看涨模式形成 ARB 将何去何从?剑指 0.62 ?

金色财经Pubblicato 2025-01-07Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-01-07

在全球市值走高之后,  Arbitrum [ARB]小幅上涨后,在过去 24 小时内小幅下跌了超 3 %,跟踪更广泛的加密货币市场的表现。

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截至发稿时,ARB 交易价格约为 0.553 美元。在过去七天里,Arbitrum 的交易价格在 0.54 美元至 0.57 美元之间波动,波动性不大。

该山寨币在单日图上形成了一个上升三角形,尽管形成了一系列更高的低点,但价格仍在 0.62 美元面临强劲阻力。这种模式通常呈现看涨势头,表明买家正在慢慢增强实力。

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然而,势头较弱,表明如果买家未能介入,ARB 可能再次面临 0.62 美元的阻力。

相对强弱指数 (RSI) 线低于信号线,表明看跌势头正在发挥作用。此外,RSI 为 47,表明卖家仍处于控制地位。

Chaikin 资金流 (CMF) 仍为正值,但正在向南倾斜。这表明购买活动并不强劲,如果卖家控制局面,ARB 可能会跌至 0.48 美元的支撑位。

除了缺乏买家之外,还有其他几个因素也可能影响 Arbitrum 的上涨趋势。

鲸鱼不活动

IntoTheBlock 的数据显示,大额交易数量急剧下降,大额交易数量从每周 200 多笔的高位下降到 50 笔以下。

大额交易量也从3.42亿笔下降到0.93亿笔。

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鲸鱼通常在推动价格方面发挥着关键作用,因为大额买入或卖出订单会影响价格走势。因此,当这些大额地址不活跃时,可能会导致区间交易。

DeFi 活动下滑

DeFiLlama 的数据显示,Arbitrum 上的去中心化金融 (DeFi) 交易量在过去一周大幅下降。

本月初,Arbitrum 上的 DeFi 交易量为 8.13 亿美元,但此后这一指标已降至 2.79 亿美元。

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DeFi 活动减少表明网络使用率下降。这表明人们对 Arbitrum 的信心正在减弱,这可能会导致进一步的抛售。

Arbitrum 的流动性热图

Arbitrum 的流动性热图显示,价格以下清算集中,而价格以上清算集中。该清算热图显示看跌情绪,空头仓位多于多头仓位。

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如果价格上涨时卖空者被迫平仓,则低于价格的一系列清算水平可能引发购买压力。

不过,对 Arbitrum 的看跌情绪依然强劲,这可能会阻碍购买活动。截至发稿时,亏损的钱包占比为 91%,盈利的钱包仅占 5%。 如果亏损的钱包长期无法收支平衡,这将使他们选择平仓以减少损失。

简单来说

Arbitrum 在上升三角形模式内交易,强阻力位在 0.62 美元,但DeFi 活动的减少和鲸鱼的不活动可能会导致价格继续区间交易,看跌情绪依旧强劲预计短期内价格预计将在区间内持续震荡。

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