Падение Cardano (ADA) может продолжиться

cryptonews.ruPubblicato 2024-03-29Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-08-29

Инвесторы теряют веру в перспективы Cardano, а активность китов снижается. Эти факторы могут оказать понижательное давление на цену ADA

Разбираемся, почему игроки рынка отворачиваются от Cardano и чего ждать от цены ADA в ближайшей перспективе.

Инвесторы Cardano теряют надежду

Инвесторы Cardano быстро теряют оптимизм в отношении криптовалюты, поскольку в последние недели ее движения полностью игнорировали настроения инвесторов. В данный момент ADA остается слишком сильно подвержена медвежьим сигнала более широкого рынка.

Бычий сентимент угасает по мере того, как у Cardano накапливается все больше неудачных попыток вырваться из текущего нисходящего тренда. Потенциально такая смена настроений создает условия для дальнейшего падения цены ADA и может только усугубить существующие медвежьи тенденции.

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Cardano Weighted Sentiment. Источник: Santiment

В дополнением к этому киты также проявляют все меньше интереса к активу. За последний месяц крупные инвесторы совершили на 32% меньше транзакций с Cardano — объем таких операций снизился с $7,81 млрд до $5,26 млрд. Уход китов с рынка может оказать дополнительное давление на цену ADA.

Такое поведение крупных инвесторов может говорить о том, что они не уверены в будущих перспективах Cardano. Без поддержки с их стороны криптовалюте может быть труднее запустить восстановительное ралли.

Объем транзакций китов Cardano. Источник: IntoTheBlock

Уже первого сентября команда Cardano проведет важный хардфорк Chang. О том, что это за обновление и как к нему подготовиться, читайте в нашей статье.

Прогноз ADA: нет прорыва — нет ралли

На момент написания этого анализа ADA торгуется по $0,36, за сутки прибавив почти 1%. Криптовалюте может быть сложно вырваться из нисходящего канала — для прорыва ей требуется до сейчас далекой отметки $0,53.

С другой стороны, Cardano сейчас уязвима для просадки к $0,31. Такое снижение способно только усилить спад.

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Анализ цены Cardano. Источник: TradingView

Тем не менее сейчас у альткоина остаются шансы отскочить от указанного выше уровня и вырваться из паттерна. Чтобы опровергнуть медвежий сценарий, ADA понадобится превратить уровень $0,40 в поддержку. Тогда перед криптовалютой откроются перспективы восстановления.

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Stablecoins Are the 'Royalists' of the Crypto World: Open USD Brings the Old Monetary System into the Fray

Title: Stablecoins Are the "Royalists" of the Crypto World: Open USD Brings the Old Monetary System into the Fray The article analyzes the launch of Open USD, a new dollar-pegged stablecoin backed by a coalition of over 140 traditional financial, payment, and tech giants like Visa, BlackRock, and Google. Author Hu Yilin argues that stablecoins like Open USD represent not a "moderate" wing of the crypto revolution, but a "royalist reform" within the old monetary system. He posits that while stablecoins adopt blockchain's efficiency, programmability, and borderless nature, they fundamentally reinforce the US dollar's centrality and the Federal Reserve's authority. They aim to replace inefficient "bureaucrats" (like traditional payment networks) rather than challenge the "monarch" (the dollar-based system). Thus, Open USD symbolizes the old system co-opting blockchain technology to upgrade dollar hegemony, potentially marginalizing native crypto projects like Circle's USDC. Hu contrasts this with more revolutionary paths, like a "Bitcoin standard," which seeks to change the monetary base itself. He warns that if the crypto ecosystem's unit of account, collateral, and value anchor remain dollar-denominated stablecoins,链上繁荣 may enrich the traditional financial system ("off-chain") rather than granting monetary premium to native crypto assets like ETH. Projects with civilizational ambitions, he argues, cannot reduce their narrative to mere "fuel" or transaction fees but must grapple with the core revolutionary idea: that a decentralized market does not require a central bank as the anchor of monetary order.

