反弹来袭!ADA 剑指新高之路开启?谁说天生我菜钱没用!

金色财经Pubblicato 2024-10-23Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-10-23

卡尔达诺 [ADA]在近期下跌之后逐渐显示出复苏迹象,本月初其价格跌至 0.33 美元的低点。

过去一周,ADA 上涨了 1.8%,过去 24 小时内又上涨了 1.3%,截至撰写本文时其当前交易价格为 0.3584 美元。

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随着加密货币市场整体恢复势头之际,卡尔达诺紧随其后开始上涨,而其上涨势头重新激发了投资者的兴趣。

基本面支撑积极前景

虽然技术前景表明看涨势头将持续,但 Cardano 的基本面进一步支持了价格上涨的理由。Santiment的数据显示,最近几周 ADA 的零售兴趣有所增加。

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虽然活跃地址数量在本月初达到 137,000 个的峰值后有所下降,但截至发稿时已反弹至 29,000 个。

零售活动的复苏可能为 ADA 的价格提供额外的动力,因为它反映了个人投资者对该资产的兴趣日益浓厚。

此外,根据Coinglass 的数据,在此期间,ADA 的未平仓合约增加了 4.72%,价值 2.3129 亿美元。然而,它下跌了 0.69%,至 2.6165 亿美元。

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尽管出现小幅下跌,但未平仓合约的整体上涨表明交易员正在为 ADA 的进一步价格行动做好准备,表明其对 ADA 的短期潜力充满信心。

ADA 价格分析:卡尔达诺分形暗示新高

Cardano 价格分析显示,第四季度会出现牛市前期反弹,而这通常会在随后几个月出现更大规模、更持续的牛市。从 2019 年的价格行为可以看出,这是当前下行趋势的初步迹象,这会为加密货币买家带来诱饵或暂时的复苏。

经过一段明显的盘整期后,买家成功积聚了足够的动能,以推动持续的牛市。此次突破后的反弹突破了当前 3.1 美元的高点。

因此,ADA 价格在 2023 年底出现了类似的牛市前突破,并在 2024 年 3 月达到 0.81 美元的高位。虽然过去七个月的调整已大大蒸发了之前反弹的涨幅,但本季度可能会出现下一次突破。

根据当前的分形模式,代币价格应突破上方趋势线(标记为黑色),以启动下一轮牛市。随着持续的购买,山寨币将突破当前 ATH 阻力位并达到 5 美元的心理水平。

尽管分形看涨,ADA 仍面临新挑战

虽然分形模式提供了乐观的看法,但必须注意的是,卡尔达诺是一种较老的山寨币。随着新兴货币和创新项目进入市场,卡尔达诺可能会因为难以吸引投资者的注意力而崩盘。

因此,潜在投资者必须保持谨慎,并记住过去的表现并不能保证未来的结果。

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简单来说

ADA 在过去一周上涨 1.8%,从支撑位反弹后交易价格为 0.356 美元,ADA 的上升三角形模式和不断增加的零售兴趣预示着潜在的看涨突破。并且Cardano 的历史分形模式表明,在第四季度出现重大突破后,可能会出现牛市。如果历史重演,ADA 价格可能会达到 5 美元,但考虑到市场上的其他投资选择,看涨势头可能会受到挑战。

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Collateral Dollars: How Does a 'Second-Layer Dollar' Above Stablecoins Form?

Collateral Dollars: How Does a "Second Layer of Dollars" Form on Top of Stablecoins? Most assume stablecoins replicate Eurodollar functions, expanding the offshore dollar system. However, stablecoins primarily replace specific functions like operational dollar balances for settlement. They do not inherently create new dollar credit; they substitute existing claims. The key question is: what happens when financial intermediaries use stablecoins as collateral to create a new layer of dollar-denominated claims? This "collateral dollar" channel operates through secured lending, not direct money creation. A money-like event only occurs when a liability issued against the controlled stablecoin is funded, rolled over, or accepted at near-par value by another balance sheet. The discount (haircut) prices the gap between "effective control over the token" and "reliable convertibility to bank dollars." Elasticity stems not from the stablecoin itself but from the liability issued against it and the willingness of third-party balance sheets to treat that liability as a near-par asset. Compared to the traditional Eurodollar system—where elasticity originates from bank deposit creation—the stablecoin collateral chain is structurally different. Eurodollar deposits are credit-expansive from inception. Stablecoins are initially substitutive; elasticity emerges later if an intermediary's liability against them gains monetary acceptance. Stablecoins disrupt specific tiers of the offshore dollar system, mainly replacing operational settlement balances. They do not replace the need for full dollar balance-sheet capacity (credit lines, hedging, maturity transformation). For systemic impact, the second-layer liability must pass three tests: transferability, funding capacity, and monetary acceptance (being fundable or held at par by others). Pressure transmission also differs. In the Eurodollar system, stress moves up a hierarchy of claims. In a stablecoin collateral chain, the second-layer liability can lose its money-like status well before the underlying stablecoin faces a run, often triggered by haircut increases and margin calls that create a dynamic spiral of falling token prices and rising discounts. In conclusion, the "collateral dollar" is not the stablecoin itself. It is the second-layer liability issued against a controlled token balance that is willing to be funded and maintained at near-par value. Its existence depends on that liability surviving the leap from "token liquidity" to "bank dollar liquidity."

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Collateral Dollars: How Does a 'Second-Layer Dollar' Above Stablecoins Form?

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1.3k Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2024.12.10Aggiornato il 2026.06.02

Come comprare ADA

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