небольшого роста на позитивных высказываниях главы ФРС по ключевой процентной ставке США 22 августа усилило волнения

Рассказываем, где потерялся альтсезон, есть ли надежды на его приход и какие прогнозы дают криптоинвесторы.

Крипторынок в этом цикле так и не успел погрузиться в альтсезон. На момент написания обзора, индекс активности на рынке альткоинов CoinMarketCap указывает на то, что инвесторы больше сконцентрированы на биткоине, нежели на альтернативных монетах.

Индекс альтсезона. Источник: CoinMarketCap

При этом есть некоторые сигналы, которые оставляют надежду на скорое наступление альтсезона. Один из них — снижение уровня доминирования биткоина. Еще в конце июня BTC занимал около 65% рынка. На момент написания обзора, уровень доминирования биткоина опустился до 57%. Главный альткоин, Ethereum, укрепил свою позицию за то же время с 9% до 14%.

Как меняется уровень доминирования биткоина на рынке. Источник: CoinMarketCap

Также Ethereum в последнее время рос активнее биткоина — это еще один признак скорого приближения альтсезона. Напомним, 24 августа ETH наконец-то обновил абсолютный максимум на уровне $4 953. Предыдущий хай был зафиксирован в ноябре 2021 года. Несмотря на активный рост крипторынка, Эфиру долгое время не удавалось обновить максимум.

График Ethereum. Источник: CoinMarketCap

Читайте также: Вот почему Ethereum (ETH) может возглавить следующий альтсезон

Также в пользу скорого наступления альтсезона говорит тайминг. Биткоин в очередной раз обновил максимум 14 августа, после чего «уступил дорогу» альтам.

Наступлению альтсезона мешают крупные продажи. Например, по подсчетам аналитика Теда Пиллоус, на прошлой неделе оттоки из Ethereum-ETF превысили $240 млн. Аналитик Квентин Франкос в свою очередь обратил внимание на то, что рынок далек от перегрева. По его наблюдениям, криптоиндустрия далека от эйфории, а значит буллран еще не завершен. Также он обратил внимание на то, что крупные инвесторы на фоне падения рынка перешли к активным покупкам. Такое поведение китов, по его мнению, указывает на подготовку к альтсезону. Сами альткоины сегодня, как считает аналитик, выглядят перепроданными.

Трейдер Rekt Fencer уверен в том, что за обновлением максимума Ethereum импульс перейдет на другие монеты. Поэтому новую вершину ETH он считает началом альтсезона.

Впрочем, некоторые участники рынка устали ждать и смирились с мыслью о том, что в этом цикле они не дождутся альтсезона.

Напомним, ранее редакция BeInCrypto рассказала, как подготовиться к альтсезону и победить FOMO.

Letture associate

Attention: Large-Scale Token Unlocks Expected in 16 Altcoins! Here is the Daily and Hourly List

The cryptocurrency market experienced a significant rally last week, with Bitcoin rising 22%, Ethereum 30%, and XRP 51%. This growth was primarily driven by the US Treasury's decision to increase bond buybacks to ease upward pressure on interest rates. However, the market faces a wave of substantial token unlocks across 16 altcoins this week (all times UTC+3). Notable unlocks include: * **August 25:** Unlocks for Plaasma (XPL), Humanity (H), ChainOpera AI (COAI), Perle Labs (PRL), Iris (IRYS), and OVERTAKE (TAKE). The largest by percentage of market cap is Humanity (H) at 14.71%. * **August 26:** Major unlocks for GateToken (GT) worth $51.8M and Huma Finance (HUMA) representing 26.47% of its market cap. * **August 27:** AEON (AEON) unlock worth 26.11% of its market cap. * **August 28:** Unlocks for Grass, Corn, and Sign. Sign's unlock is notable at 13.02% of its market cap. * **August 29:** Unlocks for Falcon Finance (FF) and Midnight (NIGHT). * **August 30:** Unlock for BSquared Network (B2). Investors are advised to monitor these events as the release of large token volumes can impact market prices. This is not investment advice.

cryptonews.ru3 h fa

Attention: Large-Scale Token Unlocks Expected in 16 Altcoins! Here is the Daily and Hourly List

cryptonews.ru3 h fa

The Countdown Has Begun for the BNB Chain Network Update Named Pasteur

The countdown has begun for the BNB Chain's upcoming hard fork, named "Pasteur," scheduled for the mainnet on August 25, 2026. Unlike previous updates focused on speed, Pasteur aims for comprehensive enhancements centered on security and network efficiency. It incorporates three key proposals under BEP-673: BEP-682 strengthens bridge validation, BEP-695 ensures proper validator key rotation to prevent undue power concentration, and BEP-675 increases block size while maintaining speed, allowing blocks to hold more transactions. These improvements are designed to enhance the security of the bridge, staking, and governance, while also boosting network capacity. The hard fork is currently active on the BSC testnet, and node operators are urged to upgrade to version 1.7.7 before the mainnet activation. This update aligns with BNB Chain's goal to double mainnet throughput and achieve a tenfold performance improvement in the latter half of the year.

