火星早报 | 美国会众议院表决通过“大而美”法案

marsbitPubblicato 2025-07-03Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-07-04

标普500指数纳指、标普500指数再创收盘新高

7 月 4 日,美股周四提前收盘,道指收涨 0.7%,标普 500 指数涨 0.8%,纳指涨超 1%(纳指、标普 500 指数再创收盘新高,)。加密货币股涨跌不一,部分此前较大涨幅股票出现回调,其中: Coinbase(COIN)涨 0.38%; MicroStrategy(MSTR)涨 0.43%; Mogo Inc(MOGO)股价下跌 14.40% Bit Digital(BTBT)涨 11.79%; Thumzup Media Corporation(TZUP)涨 14.57%; Bitmine Immersion (BMNR) 涨 130.77%; Semler Scientific(SMLE)涨 4.17%; SharpLink Gaming (SBET) 涨 5.72%; Eyenovia(EYEN)跌 9.23%。

美国会众议院表决通过“大而美”法案

当地时间 7 月 3 日,美国国会众议院对总统特朗普的大规模减税及支出法案、也就是所谓的“大而美”法案进行最终表决投票。该法案现在已获得足够赞成票,实质上得以通过。预计接下来,该法案将送至白宫,在经过美国总统特朗普签署后正式颁布。此外,所有民主党议员都投了反对票,2 名共和党议员投下反对票。

富达FBTC昨日净流入2.37亿美元,ARKB昨日净流入1.14亿美元

7 月 4 日,据 Farside Investors 监测,富达 FBTC 昨日净流入 2.37 亿美元,ARK ARKB 昨日净流入 1.14 亿美元,Bitwise 的 BITB 昨日净流入 1550 万美元。

美国参议员提交独立加密税收法案,拟终结双重征税并明确质押挖矿税则

美国参议员 Cynthia Lummis 起草并提交一项独立加密税收法案,提议对单笔不超过 300 美元、年度不超 5000 美元的数字资产交易收益实行免税,同时将质押、挖矿奖励的纳税时点延后至资产出售时。此外,该法案还拟免除加密借贷协议和慈善捐赠相关资产的税务义务。她表示,该法案将为数字经济参与者提供合理清晰的税务框架,避免无意违规,推动美国加密立法现代化。

加密恐慌指数升至73,市场「贪婪」情绪较上周加剧

7 月 4 日,据 Alternative 数据,今日加密恐慌与贪婪指数为 73(上周均值为 65),市场「贪婪」情绪加剧。 注:恐慌指数阈值为 0-100,包含指标:波动性(25%)+市场交易量(25%)+社交媒体热度(15%)+市场调查(15%)+比特币在整个市场中的比例(10%)+谷歌热词分析(10%)。

FTX 最新破产赔付名单曝光, 49 个国家和地区用户可能无法获得赔偿

根据 biteye_sister 援引官方文件,7 月 2 日,FTX 破产案最新法庭文件披露了一份引发广泛关注的名单:49 个国家和地区的用户可能无法获得任何赔偿。 这些国家被列为“潜在受限司法辖区”,原因包括:当地法律禁止加密货币交易;当地法律不允许平台运营商向当地提供服务。 在这些受限国家中,有超过 82% 的索赔金额来自中国。这意味着大多数中国用户可能无法从这起震惊全球的破产案中拿回资金。

特朗普:将于明天凌晨四点(北京时间)在白宫举行签字庆祝活动

美国总统特朗普:将于明天下午四点(北京时间周六凌晨四点)在白宫举行签字庆祝活动。 此前报道,“大而美”法案在美国会众议院表决通过,只待总统签署。

中金:非农韧性不支持美联储提前降息

中金研报称,美国 6 月份新增非农就业 14.7 万人,超过市场预期的 11.0 万人,失业率从 4.2% 回落至 4.1%,显示劳动力市场仍有韧性。尽管关税的不确定性降低劳动力需求,但随着驱逐移民政策的强化,劳动力供给也在放缓,这抑制了失业率的上升。 此外,劳动力市场还可能存在技能错配:一方面,政府裁员和人工智能的快速发展导致“白领过剩”;另一方面,移民政策收紧使低技能岗位持续缺人。这种结构性错配下,未来失业率也不一定明显上升。中金认为,6 月非农数据不支持美联储提前降息,我们维持此前判断,下一次降息或要等到第四季度,即由关税带来的涨价过去之后。

