卡尔达诺价格预测：ADA 价格将达到 1.50 美元还是跌至 0.70 美元？

金色财经Pubblicato 2024-12-30Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-12-30

原文来源公众号：懒大王松鼠

卡尔达诺 (ADA)是一款经验丰富的第一层 (L1) 区块链，由充满活力的web3 生态系统支持，在过去 15 个月中，市场情绪明显转向看涨。自 11 月 4 日以来，随着唐纳德·特朗普连任，ADA 的看涨势头一直通过每周的高点和低点不断走高来限制宏观看涨前景。

这款大型山寨币的完全摊薄估值约为 390 亿美元，24 小时平均交易量约为 8.71 亿美元，在 1.24 美元上方遭遇了重大阻力。从技术分析的角度来看，ADA 的价格面临中期看跌情绪，然后才会有足够多的买家实施看涨前景，可能在 2025 年上半年。

ADA 的中期目标

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在每日时间范围内，卡尔达诺价格在触及数月扩音器盘整的上边界后形成了潜在的头肩形态。由于每日相对强弱指数(RSI) 形成看跌背离，ADA 的价格很可能在未来几天下跌，然后在 2025 年第一季度反弹。

此外，ADA 价格一直收于 50 日移动平均线(MA) 下方，表明之前的看涨势头明显减弱。如果加密货币进一步抛售，ADA 价格应该会在 77 美分至 68 美分之间找到稳固的支撑区间。

需要考虑的基本因素

Cardano 网络已发展成为一个充满活力的 web3 生态系统，总锁定价值 (TVL) 超过 4.33 亿美元，稳定币市值超过 2200 万美元。在机构投资者推动数字资产被主流采用的背景下，通过 Chang 硬分叉的 CIP-1694 功能在 Cardano 网络上引入去中心化治理，极大地帮助区块链吸引了更多的链上用户。

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根据 Santiment 提供的链上数据分析，Cardano 巨额地址的余额在 100 万到 1000 万枚之间，在过去 48 小时内购买了超过 2000 万枚代币，目前持有近 60 亿枚代币。随着超过 218 亿枚 ADA 被质押以保护 Cardano 网络，整体流通供应量正在逐渐下降，从长远来看，这是非常有利的。

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1.3k Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2024.12.10Aggiornato il 2026.06.02

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