ETHW 上市首秀吸金超2亿美元,“首发选手”Bitwise 的加密 ETF 之战策略如何?

链捕手Pubblicato 2024-07-24Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-07-24

作者:Nancy,PANews

 

以太坊十周年生日迎来里程碑式进展,9支现货ETF终于“通关”获批,8家发行商在遭遇数年监管阻力后取得以太坊主流化的胜利。7月23日上市首日,以太坊现货ETF交易量突破10亿美元,相比于今年1月比特币现货ETF第一天46亿美元交易额的23%。

尽管市场需求上涨会带动加密ETF水涨船高,但同质产品的同场交锋必然激烈,这一点在比特币现货ETF的市场格局中已有所体现。在这些发行方中,加密原生机构Bitwise却没有贝莱德和富达等传统巨头的号召力,但从其加密ETF的资金规模仍较为可观,背后的 “战术”值得关注。

Bitwise是美国知名的加密指数基金管理公司之一,于2017年推出了首只加密指数基金,现提供20种产品,涵盖ETF、公开交易信托、私募基金、对冲基金和 NFT收藏品等。

ETHW上市交易首秀吸金超2亿美元,BITB获超110家持仓机构

加密市场的复苏和繁荣,是ETF发展的大前提。今年以来,比特币现货ETF获批、美国大选以及美联储降息等叙事正推动加密市场V型反转,这些ETF作为老钱通道也成为最先受益者之一,迎来了强劲增长势头。

昨日晚间,以太坊现货ETF迎来上市首秀,首日累计成交额超10亿美元,主要来自灰度ETHE、贝莱德ETHA和富达FETH。但Farside Investors数据统计,以太坊现货ETF上市当天呈资金流出状态,灰度ETHE带来超4.8亿美元的净流出量,但Bitwise的ETHW以超2亿美元的净流入成为“吸金”主力,远超富达FETH的7130万美元以及富兰克林EZET的1320万美元等。

ETHW上市首秀吸金超2亿美元,“首发选手”Bitwise的加密ETF之战有何策略?

与此同时,Bitwise的比特币现货ETF业绩表现同样较为可观。SoSoValue数据显示,截至7月22日,美国比特币现货ETF的总净资产规模在半年时间已上数百亿美元台阶,达到621.4亿美元。尽管当前比特币现货ETF市场的头部效应显著,但从资金动向来看,Bitwise的比特币现货ETF BITB也是投资者青睐的投资标的。

SoSoValue数据显示,截至7月22日,BITB的累计净流入量达22亿美元,排名第五,超过排名靠后的6只比特币ETF资金流入之和,与这部分ETF拉开了相当距离。同时,BITB的总资产净值达27.2亿美元,在11只美国比特币先后ETF中排名第五,市场占比为4.5%。虽然整体市场份额仍无法与贝莱德、灰度等头部ETF相匹敌,但根据Dune数据显示,BITB的每周资金基本以净流入为主,仅出现少数资金流出的情况。

ETHW上市首秀吸金超2亿美元,“首发选手”Bitwise的加密ETF之战有何策略?

且从价格表现来看,上线至今,BITB价格已上涨近45.7%至37.2美元。而根据Fintel数据披露,截至7月23日,报告持有BITB的上市公司有117家,共持有约1067股BITB,当前价值超3.9亿美元。

Fintel统计数据显示,BITB的持有机构不乏投资顾问公司Pine Ridge Advisers、美国大型做市商简街资本、对冲基金管理公司Boothbay Fund Management、海外对冲基金巨头Millennium Management和期权交易巨头Susquehanna International Group等。而Bitwise首席执行官Hunter Horsley近期还披露,美国有一家大型银行,其所有财富管理分支机构(几百家)的20%都拥有Bitwise ETF。

对于一家没有深厚传统金融背景的加密原生的资管公司,Bitwise打开了一个漂亮的开局。Bitwise Asset Management团队由60多名专业人士组成,拥有BlackRock、Millennium、Blackstone、ETF.com、Meta、Google和美国检察官办公室等背景。其中,Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley曾担任Facebook和Instagram的产品经理,毕业于宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院。Bitwise曾获得多轮融资,投资者包括Elad Gi、Electric Capital、Bridgewater CEO David McCormick、Blackstone高管Nadeem Meghji、Vetamer Capital、ParaFi Capital和Coinbase Ventures等。

三大ETF竞争之道,Bitwise高调看多加密资产

拼首发、卷速度、降费率、费用豁免……各发行商都在为“抢位”暗自较劲。

为了在众多竞争对手手中获得更大的规模和流动性,Bitwise围绕着发行时间、交易费用和生态支持等方面做文章。

早起的鸟儿有虫吃,这是ETF业务通常呈现出鲜明的先发效应。作为首批获批的比特币现货ETF,Bitwise早在2021年10月就已提交了相关申请,并在SEC多次拒绝后最终于今年1月审批通过;在以太坊现货ETF的申请上,虽然Bitwise的申请时间晚于其他竞争对手,但仍是“首发选手”,且Bitwise也是首个披露以太坊现货ETF种子基金为250万美元的发行商。

