CVX成巨鲸抄底首选标的,Curve飞轮能否再次起飞?

Odaily星球日报Pubblicato 2024-06-18Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-06-18

Introduzione

CVX拉超90%,你抄底了吗?

上周,DeFi 迎来了本周期最大转折。CRV 持续下跌至 0.219 美元低点,创始人 Michael Egorov 的借贷仓位也逐步被清算。据 Arkham 统计,不到半天时间,Michael 在 5 个协议中的全部贷款头寸都被清算,价值 1.4 亿美元。

相关阅读:《创始人终被清算,Curve 飞轮彻底破产?

虽然 CRV 目前价格已出现回升,但最引人注目的是 CVX。6 月 17 日,据 Binance 行情数据,CVX 短时拉升触及 4.66 美元后回落, 24 小时涨超 90% 。

CVX成巨鲸抄底首选标的,Curve飞轮能否再次起飞?

CVX 成巨鲸抄底首选标的?

Michael Egorov 在接受 CoinDesk 采访时表示,此次清算由于 UwU Lend 的漏洞事件引发。但与以往不同,CRV 下跌时,Michael 并未及时补仓,而是任由连环清算的发生。由于 Michael 头寸规模太大,市场无法处理,并导致了 1000 万的坏账。

CVX成巨鲸抄底首选标的,Curve飞轮能否再次起飞?

为了尽快消除坏账累计对市场带来的不利影响, 6 月 13 日晚,加密基金 NDV 联合创始人、NFT 巨鲸 Christian 在社交媒体发文表示从 Michael 处获得 3000 万枚 CRV。

除了有帮助 Michael 还款之意外,Christian 还表示,此前 Curve 承压是因为 Michael 提前获得了平常项目方根本套不出来的流动性。如今清算完成,意味着 Michael 终于出完了自己手上的流动性,Christian 认为「至少 2028 年之前不会有二级市场抛压了」。

CVX成巨鲸抄底首选标的,Curve飞轮能否再次起飞?

这也意味着现在正是抄底 CRV 的好时机,而市场表现也确实如此。据 Binance 平台数据显示,在 CRV 触底 0.219 美元时,CRV/USDT 现货交易对交易量在短短 1 个小时内达 4.63 亿枚(交易额为 1.115 亿美元),创下该交易对历史最高记录。同时,CRV 也连续两日登上 Smart Money 24 小时流入榜单前列。

作为以太坊上最大的稳定币交换协议,大多数 DeFi 都依赖于 Curve,且 Curve 协议仍然有效且不可变。那么,我们有理由猜测,Michael 的清算可能标志着 DeFi 回归的开始。

6 月 17 日,Curve Finance 官方发文称,上周流入 veCRV 的资金已经是当周通胀的 6 倍。这些流入包括直接锁仓,以及通过 Convex Finance、Stake DAO 和 Yearn 进行的锁仓。这是近年来 CRV 锁仓的最高每周流入量。

作为开启 Curve War 的三大协议之一,Convex Finance TVL 截止撰稿时达 13.16 亿美元,占比超 Curve(22.85 亿美元)一半,这也意味着 Convex 筹码较为集中,而巨鲸们也自然将目光放到了 Convex Finance。

除了前面提到的 Christian,kennel capital 成员 Zoomer Oracle 也明确表示自己在 2.05 时买入 CVX。Zoomer Oracle 认为,CRV / CVX 被低估,而「Convex 是 Curve 的 beta,具有简单的 5 倍潜力」。

CVX成巨鲸抄底首选标的,Curve飞轮能否再次起飞?

CVX 外,Curve 生态还有哪些标的?

Michael 的贷款消失了,市场不再有创伤后应激障碍,坏账也被清除,DeFi 或许已经迎来利好。

除了 Curve War 中的各 DeFi 协议,如 Stake DAO、 Yearn Finance、Olympus 以及 Frax 等各算稳协议,各协议玩法可见《Curve War 升级 CVX 之战,精彩的权力之争仍在继续》。Curve 协议的另一应用场景即通过 Curve 3 pool(DAI/USDC/USDT 资金池)扶持稳定币项目。

据 Curve 数据,目前 3 pool 交易量及 TVL 数据不足百万,这就意味着一些较为主流的稳定币采用 Curve 交易的可能性较低,但 Curve 协议自身的流动性仍然能够扶持小型稳定币项目。

CVX成巨鲸抄底首选标的,Curve飞轮能否再次起飞?

目前模块化市场正逐渐兴起,而模块化会导致链的增多,各链为了持续发展应用场景,稳定币或将成为必需品。那么,Curve 3 pool 就可以给这些稳定币,尤其是算法稳定币提供一定的流动性。当然,由于 Curve 3 pool 以 CRV 为分配奖励,这就要求 CRV 本身具备足够的价值。

清算发生后,Michael 表示,这次事件可能有助于加强 Curve 的安全措施和贷款机制,并可能在未来几个月为用户创造更好的服务。而这是否真的能让 Curve 飞轮再次起飞,还需交以时间判断。