7 月中旬将有 3 项重要加密法案在美国众议院进行审议

据美国众议院共和党领导层宣布,计划 7 月 14 日当周审议三项重要数字货币相关法案,包括: · GENIUS 稳定币法案(参议院已通过版本) ·《数字资产市场结构清晰法案》 · 限制美联储发行央行数字货币的提案 值得注意的是,尽管众议院此前曾起草自己的稳定币法案(STABLE 法案),但为加快立法进程,将优先审议参议院已经通过的 GENIUS 法案版本。 《数字资产市场结构清晰法案》将明确 SEC 和 CFTC 对加密货币的监管职责划分,并加强对投资者保护的要求。

美财长:预计约有100个国家将获得至少10%的对等关税,将宣布多项贸易协议

美国财政部长贝森特表示,预计 7 月 9 日前将有大量贸易协议达成。预计约有 100 个国家将获得至少 10%的对等关税,将宣布多项贸易协议。

大而美法案通过,印钞机轰鸣:加密资产的“美国时刻”来临

本文分析了美国近期在财政与数字资产领域的战略布局。通过“大而美法案”推动大规模财政扩张,同时制定针对数字资产的监管框架,美国试图巩固其全球金融与技术霸权。财政刺激引发货币贬值,为比特币等硬资产创造长期利好,而监管护城河则吸引资本与创新,确保美元在数字时代的主导地位。

Solana ETF"弯道超车":C型公司结构如何打破SEC审批僵局?

REX-Osprey Solana质押ETF(SSK)于7月3日在芝加哥期权交易所上市,首日交易量达3300万美元,表现超预期。该基金采用“C型公司”结构,绕过传统审批程序,提供Solana价格敞口及质押奖励,当前股息率为7.3%。尽管创新性强,但双重征税及监管不确定性仍是挑战。

这家大麻公司想蹭“币股叙事”,结果买了一个“貔貅币”

Dogecoin Cash Inc. 由大麻医疗行业转型为“大麻+加密”双主业,积极布局加密资产领域,重点投资山寨币DOG及相关生态系统。公司通过子公司收购大量DOG代币,并计划开发社区驱动的山寨币指数平台。尽管持股结构显示强内部控制,但股价与代币价格近期大幅回落,机构投资者参与度低,市场表现承压。

Arthur Hayes:美国稳定币「阳谋」揭秘,6.8 万亿资金如何成为国债市场的救命稻草?

本文探讨了美国财政部长推动稳定币发展的背景及其对金融市场的潜在影响。稳定币被视为释放银行闲置资金、购买国债的关键工具,预计可创造高达10.1万亿美元的流动性,降低政府借贷成本并维持股市泡沫。大型银行通过稳定币获益,同时巩固其市场主导地位。这一政策旨在为赤字融资、刺激经济,并推动风险资产上涨。

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Bitcoin Falls Below $60,000 Again; After 20 Months, We've Reached a New Low

Bitcoin Drops Below $60,000, Hitting a 20-Month Low Bitcoin fell below the key $60,000 psychological level again, reaching a low of $59,023—its lowest point in approximately 20 months, dating back to October 2024. While it later recovered slightly to around $60,600, this marks its third significant breach of $60,000 this year. The downturn is attributed to two primary factors. First, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs are experiencing their longest streak of net outflows since launch, with nearly $5.94 billion withdrawn over 30 days. This creates sustained selling pressure as Authorized Participants sell Bitcoin to meet redemptions. Second, shifting macroeconomic expectations are adding pressure. Strong U.S. job data and hawkish remarks from Fed officials have increased market pricing for potential rate hikes, reversing the earlier liquidity-driven bullish sentiment and prompting a shift away from risk assets like Bitcoin. Analyst views are mixed. 21Shares maintains a bullish long-term outlook, expecting prices to recover towards $100,000, citing historical post-halving cycles and substantial ETF holdings as a base. In contrast, Arthur Hayes predicts a potential bottom around $40,000 within six months due to persistent Fed hawkishness. CryptoQuant suggests, based on on-chain data, that the market may not find a bottom until prices fall below the average investor cost basis around $53,000, potentially extending the bearish phase into late 2026 or early 2027. The immediate focus is on upcoming U.S. inflation data and Fed signals. Lower-than-expected CPI could offer relief, but confirmation of sticky inflation or continued ETF outflows may lead to further downside pressure. Bitcoin's ability to hold above $60,000 remains a critical test for the near-term market direction.

