Половина держателей Shiba Inu (SHIB) может понести убытки

cryptonews.ruPubblicato 2024-07-02Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-09-02

За последнюю неделю популярный мемкоин Shiba Inu (SHIB) подешевел на 10%. Технически индикаторы рисуют медвежью картину, намекая на дальнейшее падение криптовалюты

Разбираемся, что ждет Shiba Inu (SHIB) в этом сентябре и почему мемкоин может продолжить падение.

Восстановление пока не ожидается

Анализ соотношения сетевой стоимости к объему транзакций (NVT) показывает, что шансы Shiba Inu на восстановление в настоящий момент невелики. Исторические данные также подтверждают этот тезис: с 2021 года сентябрь всегда был для криптовалюты периодом стагнации или нисходящего движения.

Соотношение NVT измеряет, насколько быстро растет рыночная капитализация криптовалюты по сравнению с объемом транзакций в ее блокчейне. Если объем транзакций превышает рыночную капитализацию, это может указывать на то, что криптовалюта недооценена.

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Соотношение сетевой стоимости к объему транзакций Shiba Inu. Источник: Glassnode

Для SHIB соотношение NVT значительно увеличилось — это означает, что рыночная капитализация растет быстрее объема транзакций в сети. В такой ситуации можно ожидать от актива неустойчивой динамики или даже потенциального падения.

Кроме того, чистый поток крупных держателей SHIB снизился на 163% за последние семь дней. Этот показатель отражает разницу между объемами покупок и продаж криптовалюты адресами, владеющими более 1% всех выпущенных монет.

Чистый поток крупных держателей Shiba Inu. Источник: IntoTheBlock

Обычно увеличение чистого потока крупных держателей свидетельствует о том, что SHIB покупают активнее, чем продают, что могло бы способствовать росту цены. Однако происходит обратное: сейчас 44% держателей SHIB несут убытки. Если эта тенденция продолжится, токен может столкнуться с более серьезной коррекцией, что, возможно, увеличит долю убыточных держателей до 50%.

Редакция BIC рассказывала, что команда Shiba Inu поделилась планами запуска L3-блокчейна и нескольких новых токенов. Все подробности читайте в нашей статье.

Прогноз SHIB: риск большого падения

На момент написания этого анализа SHIB торгуется по $0,000013, за сутки потеряв чуть более одного процента. При этом за последние семь дней криптовалюта подешевела практически на 10%.

На дневном графике видно, что быки пытаются предотвратить дальнейшее падение Shiba Inu, удерживая поддержку на $0,000012. Тем временем техническая картина остается медвежьей, что затрудняет защиту этого уровня. В дополнение к этому индикатор Чайкина (CMF) также перешел в отрицательную зону — это свидетельствует о том, что игроки рынка активнее продают SHIB, чем покупают.

В настоящий момент криптовалюта движется ниже 20-дневной (синей) и 50-дневной (желтой) экспоненциальных скользящих средних (EMA). Расположение SHIB под этими линиями — еще один медвежий сигнал, который тоже намекает на дальнейшее снижение.

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Ежедневный анализ Shiba Inu. Источник: TradingView

При сохранении текущих тенденций Shiba Inu рискует упасть до $0,000010 к концу сентября. Однако если покупатели сумеют поднять цену выше 20-дневной EMA, альткоин сможет заново протестировать уровень Фибо 38,2%. В случае успеха курс SHIB сможет подняться до $0,000017 и даже до $0,000020.

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511 Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2024.12.11Aggiornato il 2026.06.02

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Benvenuto nella Community HTX. Qui puoi rimanere informato sugli ultimi sviluppi della piattaforma e accedere ad approfondimenti esperti sul mercato. Le opinioni degli utenti sul prezzo di SHIB SHIB sono presentate come di seguito.