同时,为了不在角逐激烈的赛道掉队,费率也成为各家发行商打造差异化竞争优势的突破口,这也是最有效的竞争方式。从费用来看,BITB是所有比特币现货ETF中最低的,管理费率仅为0.2%,且首批10亿美元资产的前六个月管理费为0;ETHW的费率则为0.2%,仅次于Franklin Templeton “EZET”和灰度以太坊迷你ETF “ETH”,且前5亿美元或前6个月费用减免。显然,低费用是Bitwise赢得资金流入的重要抓手。

除了以上这些常规的扩张策略,Bitwise还通过对比特币和以太坊生态发展的资金扶持,赢得加密社区的好感和认可。

在BITB推出时,Bitwise宣布将把BITB利润的10%捐赠给三个资助比特币开源开发的非营利组织BrinkOpenSats和人权基金会的比特币发展基金,这些组织在提高比特币网络的安全性、可扩展性和可用性方面发挥着关键作用。且这些捐赠将至少在未来10年内每年进行一次,以进一步支持比特币生态系统的健康和发展;同样的,ETHW也将基金利润的10%将捐赠给以太坊开源开发者Protocol Guild和PBS Foundation,捐赠计划也将持续至少10年,每年进行,受捐组织会根据年度审查可能变化。且为了保证透明度,BITB的比特币地址和ETHW的以太坊地址均已公开。

值得一提的是,Bitwise对加密资产的前景高调“看多”。Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan近期表示,比特币现货ETF流入、比特币减半、以太坊现货ETF政治态度的转变以及美联储降息的前景都为加密货币创造了更好的长期环境。加上稳定币市场的强劲增长、Layer 2 开发以及贝莱德等机构越来越多地参与该领域,下半年正确的发展组合可能会轻松推动比特币达到10万美元。另外,虽然预计以太坊ETF上线后的前几周ETH的价格将会“波动不定”,因为在价值110亿美元的灰度以太坊信托 (ETHE) 转换为现货ETF后资金可能会流出该信托,但到年底ETH的价格将突破5000美元并创下历史新高。如果流量比许多市场评论员预期的要强,价格可能还会更高。

Crypto di tendenza

Letture associate

Interview with NDV Founder Jason Huang: Piercing the AI Bubble and the MicroStrategy Myth, Seeking the Ultimate Edge in the Crypto Market

In a podcast with WuBlockchain, NDV founder Jason Huang discusses recent market dynamics, expressing a bearish outlook on crypto in the near term. He attributes Bitcoin's recent decline to a combination of cyclical selling pressure, the start of a US stock market correction, and liquidity tightening. A key catalyst is the emerging financial strain on MicroStrategy (MSTR). Huang explains that MSTR's model of borrowing to buy Bitcoin created a positive "flywheel" in a bull market. However, with falling BTC prices turning its stock premium into a discount, the model is now under severe stress. While MSTR only sold 32 BTC recently, the market is "front-running" the fear of its massive 80,000+ BTC holdings potentially being liquidated to meet debt obligations. He believes a true market bottom requires a major, capitulation-level event similar to the FTX collapse. Regarding investments, Huang states his fund is up over 20% this year, outperforming Bitcoin by 50-60%. The strategy involves crypto assets and commodities like oil, gold, and silver, but avoids AI stocks due to a perceived lack of trading edge. He is cautious of crowded trades in semiconductors and sees bubbles in the broader market, citing the hype around a potential SpaceX IPO. Despite short-term pessimism, Huang remains long-term bullish on one crypto innovation: stablecoins. He views them as the clearest example of a "faster, better" financial tool with significant room for global adoption. For the future, he is very bearish on Ethereum. For Bitcoin, he anticipates potential for a significant drop below $48,000 before a eventual rebound, but stresses the need to wait for a true panic-driven bottom marked by widespread despair and disinterest in the market.

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Interview with NDV Founder Jason Huang: Piercing the AI Bubble and the MicroStrategy Myth, Seeking the Ultimate Edge in the Crypto Market

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Conversation with Jason Huang, Founder of NDV: Puncturing the AI Bubble and the MicroStrategy Myth, Searching for the Ultimate Trump Card in the Crypto Market

In a podcast interview, NDV founder Jason Huang discusses the recent crypto market downturn, attributing the initial phase to typical Bitcoin cycle selling pressure, now compounded by a US stock market correction, tightening liquidity, and MicroStrategy's financial strain. He argues the market hasn't bottomed yet, noting true bear market lows often require a major, despair-inducing event like FTX's collapse. Huang details MicroStrategy's precarious position: its debt-and-equity fueled Bitcoin buying model has reversed into a negative cycle as prices fell. He interprets its sale of just 32 BTC as a signal prioritizing creditors over shareholders, sparking market "front-running" of its larger potential sell-off. A true bottom may arrive only after MicroStrategy resolves its looming debt payments, possibly via a large, private Bitcoin sale. His fund is up ~20% this year, outperforming Bitcoin by 50-60%, by shorting crypto and trading commodities like oil and gold. He avoided AI stocks despite being a heavy user, citing a lack of trading edge in the crowded semiconductor hardware trade, which he views as ripe for a significant correction. Long-term, Huang remains bullish on stablecoins as crypto's clearest, most practical innovation with high growth potential. He is very bearish on Ethereum and skeptical that Bitcoin has found its floor, suggesting $48,000 may not hold. He expects a sharp decline followed by a strong recovery within a year, but only after a major panic event leads to widespread capitulation and despair—the true hallmark of a market bottom.