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Stablecoins Are the 'Royalist Reformists' of the Crypto World: Open USD Brings the Old Monetary System into the Arena

Scholar Hu Yilin analyzes the emergence of Open USD, a new stablecoin backed by over 140 major institutions like Visa and Google. He argues stablecoins like this represent not a crypto revolution, but a "reformist" force within the existing monetary system. While adopting blockchain for efficiency, they ultimately preserve the centrality of the US dollar and the Federal Reserve, acting as a "blockchain upgrade package" for dollar hegemony. This contrasts with a true "cryptocurrency revolution" exemplified by Bitcoin, which seeks to displace central banks as the anchor of monetary order. The launch of Open USD, driven by traditional finance giants, highlights this tension: it may advance stablecoin adoption but also signifies the potential co-option of crypto innovation by the very system it aimed to challenge. True transformation, Hu suggests, requires a paradigm shift where markets operate without a central monetary authority at their core.

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Stablecoins Are the 'Royalist Reformists' of the Crypto World: Open USD Brings the Old Monetary System into the Arena

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Weekly Digest | Robinhood Launches L2, 140 Giants Unveil Stablecoin OUSD, MicroStrategy Releases Self-Rescue Playbook

Weekly Digest: This week's key developments spanned AI infrastructure shifts, macro trends, and major Web3 movements. Meta's entry into selling AI compute caused a sell-off in specialist firms like CoreWeave, while Broadcom and Marvell gained traction in the data center narrative. Concerns emerged about "Token uneconomics" in AI coding tools. In macro, discussions covered trading strategies for July, robot supply chain investments, and the nuanced outlook for an altcoin recovery. Major Web3 headlines included Robinhood Chain's mainnet launch, which saw dYdX's token plunge 40% amid controversy. Stripe's Open Standard Alliance, backed by 140 firms, launched the OUSD stablecoin, challenging USDC/USDT and hitting Circle's stock. MicroStrategy unveiled a new capital framework, moving beyond pure Bitcoin accumulation to planned sales and buybacks. Other notable items: Meta's potential custom chip deal with Samsung, Bitcoin ETF inflows resuming, Michael Burry shorting Micron, and the EU's MiCA regulation taking immediate effect with plans for revision.

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Cardano rallies 13% ahead of van Rossem upgrade—but can the move last?

Cardano's ADA surged 13.22% with trading volume up nearly 60%, coinciding with the anticipated van Rossem hard fork—an intra-era upgrade focused on performance, governance, and new Plutus functions. This move was also supported by a broader market rebound, with Bitcoin surpassing $62,000. Despite the rally, ADA's overall price structure remains bearish. The price recently fell below the crucial $0.235 support, and the swing structure turned bearish after breaking the $0.32 level in January 2026. Although the price breached the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.1789, a daily close above $0.19 is needed to shift the structure to bullish. Technical indicators show mixed signals: the MFI indicates upward momentum, but the CMF remains weak, reflecting a lack of sustained buying pressure. Analysts suggest the current bounce is overextended, with the MFI above 80. They identify a potential short opportunity for swing traders, with invalidation above $0.19 and downside targets near $0.138 and $0.126. In summary, while the upgrade provided a short-term catalyst, the underlying market structure suggests a rejection from the $0.178-$0.190 area is likely.

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Cardano rallies 13% ahead of van Rossem upgrade—but can the move last?

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Standard Chartered Takes Over USDC Onboarding; Circle Cedes Control for Scale

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Standard Chartered Takes Over USDC Onboarding; Circle Cedes Control for Scale

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Benvenuto nella Community HTX. Qui puoi rimanere informato sugli ultimi sviluppi della piattaforma e accedere ad approfondimenti esperti sul mercato. Le opinioni degli utenti sul prezzo di ADA ADA sono presentate come di seguito.