Polygon (MATIC) 和 Cardano (ADA) 即将爆发吗?

金色财经Pubblicato 2024-08-05Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-08-05

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整个加密货币领域期待已久的事件终于展开了。现货比特币 ETF已在美国获得批准,这是一个重要的里程碑。美国证券交易委员会周三批准了贝莱德、富达和灰度等主要市场参与者提交的文件。

 

与此同时,加密货币交易所的比特币(BTC)日交易量飙升至520亿美元,达到去年3月21日以来的最高点。毫不奇怪,山寨币获得了显着的提振,打破了上行障碍。

 

在这个多元化的领域中表现出色的有 Cardano (ADA) 和 Polygon (MATIC)。  

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卡尔达诺(ADA)价格分析

 

卡尔达诺(ADA)最近在加密货币投资领域引起了极大关注。其投资产品最近流入了 370 万美元。此外,卡尔达诺的去中心化金融(DeFi)生态系统随着时间的推移表现出稳定增长,锁定的总价值从约 5000 万美元显着飙升至去年超过 4 亿美元的惊人数字。

 

截至目前,卡尔达诺(ADA)的实时价格范围维持在 0.56 美元至 0.60 美元之间,同时 24 小时交易量显着增长 100%。这一飙升推动市值增长了近 17%。该币一周小幅上涨8%,近三个月涨幅近150%,证明了其强劲的看涨势头。这些数字凸显了投资者和交易者对 ADA 日益增长的兴趣和信心。

 

从技术角度来看,这些指标主要预示着看涨情绪。相对强弱指数 (RSI) 为 74.01,随机指标 %K 为 99.30,均倾向于超买区域,表明存在获利了结的潜力。相反,0.027232 的动量和 0.019580 的 MACD 水平提供了买入信号,表明前景良好。

 

移动平均线进一步支持看涨立场。目前,价格高于 0.583924 美元的 10 日指数移动平均线 (EMA) 和 0.583245 美元的 10 日简单移动平均线 (SMA),表明可能存在短期上涨。展望未来,0.522493 美元的 100 日移动平均线和 0.535245 美元的 100 日均线强化了长期看涨前景。

 

 

卡尔达诺(ADA)价格预测

 

卡尔达诺(ADA)当前的技术分析呈现出总体积极的前景,大多数指标都倾向于看涨趋势。近期资金的流入,加上市场的强劲表现和有利的技术指标,表明ADA在不久的将来可能会继续增长。最近的上行目标位于 0.688886 美元。一旦突破,ADA 可能会继续上涨至 0.837741 美元的水平。

然而,保持谨慎并观察 0.540031 美元枢轴点附近的价格表现非常重要。正如 RSI 和随机 %K 振荡指标所示,市场可能已达到超买区域,因此看涨势头可能减弱。在这种情况下,关键支撑位可能在 0.442955 美元。

 

 

Polygon (MATIC) 价格分析

 

Polygon (MATIC)最近在加密货币市场取得了重大进展。它最近与大型金融服务集团野村证券的合作标志着一个重要的里程碑。此次合作于 1 月 10 日宣布,野村证券使用 Polygon 的机构 WEB3 网络进行资产代币化。此次合作凸显了 Polygon 在金融领域不断扩大的影响力和潜力。

 

截至撰写本文时,MATIC 价格介于 0.88 美元至 0.95 美元之间,一周内上涨近 11%。这一增长推动 Polygon 成为第 13 大最有价值的加密货币,超过了市值 85.5 亿美元的 Chainlink (LINK)。这一增长归因于人们对 Polygon 权益证明 (PoS) 生态系统的兴趣日益增长及其与以太坊 (ETH) 的紧密相关性。

 

相对强弱指数(RSI)为65.31,表明买盘势头强劲,但尚未超买。这表明价格仍有上涨空间。

0.04220305 的动量发出卖出信号,而 0.026264005 的 MACD 水平则呼吁买入行动。

 

10 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 为 0.926301613 美元,10 天简单移动平均线 (SMA) 为 0.919784359 美元,表明短期内看涨趋势。这一前景对于长期而言也有效,因为 100 日 EMA 为 0.851897755 美元,100 日 SMA 为 0.830668879 美元。 

 

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Polygon (MATIC) 价格预测

 

Polygon (MATIC) 当前的技术分析呈现出非常积极的前景。最近的价格飙升、与野村证券的战略合作伙伴关系以及强劲的市场表现表明 MATIC 在短期内可能会继续增长。第一个上行目标位于 1.140598341 美元,如果突破,价格可能会飙升至 1.417451792 美元。

 

然而,与任何加密货币投资一样,市场状况可能会迅速变化,投资者应该为可能的回调做好准备。投资者应关注即时支撑位 0.694236244 美元,并在价格接近该阈值时考虑相应调整止损头寸。

 

 

结论

 

加密货币世界正处于不断变化的状态,尤其是在经过十年的等待后,现货 ETF 在美国获得批准。此次批准导致比特币日交易量大幅增加,对市场产生了重大影响。

 

其他加密货币,如 Cardano (ADA) 和 Polygon (MATIC) 也得到了提振。Cardano 凭借 370 万美元的投资以及其去中心化金融 (DeFi) 生态系统的不断发展而吸引了人们的关注。

 

与此同时,Polygon 与野村证券的战略合作伙伴关系及其最近的飙升凸显了其影响力的不断增长。

Crypto di tendenza

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Foundation Steps Back, Ethlabs Steps Forward: Ethereum Undergoes Its Largest Restructuring in History