cryptonews.ru3 h fa

The Countdown Has Begun for the BNB Chain Network Update Named Pasteur

cryptonews.ru3 h fa

Why Crypto Farms in Georgia Have Become a Subject of Dispute Over the Energy System

Former National Bank president and opposition politician Roman Gotsiridze claims cryptocurrency mining farms in Georgia are straining the national energy system while contributing almost nothing to the state budget, operating on tax and electricity tariff privileges. He states the farms consume about 6% of domestically generated electricity, or roughly 1 billion kilowatt-hours annually—equivalent to the consumption of Batumi—maintaining a constant load on the grid linked to frequent infrastructure failures. While not advocating a blanket ban, Gotsiridze argues mining should operate under general business conditions, competing and paying taxes. He alleges the largest farm is linked to Bidzina Ivanishvili's ruling party clan and benefits from unjustified preferential treatment. His core demand is an immediate ban on cryptocurrency mining in free industrial zones, removing its privileged status, as the sector consumes vast energy with minimal fiscal return for Georgia.

cryptonews.ru3 h fa

Why Crypto Farms in Georgia Have Become a Subject of Dispute Over the Energy System

cryptonews.ru3 h fa

Fed Research: Crypto Investors Driven by Beliefs, Returns Change Their Decisions

A new working paper from the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland provides a novel explanation for cryptocurrency's divergence from traditional financial assets. It finds that American crypto investors are distinguished not by demographics or risk tolerance alone, but by their radically different beliefs about future returns. This divergence in expectations better explains who owns crypto than factors like age or income, a reversal of the pattern seen with stocks or bonds. The research, based on surveys of up to 25,000 US households, shows crypto owners expected an average 22% annual return, compared to just 7% for non-owners. A one-percentage-point increase in an individual's expected return was linked to a 0.8-point rise in ownership likelihood. A randomized experiment revealed that simply showing information about Bitcoin's past 12-month performance increased respondents' desired crypto portfolio share by about 47% and spurred subsequent purchases, primarily among those who previously felt uninformed. The study suggests this dynamic—where past gains attract new buyers, pushing prices higher and reinforcing bullish beliefs—could fuel speculative bubbles. It also indicates crypto wealth gains are treated more like "gambling winnings" than permanent income, boosting purchases of durable goods but not everyday spending. The broader conclusion is that crypto volatility stems partly from investor disagreement and learning, not just market fundamentals. With widespread misunderstanding and shifting expectations driven by performance data, price swings are likely to remain a defining feature of the asset class. Future retail demand may depend not just on Bitcoin's price, but on what information investors receive about its past performance.

cryptonews.ru3 h fa

Fed Research: Crypto Investors Driven by Beliefs, Returns Change Their Decisions

cryptonews.ru3 h fa

Bitcoin Fork ECX, Created by Paul Sztorc, Surpasses 25,000 Blocks in Just 13 Hours

The ECX Bitcoin fork, created by Drivechain developer Paul Sztorc, launched its alpha phase at Bitcoin block height 963,648. Remarkably, the network surpassed 25,000 blocks in just 13 hours due to its initial difficulty being set to 1, mirroring Bitcoin's 2009 launch. By Sunday morning, August 23, the difficulty had already skyrocketed to 16.78 million after several adjustments, with miners contributing a hashrate of 3.53 PH/s to the chain. This level of support from multiple mining pools starkly contrasts with the failed BIP-110 event earlier in the month, which lacked miner backing. While ECX has attracted real mining power and has a small number of wallets, the ecash (ECX) token currently has no established market value and is not yet listed on exchanges. Its economic viability will face a significant test after the initial mining surge subsides and block rewards diminish, especially during the long wait until the network's final phase is scheduled for launch on October 31, 2026. The early activity demonstrates technical feasibility, but sustained growth will depend on whether it can maintain miner interest and attract listings from wallets and exchanges in the absence of a tradable price.

cryptonews.ru3 h fa

Bitcoin Fork ECX, Created by Paul Sztorc, Surpasses 25,000 Blocks in Just 13 Hours

cryptonews.ru3 h fa

Trading

Spot