Odaily星球日报18 min fa

Bitcoin Falls Below $60,000 Again; After 20 Months, We've Reached a New Low

Odaily星球日报18 min fa

When Billions Begin to Operate Everything by Voice, How Far is ‘All Assets on Chain’?

In June 2026, WeChat began a limited rollout of "Xiaowei," its native AI assistant. This move is more than an upgrade to a smarter chatbot; it signals a crucial step from "universal internet access" toward the broader vision of "full asset tokenization." Xiaowei, powered primarily by WeChat's in-house WeLM model, demonstrates four key capabilities: 1) direct voice/web chat control of app functions, 2) automated access to mini-programs for services, 3) instant comprehension and summarization of complex documents like PDFs, and 4) generating functional mini-program prototypes from simple natural language requests. This represents a fundamental shift from GUI (Graphical User Interface) to LUI (Language User Interface), eliminating friction in human-digital interaction. The rollout is pivotal because it brings AI Agents to China's massive user base with zero friction—no new app downloads or accounts needed. This "seamless access" mirrors past platform revolutions like the App Store or WeChat Mini-Programs, potentially unlocking a global AI Agent market projected to grow from $7.92 billion in 2025 to nearly $295 billion by 2035. The article argues that China's internet evolution has moved from "connecting everyone" to "putting all services online." The next phase is "tokenizing all assets"—a concept broader than just Real World Assets (RWA) like real estate. It encompasses tokenizing personal assets like social influence, attention, and credit history. RWA tokenization itself is forecast to explode from $35 billion in 2025 to over $500 billion in 2026. The convergence of ubiquitous AI Agents and rapidly tokenizing assets points to a future paradigm for wealth management. Your AI Agent could autonomously manage a globally diversified, tokenized portfolio based on your preferences. Initiatives like EXIO Group's full-stack RWA services aim to lower investment barriers, paralleling WeChat's democratization of AI access. In conclusion, the launch of Xiaowei is not merely a technical upgrade but a historic inflection point. It marks AI Agents' transition from niche tools to essential utilities and accelerates the movement toward a future where voice commands seamlessly interact with tokenized value, redefining humanity's relationship with the digital and financial worlds.

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When Billions Begin to Operate Everything by Voice, How Far is ‘All Assets on Chain’?

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SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son's New Trillion-Dollar "Gamble"

SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son is embroiled in a new trillion-dollar "bet" on Physical AI and humanoid robotics, even as his massive wager on OpenAI faces uncertainty ahead of its potential IPO. Recent reports reveal OpenAI's steep losses—$85 billion net loss by Q1 2026 and a $38.5 billion loss in 2025—casting doubt on its path to a trillion-dollar valuation. SoftBank, OpenAI's second-largest external shareholder with a planned 13% stake, stands to gain hugely if OpenAI succeeds. Undeterred, Son is already pushing forward with his next ambitious venture: consolidating SoftBank's AI and robotics assets into a new U.S.-based company named "Roze," targeting a $100 billion IPO as early as late 2026. This move aligns with his belief that Physical AI, merging AI cognition with robotic physical execution, is the next trillion-dollar frontier. Son's confidence stems from recent AI wins; SoftBank's stock surged and he briefly regained the title of Asia's richest person, largely due to OpenAI's soaring valuation. However, his aggressive strategy has raised internal concerns about over-reliance on OpenAI and strained finances. With competitors like Anthropic advancing rapidly and OpenAI's IPO timing uncertain, Son is racing to capitalize on the AI boom. His long-term vision for Physical AI includes a decade of investments in robotics, from Boston Dynamics to recent acquisitions like ABB's robotics unit, and a planned $1 trillion investment in U.S.-based AI robotics industrial parks. Yet, challenges remain: humanoid robotics firms like Figure AI lack the clear revenue paths of AI software companies, and Roze's lofty valuation faces skepticism. For Son, these bets are also driven by an unfulfilled promise of massive returns to key investors like Saudi Arabia's PIF. Despite risks, he continues to double down, betting that the fusion of AI and physical machines will define the next technological era.

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SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son's New Trillion-Dollar "Gamble"

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