区块链动态2024年8月11日早参考

币界网Pubblicato 2024-08-11Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-08-11

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关键词:USDT和USDC供应量一周增加近30亿美元、过去一周 Aave清算金额接近3亿美元 创历史新高

1 . 报道,过去一周,USDT和USDC的供应量增加了近30亿美元,Tether市值已达到超过1150亿美元的历史新高,而Circle的USDC市值已升至345亿美元,为2023年3月以来的最高水平。

2 . 报道,根据IntoTheBlock的最新数据,过去一周,Aave经历了史上最大规模的清算,清算金额接近3亿美元。由于ETH下跌了25%,大多数清算都源于以 (wst) ETH为抵押的稳定币贷款。

3 . 报道,伦敦高等法院宣布对 Onecoin 联合创始人 Ruja Ignatova 及其同伙实施全球资产冻结。超过 400 名投资者在 Onecoin 加密货币骗局中损失数百万美元后提起诉讼。资产冻结阻止了 Ignatova 财富的进一步流动,可能有助于受害者获得赔偿。

4 . 报道,Cardano创始人Charles Hoskinson表示,美国财政部持有19%的BTC供应量的前景引发严重的中心化担忧。

5 . 报道,秘鲁银行和保险监管局 (SBS) 发布了一项决议,要求虚拟资产服务提供商 (VASP) 实施“了解你的客户” (KYC) 和反洗钱 (AML) 措施,作为合规计划的一部分。该决议符合FATF的建议,旨在控制和避免犯罪分子将这些平台用于非法目的。0f8c9f10bf367b1c2b1308ba8e3110c6

6 . 报道,过去一周,NFT销售额较前一周增长了6.29%。在9542万美元的销售额中,基于以太坊的NFT以3246万美元的销售额领先,略有上涨0.06%。紧随其后的是Solana NFT,交易量为1952万美元,增长了11.08%。排在第三位的是比特币,BTC NFT带来了1469万美元的销售额,尽管这标志着10.03%的下降。

7 . 报道,根据QCP Capital的周末简报,比特币(BTC)表现出了非凡的韧性,从周一的大幅下跌中迅速恢复,维持在60,000美元以上的位置。QCP Capital的报告强调比特币日益融入主流宏观资本市场,这强化了其作为数字黄金的叙述。相比之下,该公司强调以太坊(ETH)的流动性发生了重大转变,引发了人们对其当前市场地位的担忧。

8 . 报道,前美国证券交易委员会(SEC)互联网执法部门负责人约翰·里德·斯塔克 (John Reed Stark) 表示,摩根士丹利向其客户大规模推销比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的最新举措可能会导致这家美国银行受到更严格的监管审查。 本周早些时候,这家华尔街巨头宣布计划允许其15000名持牌金融顾问开始向客户推销比特币现货ETF。包括贝莱德的IBIT和富达的FBTC。但仅限于净资产在150万美元及以上、风险承受能力高的高净值个人。

9 . 报道,孙宇晨于X平台发文表示:“最近,我听说社区对我参与包括WBTC在内的多个项目有些担忧。我想澄清以下几点:WBTC与之前相比没有任何变化。审计是实时进行的。我个人参与WBTC完全是出于战略考虑。我不控制WBTC储备的私钥,也无法移动任何BTC储备。”

Letture associate

Bitcoin Trading Strategy Breakdown: Celebrity Predictions and Classic Models All Fail, Only These Four Indicators Remain

Analysis of Bitcoin Trading Strategies: Why Celebrity Forecasts and Classic Models Fail, Leaving Only These Four Reliable Indicators This analysis examines the failure of common Bitcoin prediction methods and identifies four reliable indicators for constructing a trading strategy. The author reviewed all major BTC prediction approaches from 2017-2025, categorizing them into three groups: celebrity price targets (consistently over-optimistic), analytical models like Stock-to-Flow (broken post-2022), and on-chain signals. The key finding is that more data often creates confusion, not clarity. The strategy discards unreliable elements: celebrity predictions (incentivized to be extreme), pure models (invalidated by post-ETF market changes), and the Fear & Greed Index used alone (too many false signals). Four reliable indicators were selected: 1. **MVRV Z-Score:** Accurately identifies cycle bottoms when entering its green zone (e.g., 2018, 2020, 2022). Note: Its ability to call tops is now ineffective post-2024. 2. **SOPR (28-day MA):** Consistently signals bottoms when below 1.0, indicating holders are selling at a loss. 3. **ETF Net Flow:** A crucial post-2024 metric showing institutional momentum (e.g., sustained inflows = buying). 4. **Macro Liquidity (Fed policy & M2):** Sets the overall directional bias (e.g., bullish during easing cycles). The core strategy involves waiting for a multi-signal共振 (resonance). For example, a bottom signal requires MVRV in the green zone + SOPR < 1.0. A top signal requires overheated on-chain data + sustained ETF outflows. Macro policy sets the overall direction. The Fear & Greed Index is only used as a weighted confirmatory signal, never alone. Action is only taken when three or more indicators align. The author automated this into a monitoring system that sends Telegram alerts only when signals trigger. As of the article's date (April 15, 2026), the system showed a strong bottom signal: extreme fear (F&G=12), MVRV in the buy zone, and SOPR < 1.0. The only contrary signal was weak ETF flows. Historically, such triple on-chain共振 has preceded 100%+ returns. The conclusion emphasizes building a personal framework over relying on external predictions, allowing for iterative improvement and customization based on individual risk tolerance.

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Bitcoin Trading Strategy Breakdown: Celebrity Predictions and Classic Models All Fail, Only These Four Indicators Remain

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