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Conversation with Jason Huang, Founder of NDV: Puncturing the AI Bubble and the MicroStrategy Myth, Searching for the Ultimate Trump Card in the Crypto Market

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U.S. Stocks Trend (June 24): Korean Stock Plunge Ripples Global Chip Sector, Micron Tumbles Over 10%, Long-Term Supply Certainty Faces a 'Hard Test'

US Stock Market Trend (June 24): South Korean Market Plunge Disrupts Global Chips, Micron Drops Over 10%, Long-Term Supply Certainty Faces Hard Test On Monday, the South Korean KOSPI index plunged 10%, with SK Hynix and Samsung dropping over 12%, triggered by rumors that SK Hynix might slow its HBM4 production expansion. This shock quickly spread to the U.S. semiconductor sector. Micron plummeted 13.18% to $1,051.77, SanDisk fell 13.64%, and Marvell declined 8%. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index closed down 7.87%, while the Nasdaq fell 2.21% to 25,587.04 points. The sell-off particularly hit memory chip stocks. Defensive sectors showed relative resilience, with gains in stocks like IBM and Johnson & Johnson. Market volatility spiked, with the VIX index jumping 12.79%. Commodities weakened, with WTI crude oil hitting a near three-month low and gold falling below $4,100. The core issue is not a challenge to AI demand itself, but a market reassessment of overly optimistic capacity expectations for memory chips, especially HBM. The rumor about SK Hynix undermined perceived certainty in the AI infrastructure cycle. Key upcoming events include Thursday's PCE inflation data, which will influence Fed rate expectations, and Micron's earnings report. The market will focus on Micron's HBM gross margins and its long-term capacity guidance. The shift indicates the AI investment cycle is moving from euphoria to rational pricing. Large institutions are questioning the sustainability of AI-related capital expenditure growth. Micron's repricing from an "AI infrastructure staple" to a more cyclical stock highlights this change. Thursday's data and earnings represent a critical juncture for assessing long-term supply certainty, which has now significantly decreased.

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U.S. Stocks Trend (June 24): Korean Stock Plunge Ripples Global Chip Sector, Micron Tumbles Over 10%, Long-Term Supply Certainty Faces a 'Hard Test'

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Preferred Stock Is Not the Trigger for Corporate Bankruptcy, MicroStrategy's Dollar Reserves Can Cover Dividend and Interest Payments Until February 2027

Preferred Shares Are Not the Catalyst for Corporate Bankruptcy; MicroStrategy's Dollar Reserves Can Cover Dividend and Interest Payments Until February 2027. This article analyzes the nature of preferred shares used by MicroStrategy (MSTR). Legally equity but economically similar to debt, these shares, including its Bitcoin-linked STR convertible preferred notes (STRC), offer fixed or floating dividends. Crucially, MicroStrategy's preferred shares lack rigid redemption clauses, meaning they are not classified as traditional debt. This eliminates principal repayment pressure and means missed dividends do not constitute default or trigger bankruptcy, creating a "self-contradictory virtuous cycle." The article clarifies that if funds are short, MicroStrategy can defer or suspend preferred share dividends (except for non-cumulative types like STRD) without immediate risk. The real potential crisis point lies with its convertible bonds. If a prolonged bear market prevents conversion, MicroStrategy might need to sell Bitcoin to repay these bonds starting from the earliest maturity in September 2027, potentially creating a downward spiral. Preferred dividend suspensions would only exacerbate market panic in such a scenario. Recent financial activity shows MicroStrategy strengthened its position through four weeks of common stock (MSTR) issuances, raising over $851 million without issuing new preferred shares. It increased its dollar reserves to approximately $1.4 billion, which is sufficient to cover all preferred share dividends and interest until around March 2027. While Bitcoin purchases slowed recently, this prioritization of cash reserves enhances the company's near-term financial safety. The analysis concludes that if the Bitcoin bear market ends by early 2025 as anticipated, MicroStrategy can resume issuing MSTR stock in a rising market to replenish reserves and manage future dividend obligations, thereby reducing the long-term pressure from its preferred share structure.

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Preferred Stock Is Not the Trigger for Corporate Bankruptcy, MicroStrategy's Dollar Reserves Can Cover Dividend and Interest Payments Until February 2027

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