VIRTUAL упал на 35% от ATH и достиг недельного минимума

cryptonews.ruPubblicato 2023-11-09Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-01-09

Токен VIRTUAL достиг рекордного максимума на $5,25 2 января. Однакос тех пор он резко упал, потеряв 35% за последнюю неделю

Недавнее падение сделало VIRTUAL главным аутсайдером среди топ-100 криптовалют за этот период. Его цена постоянно передвигает дневные минимумы после достижения пика.

Низкий спрос на VIRTUAL толкает цену вниз

Помимо общей консолидации рынка, падение VIRTUAL на двузначную величину связано со снижением нового спроса после достижения $5,25. Ончейн-данные Santiment показывают, что с 2 января суточное число новых адресов для торговли токеном упало на 88%.

Когда новый спрос на актив падает, на рынок приходит меньше покупателей. Это может привести к дальнейшему снижению цены, так как давление продаж превышает спрос.

Рост сети VIRTUAL. Источник: Santiment

Падающий открытый интерес (OI) подтверждает снижение спроса. На момент написания он составляет $146 млн, снизившись на 23% за последние семь дней.

Эта ончейн-метрика отражает общее число незакрытых на данный момент контрактов на различные деривативы, такие как опционы и фьючерсы. Ее рост говорит о том, что больше участников рынка входят в новые позиции. Снижение OI, наоборот, свидетельствует о снижении активности на рынке.

Открытый интерес по VIRTUAL. Источник: Santiment

Прогноз цены: распродажи могут усилить падение

На дневном графике индекс относительной силы (RSI) готов пробиться ниже нейтральной линии 50, что подтверждает всплеск продаж.

Этот индикатор показывает, когда актив перекуплен или перепродан. В данном случае медвежий импульс усиливается. Трейдеры считают это сигналом, что нисходящий тренд продолжится. Если давление на покупку ослабнет, цена может упасть до $1,31.

Анализ цены. Источник: TradingView

С другой стороны, если настроение на рынке станет более позитивным, цена актива может восстановиться и попытаться достичь своего исторического максимума.

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India's USDT premium has surged above 8.5% as regulatory pressure tightens the supply of stablecoins domestically. This has pushed the price of USDT to ₹102.88 against an official USD/INR rate of ₹94.65, widening the premium well beyond its typical 3-4% range. The supply contraction, driven by enforcement actions and increased oversight discouraging capital inflows, has created a significant imbalance. Demand from traders, cross-border users, and businesses remains strong for uses like payments and dollar-backed value storage, but compliance risks are hindering arbitrage and new USDT inflows. Market data shows high transaction counts but low volumes, with buy volume severely lagging sell volume, indicating constrained liquidity and reduced market-making capacity. Prolonged regulatory uncertainty risks sustaining elevated premiums, pushing activity toward informal channels or offshore liquidity. The summary concludes that while demand for USDT in India is resilient, clearer regulations and improved compliance pathways are needed to restore supply, efficient pricing, and market efficiency by narrowing the premium.

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The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has launched a broad investigation into the prediction market platform Polymarket, focusing on its business practices including social media activities. This follows a bipartisan letter from U.S. senators urging the CFTC to probe allegations of paid influencer false marketing and fraudulent promotion of gambling-like products to American users. The investigation comes as the prediction market sector experiences explosive growth, largely driven by the World Cup. Weekly trading volumes have hit record highs, exceeding $14.4 billion, with platforms like Kalshi and Robinhood's new venture seeing significant activity. Major firms like Meta are also showing interest in the space. This regulatory scrutiny signals a potential end to the sector's "wild growth" phase. The CFTC's move also highlights an escalating jurisdictional conflict between federal regulators and state authorities. Over a dozen states, including Kentucky and New York, have sued platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, accusing them of operating illegal sports betting, which threatens state gambling tax revenues. The CFTC is countersuing to assert its exclusive federal jurisdiction over these "event contracts" as derivatives. Furthermore, the CFTC's approval of Kalshi's Bitcoin perpetual futures contract has sparked a lawsuit from traditional exchange CME, alleging regulatory overreach. The political and capital landscape is intricate, with Donald Trump Jr. holding advisory roles and investments in both Kalshi and Polymarket. This connects capital, political influence, and regulatory bodies, suggesting the current investigation may be a step toward formalizing the industry's rules rather than halting its progress.

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