On June 23rd, the Ethereum ecosystem witnessed two major shifts, signaling a significant governance realignment. First, former Ethereum Foundation researchers established Ethlabs, a new independent non-profit. Backed by major ETH holders like Bitmine and SharpLink, Ethlabs aims to address practical needs for institutional adoption, including faster settlement, native asset issuance, cross-chain transactions, and mainnet scaling. Secondly, the Ethereum Foundation announced a major restructuring, laying off 54 employees (20% of its staff) to become a leaner entity focused on protocol governance and maintenance rather than being the primary builder. This move represents a pivotal correction. Criticisms had mounted over the Foundation's perceived slowness, lack of clear strategy, and over-reliance on Vitalik Buterin's influence. Ethlabs emerges as a more execution-oriented, "industrialized" layer focused on market adoption—bridging the gap between research and real-world use. Notably, Vitalik Buterin is absent from its list of supporters, interpreted as an intentional step to avoid excessive personal endorsement and allow the organization to build independent credibility. The Ethereum Foundation's downsizing and redefinition mark a retreat from its former central coordinating role. It now aims to share the "privilege of stewarding Ethereum" with other emerging groups like Ethlabs, the Ethereum Applications Guild, and The Ethereum Economic Zone. Analysts frame this dual shift as the Foundation ensuring Ethereum remains "correct" (credibly neutral), while Ethlabs must prove it remains "effective" (competitive and attractive for capital and adoption). This addresses community "shareholder-like anxiety" about ETH's market performance. While risks exist—such as concerns over shifting from Foundation centrality to large-holder influence—the consensus is that the greater risk for Ethereum was inaction, caught between technical idealism and organizational inertia. These steps aim to create a more multi-stakeholder, execution-driven future for the network.

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Foundation Steps Back, Ethlabs Steps Forward: Ethereum Undergoes Its Largest Restructuring in History

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Second Half of U.S. Crypto Policy: The Clarity Act Aims for 60 Votes, CFTC's "One-Person Commission" Becomes Biggest Variable

In a pivotal year for US crypto policy, the "CLARITY Act" is advancing in the Senate but faces a high hurdle, needing 60 votes to pass. Key challenges include bridging partisan divides on ethics and swaying undecided Republican senators within a tight legislative calendar of only about 40 working days. The policy "second half" involves intense negotiations on a broader framework for Web3 and DeFi, including crypto tax reforms and the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act. A significant uncertainty is the understaffed CFTC, operating with four commissioner vacancies, which complicates regulatory clarity. Meanwhile, the departure of key "crypto champions"—SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce and Senator Cynthia Lummis—will impact ongoing policy efforts. Industry experts are cautiously optimistic but realistic. Sara K. Weed notes that while progress is being made, CLARITY is unlikely to pass this Congress, pushing agencies like the SEC and CFTC to provide more guidance. Sulolit Mukherjee suggests meaningful crypto tax legislation is more likely to be attached to larger must-pass bills. Rashan Colbert discusses the jurisdictional debate over prediction markets, emphasizing the need for a regulatory framework that fosters their development as financial tools rather than treating them broadly as gambling. The clock is ticking, but opportunities remain for substantive progress through continued bipartisan dialogue and pragmatic efforts.

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Dan Koe's New Essay: Escaping the Fate of the Wage Slave, How to Survive the AI Replacement Wave?

Dan Koe argues that the true threat in the AI era isn't technology itself, but a reliance on others for one's livelihood and happiness. The core problem is "wage slavery"—spending life on unfulfilling work. To survive and thrive, one must escape this by building their own enterprise. The key is developing five elements: Agency (initiative), Taste (discernment), Persuasion, Persistence, and Iteration. These boil down to problem-solving skills and experiential knowledge, which cannot be learned passively but only through doing your own projects. The solution is to become "unemployable" by shifting your identity. This requires: 1) Radically changing your environment to force growth, 2) Choosing a medium (like content creation) that provides real feedback through trial and error, and 3) Mastering either code or, preferably, media (content). Content creation is more valuable because its subjective nature and need for human perspective create a durable advantage over generic AI output. To start, define your life's work by answering foundational questions about your innate knowledge, unique abilities, and contrarian beliefs. Then, immediately act by publishing your first piece of content. The cycle of creating, receiving feedback, and iterating is the essential path to developing the skills needed for an independent, meaningful career and financial resilience.

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Morgan Stanley raised its price target for SanDisk (SNDK) from $1100 to $1750 on June 22, maintaining an Overweight rating. The upgrade is driven by AI inference demand reshaping the NAND market, particularly for KV Cache and context window storage in cloud data centers. These cloud clients exhibit price inelasticity and sign long-term contracts, granting SanDisk significant pricing power. SanDisk's New Business Model (NBM) agreements, covering over one-third of FY27 bit shipments with 3-5 year terms and fixed price/price collar structures, are crucial. They are projected to sustain gross margins around 80% even at floor prices, providing a buffer against cyclical downturns. Morgan Stanley forecasts gross margins to surge from 30.3% in FY25 to 86.7% in FY27e. With NAND supply expected to remain tight into 2026/2027 and cloud/data centers becoming the largest end-market, SanDisk holds supply-side pricing power. The company targets 15-19% bit growth via technology transitions, not capacity expansion. Revenue is projected to grow ~6.6x from FY25 to FY27, with EPS rising from $2.74 to $14.73, driven by high-margin cloud business. Key upside catalysts include faster enterprise SSD adoption and edge AI growth. Downside risks involve slower industry growth, competitor capex increases, market share loss, and competition from Chinese players like YMTC. The investment thesis rests on AI-driven structural demand, NBM's margin protection, and sustained supply tightness. The $1750 target implies ~28x FY27e P/E.

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