[Bitop市场观察] 币种分析:AVAX、SOL、SUI

金色财经Pubblicato 2025-07-29Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-07-29

AVAX

AVAX自6月11日开始持续下跌已超过一周,近期价格连续跌破支撑区间与趋势线,价格很可能继续下跌。

撰稿当下暂报18美元左右。由于上方还有三角形端点压力,若无其他重大利好消息,价格短期内不太可能反转。投资人可以考虑市价进场,或是等待价格回升测试上方压力区间。介于18.5至19美元都是佷的进场价位,止盈目标则可介于16.05至15美元。止损依照个人风险承担能力,最高可设于20美元。

参考点位:

l   方向:空

l   进场:$18.5 - $19

l   止盈:$16.05 / $15.5 / $15

l   止损:$19.2 / $20

SOL

SOL价格形成一个典型的圆形顶,这是最可靠的反转型态之一。价格迟迟没有突破圆形结构,多次反弹都止于型态内,可见上方压力之强。

价格近期两次反弹都受制于型态,反弹位置也刚好是斐波0.382及0.5。撰稿当下暂报145.8美元,投资人可以选择市价进场建立空头部位,或是等待价格回弹至斐波0.618,即151美元左右后再进场做空。

止盈位置可分批设于130、127及123美元。止损位置依照个人风险承担能力,最高可至斐波0.382,即158美元之上。

参考点位:

l   方向:空

l   进场:$145.8 (市价) / $150 - $151.3

l   止盈:$140 / $130 / $127 / $123

l   止损:$155 / $159

SUI

SUI价格跌破交易区间(紫色平行通道)后向上反弹,并于区间中点附近受阻,显示多头无力。近期价格再次跌破前低,并于2.68美元获得短暂支撑反弹。

这波反弹看起来比较像是空头获利平仓,而非实际支撑。这一点可以从成交量分布图间接佐证。

投资人可以趁这波反弹入场建立空头部位,止盈位置依照型态学(绿线)评估,大约在2.35美元左右。该位置同时也是交易密集区,支撑效力较强。止损位置依照个人风险承担能力,可选择2.92或3.06美元。

参考点位:

l   方向:空

l   进场:$2.805 (市价) / $2.85 - $2.95

l   止盈:$2.57 / $2.45 / $2.35

l   止损:$2.92 / $3.06

 

 

 

本文由bitop市场观察团队分析师策划,内容仅为个人观点分享(q/.q:19/02--81…55?63),,分析有时效性,仅供参考交流,不构成相关的任何投资建议。投资有风险,入市需谨慎 !

 

Crypto di tendenza

Letture associate

Standard Chartered: Bitcoin Could Reach $126,000 and Hit a New All-Time High by Year-End

Standard Chartered has revised its year-end Bitcoin price target upward, suggesting it could reach a new all-time high of $126,000. The bank's head of digital assets research, Geoff Kendrick, noted that the current rally is driven by short liquidations and a recovery in spot Bitcoin ETF inflows. He stated that low open interest leaves room for new investors, reducing the risk of a sharp sell-off from an overheated market. This marks a shift from the bank's earlier, more conservative forecast. In February, Standard Chartered lowered its 2024 Bitcoin target from $150,000 to $100,000, anticipating a deep correction first. However, Bitcoin's steady climb has prompted Kendrick to consider the possibility that his initial $100,000 target may be too low. Other analysts are also signaling a potential market bottom. Swan Bitcoin's Cory Klippsten expects a bottom to form in October, while 10x Research's Markus Thielen suggests closing August above $63,000 could confirm the end of the bear market. Bitcoin recently rose above $79,000, gaining 25% in a week. The analysis cautions that macroeconomic factors remain crucial. Past rallies have been vulnerable to inflation data and Federal Reserve rate decisions, with sharp pullbacks following positive news cycles. The sustainability of any surge toward $126,000 will depend on upcoming CPI reports and monetary policy.

