Litecoin прорывает 170-недежное сопротивление: начало нового бычьего тренда?

cryptonews.ruPubblicato 2025-08-25Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-08-25

Курс Litecoin (LTC) достиг ключевого уровня $110, преодолевая сопротивление, которое формировалось более 170 недель (с конца 2023 года). Этот прорыв может ознаменовать конец длительного периода накопления и начало новой восходящей фазы для одной из старейших криптовалют.

Техническая картина: 3 года формирования базы

На недельном графике четко прослеживается:

  • Множественные тесты поддержки в зоне $42 (2022-2024 гг.)

  • Постепенное формирование более высоких минимумов

  • Горизонтальное сопротивление в районе $110, которое теперь тестируется вновь

Аналитики отмечают поразительное сходство с паттернами 2019-2020 годов, когда после аналогичной консолидации LTC демонстрировал взрывной рост.

Ключевые уровни и потенциальные цели

Сценарии развития:

  1. Успешный прорыв $110:

    • Ближайшая цель: $150-200

    • Долгосрочные цели: $240 и $360 (исторические уровни 2021 года)

  2. Отскок от сопротивления:

    • Зона поддержки: $85-90

    • Критический уровень: $72 (200-дневная скользящая средняя)

Объемы и рыночные настроения

  • Текущие объемы остаются умеренными, но устойчивыми

  • Закрытие недели выше $110 при росте объемов станет сильным бычьим сигналом

  • Сообщество проявляет повышенный интерес (твит Тайлера набрал 174,000+ просмотров)

Фундаментальные драйверы

Хотя Litecoin часто называют "динозавром" крипторынка, его текущий рост поддерживают:

  1. Активизация разработок (обновления приватности MWEB)

  2. Рост институционального интереса к "стабильным" альткоинам

  3. Общее улучшение рыночной конъюнктуры после халвинга BTC

Экспертные мнения

"170 недель накопления — это серьезный срок. Когда такие уровни прорываются, движение обычно оказывается мощным" — отмечает криптоаналитик Тайлер.

"LTC демонстрирует классическую модель "весеннего сжатия". После столь длительной консолидации пробой может привести к значительному движению" — добавляет технический аналитик Amberdata.

Что дальше?

Критически важными станут:

  • Подтверждение пробоя $110 на недельном таймфрейме

  • Рост объемов для подтверждения силы покупателей

  • Реакция BTC, который остается ключевым драйвером рынка

Если Litecoin закрепится выше $110, это может открыть дорогу к многомесячному бычьему тренду, аналогичному движениям 2017 и 2021 годов. Однако в случае отказа от уровня рынок может вернуться в широкий диапазон $70-110 для дальнейшего накопления.

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Upbit is Anxious: A Hasty Counterattack Aimed at Regaining Stablecoin Market Share

Title: Upbit's Rushed Counterattack to Reclaim Stablecoin Market Share Facing a dramatic shift in South Korea's stablecoin market, leading exchange Upbit launched a promotional campaign from July 26 to August 9, waiving the 0.05% trading fee for stablecoins paired with the Korean Won (KRW) and rapidly listing new stablecoins like RLUSD and USDG. This move is a direct response to its plummeting market share in this sector. Historically a duopoly with Bithumb, the market has been reshaped since October 2025 when Coinone permanently removed fees for USDC trading. By June 2026, Coinone led with 34.8% of stablecoin volume, followed by Bithumb (31.1%) and Upbit (30.1%). This contrasts sharply with the overall crypto market, where Upbit commands 60%. The data shows stablecoin demand is highly sensitive to fees, as users primarily buy them to transfer capital overseas for derivatives trading or forex arbitrage. South Korean exchanges have seen a net outflow of stablecoins for 18 consecutive months, totaling approximately 14.9 trillion KRW, underscoring their role as a cross-border capital conduit. Upbit's limited-time promotion initially boosted its daily stablecoin volume by 162%, but the surge was almost entirely in USDT (98.1% of volume). The newly listed stablecoins saw negligible, fleeting interest. Furthermore, the promotional effect quickly waned in the second week, with volume dropping 33% on weekdays. A concurrent weakening of the KRW also contributed to the trading spike, independent of the fee waiver. The analysis suggests that once the promotion ends, Upbit is unlikely to retain its temporary gains unless it matches Coinone's permanent zero-fee policy, forcing a choice between market share and fee revenue. Upbit's strategic push may be less about immediate profit and more about preparing for future regulatory shifts. With South Korea's *Digital Asset Basic Act* on the horizon, which will regulate KRW-backed stablecoins, and following Dunamu's (Upbit's parent) integration into Naver Financial to build a payment ecosystem, securing a dominant position in the dollar stablecoin distribution channel holds long-term strategic value. However, potential regulatory conflicts could prevent Upbit from listing a future Naver-issued KRW stablecoin, making the current fight for dollar stablecoin flow even more critical.

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Michael Saylor Compares Bitcoin and Gold!

Michael Saylor, founder of MicroStrategy, argues that Bitcoin fundamentally changes how wealth is stored and transferred by transforming digital scarcity into economic value. He describes Bitcoin as the first digital monetary network, combining computers, digital networks, and cryptography. It digitizes monetary assets, allowing their supply to be controlled by public protocols rather than institutions, thus converting economic value into information transmissible over global networks. Comparing Bitcoin to gold, Saylor states that while increasing Bitcoin's supply is harder, its integration with software and transfer is easier. He highlights Bitcoin's proof-of-work mechanism, which ties it to the physical world by consuming real energy to secure the ledger, making past transactions immutable. This creates a shared security system involving miners, energy companies, and investors. Saylor suggests "digital monetary energy" is a more accurate term than "digital gold." He emphasizes that the Bitcoin network is an adaptive ecosystem of miners, nodes, developers, and users. Its core design is intentionally simple, focused on maintaining a secure ledger for scarce digital assets, with complex functionalities built in higher-layer applications. This architecture allows Bitcoin to serve as a foundation for transmitting value and fostering innovation in payments and financial services. Saylor notes Bitcoin's deeper impact lies in creating digital sovereignty, where private keys give individuals permissionless control over their economic power, with ownership verified mathematically, not by institutions. He concludes that while gold's physical scarcity makes it money, Bitcoin's digital scarcity does the same, characterizing Bitcoin as the monetary energy of the digital age.

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