Letture associate

Uncovering the Truth About Agent Commerce, Payments, and Infrastructure

Decoding Agent Commerce, Payments, and Infrastructure: The Reality Over the past year, I've been building infrastructure for the Agent economy, engaging with major players like Stripe, Visa, Coinbase, Google, and dozens of startups. A clear conclusion emerges: true, large-scale demand does not yet exist. Startups face structural challenges. Data points illustrate this gap. Stripe's Agent commerce platform has over 1,000 merchants but only single-digit transacting agents. Visa's Agent payment token requires 9-month KYC and a $250M revenue threshold, accessible only to giants like Amazon. On-chain analysis reveals actual daily Agent transaction volume is around $17k, half of which are test transactions. The article analyzes four potential markets: **1. Agent-to-Merchant (A2M):** Current AI shopping UX is often inferior to traditional e-commerce for visual, comparison-heavy purchases (clothing, electronics). Chat interfaces are a step back. Real merchant interest is defensive "Agent Engine Optimization," fearing future obsolescence, not current demand. Potential exists in high-frequency, low-decision purchases (e.g., food delivery) or simplifying terrible UX (complex checkouts, non-native shoppers), but these require massive consumer distribution channels dominated by giants like DoorDash and Amazon. **2. Agent-to-API (A2A):** Developers already have subscriptions and billing for core APIs (compute, data). The argument for micro-payments via crypto for sub-dollar API calls is addressed by pre-paid balances today. The deeper issue is supplier resistance; major SaaS firms rely on enterprise contracts, not fractional cent pricing. Opportunity lies in the long tail of niche services, but this is a smaller market catering to developers, a historically low-paying group. **3. Agent-to-Agent (A2A):** This remains a theoretical long-term vision with near-zero current transaction volume. It involves unique challenges: discovery, trust, negotiation, dispute resolution. When it materializes, it will require a fundamentally new settlement infrastructure for high-speed, variable-value, multi-party transactions. It's a real long-term bet, but not the current market. **4. Agent-to-Finance (A2F):** This is the only category with existing, paying demand. Integrating AI into financial workflows (trading, portfolio management) is a natural evolution and enables new capabilities like autonomous rebalancing. However, competition favors incumbents with regulatory licenses, compliance infrastructure, and existing client relationships. **The Real Issue:** Why is infrastructure still being built? Incumbents can afford long-term bets, and payment companies see every problem as a nail for their payment hammer. However, payment is just one piece. The core challenge is *coordination*—orchestrating work between Agents and humans, verifying outcomes, and settling results. Payment is part of settlement, which is part of coordination. Companies that solve the coordination problem will subsume payments, not the other way around. Startups lack the infinite runway of giants and must find today's real market, which, after a year of exploration, lies outside these four categories—in an area with real, growing, and underserved activity.

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Kalshi, MTS, and a16z's Ambition

The article "Kalshi, MTS, and a16z's Ambition" explores prediction markets as a focal point of excitement in 2025 for investors, crypto enthusiasts, and media. It traces their intellectual lineage from Friedrich Hayek's ideas on dispersed knowledge and market coordination to Robin Hanson's Logarithmic Market Scoring Rule (LMSR), which incentivizes truthful information sharing. The piece argues that a16z's significant investment in prediction market platform Kalshi (valued at $220B) transcends mere financial speculation. a16z frames prediction markets as a new form of "media" that provides "presence"—a way for individuals to actively engage with and influence world events through financial stakes, countering postmodern detachment. By wagering on outcomes, users become "super observers," and the market's aggregated probabilities gain authoritative power to define event truth and importance. The article uses media company MTS ("Monitoring The Situation") as a case study of a16z's "new media" strategy: rapidly producing high-intensity, multi-format content to "take over the timeline." However, prediction markets like Kalshi are presented as the ultimate piece in this media empire. Their real-money, crowd-sourced probabilities possess a unique "reality distortion field" and perceived objectivity, potentially swaying public opinion and granting a private company unprecedented interpretive power over reality. Ultimately, Kalshi's immense valuation is attributed not just to its exchange model, but to its role as a foundational component in a16z's envisioned new media landscape, where prediction markets define narrative and truth.

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Come comprare CVX

Benvenuto in HTX.com! Abbiamo reso l'acquisto di Convex Finance (CVX) semplice e conveniente. Segui la nostra guida passo passo per intraprendere il tuo viaggio nel mondo delle criptovalute.Step 1: Crea il tuo Account HTXUsa la tua email o numero di telefono per registrarti il tuo account gratuito su HTX. Vivi un'esperienza facile e sblocca tutte le funzionalità,Crea il mio accountStep 2: Vai in Acquista crypto e seleziona il tuo metodo di pagamentoCarta di credito/debito: utilizza la tua Visa o Mastercard per acquistare immediatamente Convex FinanceCVX.Bilancio: Usa i fondi dal bilancio del tuo account HTX per fare trading senza problemi.Terze parti: abbiamo aggiunto metodi di pagamento molto utilizzati come Google Pay e Apple Pay per maggiore comodità.P2P: Fai trading direttamente con altri utenti HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): Offriamo servizi su misura e tassi di cambio competitivi per i trader.Step 3: Conserva Convex Finance (CVX)Dopo aver acquistato Convex Finance (CVX), conserva nel tuo account HTX. In alternativa, puoi inviare tramite trasferimento blockchain o scambiare per altre criptovalute.Step 4: Scambia Convex Finance (CVX)Scambia facilmente Convex Finance (CVX) nel mercato spot di HTX. Accedi al tuo account, seleziona la tua coppia di trading, esegui le tue operazioni e monitora in tempo reale. Offriamo un'esperienza user-friendly sia per chi ha appena iniziato che per i trader più esperti.

107 Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2024.12.11Aggiornato il 2026.06.02

Come comprare CVX

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