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Standard Chartered: Bitcoin Could Reach $126,000 and Hit a New All-Time High by Year-End

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Galaxy Research: Can SEC's New Regulations Usher in a New Era for Token Financing?

**SEC Proposes New Framework for Token Offerings, Potentially Unlocking Legal Paths for U.S. Crypto Fundraising** On August 18, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) proposed new rules, dubbed "Reg Crypto," specifically tailored for crypto asset offerings. This framework marks a departure from applying traditional securities rules designed for stocks to tokens. It creates a potential legal pathway for token sales to the U.S. public, including non-accredited investors, without full registration. The proposed rules apply to crypto assets that are not themselves securities but were sold as part of an investment contract where the issuer promised to build a product, network, or ecosystem. It establishes a four-phase lifecycle: Raise, Disclose, Build, and Exit. The "Raise" phase includes two new fundraising exemptions: a startup exemption allowing up to $5 million over four years and a larger, Regulation A-based exemption for up to $20 million or $75 million over 12 months. The "Disclose" phase requires specific token-related disclosures like supply schedules, governance, and development progress. After the issuer completes its promised development work and files a transition report, the "Exit" phase allows the associated investment contract to terminate, even if the token continues to trade. The analysis highlights that the framework's most immediate impact may be providing a formal "exit" path for existing tokens with unclear legal status, rather than immediately sparking a new wave of U.S.-based token offerings. It offers advantages over traditional private placements by allowing public sales and immediate token transferability but imposes ongoing disclosure and reporting obligations. A key hurdle is that the larger exemption requires a substantial U.S. operational presence, which may deter projects with offshore structures. Overall, the proposal is seen as a constructive step toward regulatory clarity, acknowledging that token offerings differ from equity offerings and require tailored investor disclosures. However, it remains a proposal subject to a 60-day public comment period, and its long-term stability may ultimately depend on congressional action.

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Bitcoin and Ethereum Soar Together! Eight Altcoins Worth Watching in the Later Market

Bitcoin and Ethereum Surge, Fueling Altcoin Speculation. Bitcoin Eyes $77,000, Ethereum Gains 20% in a Single Day. Market anticipates capital rotation from major cryptos to high-beta altcoins, but a selective rise is expected, favoring projects with genuine users, protocol revenue, and healthy tokenomics. Analysts highlight eight altcoins across key sectors: **High-Performance Blockchains:** * **SOL (Solana):** Market cap ~$51.88B. A dominant player with a strong ecosystem. Considered a relatively safe bet for potential catch-up growth. * **SUI (Sui):** Market cap ~$3.03B. High volatility potential but faces risks from its low circulating supply and future token unlocks. **DeFi Lending:** * **UNI (Uniswap):** Market cap ~$2.38B. Transitioning to a revenue-capturing asset post-fee switch implementation. * **AAVE (Aave):** Market cap ~$1.53B. Features balanced tokenomics and revenue but has seen significant recent gains. * **MORPHO:** Market cap ~$1.50B. Rapid protocol growth but weaker token value capture and opaque supply data. **Perpetual DEX:** * **HYPE (Hyperliquid):** Market cap ~$16.41B. The clear sector leader with strong revenue but high valuation and a large portion of tokens still locked, warranting caution. **RWA & On-Chain Finance Infrastructure:** * **LINK (Chainlink):** Market cap ~$8.09B. A key oracle provider positioned to benefit from multiple trends like RWA and institutional adoption, offering strong fundamentals. * **ONDO (Ondo Finance):** Market cap ~$1.77B. Shows strong business growth but carries high risks due to concentrated token holdings and a massive unlock scheduled for 2027. **Conclusion:** The altcoin rally is expected to be selective. Recommendations include a medium position in SOL, small allocations to SUI and UNI/AAVE for DeFi exposure, and caution with HYPE and ONDO due to their specific risks. LINK is suggested as a core holding for the RWA thematic.

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724 Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2024.12.12Aggiornato il 2026.06.02

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