浅谈Re-re-staking代币经济:Web3 项目不应自留「安全垫」

Odaily星球日报Pubblicato 2024-04-25Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-04-25

Introduzione

「如果你仍然执着于团队利益的最大化和创始人心中的安全垫,建议回到Web2创业。」

原文作者: 0xTodd,Nothing Research 合伙人(X:@0x_Todd

浅谈Re-re-staking代币经济:Web3 项目不应自留「安全垫」

最近几个 Re-Re-staking 项目,只给 Holders 很小比例的 Token 很可能是一个错误决定。

对于很多 Re-Re-staking 项目来说,TVL 其实就是这个项目的一切。如果拿掉 TVL,一切设想:AVS、Hub、策略器、Liquid restaking token、L2、Restaking 层都并不真实存在。TVL 才是真正的恩人。

在曾经的 DeFi Summer 中,$YFI 在一周之内分发了 100% 的代币。没错,是 100% 。

TVL、流动性挖矿和治理各占 1/3 ,简单明确,而且有效。后面的故事大家都知道,随后的一周里,$YFI 上涨了 100 0x。

不否认,Re-Re-staking 有自己的创新,但它的本质和 Yearn 区别不大,本身都不产生收益,本质创新和核心收益来自于其他底层,比如 Eigenlayer,穿透了表层的叙事之后,他们都只是某种理财聚合器而已。

一个项目,到底需要什么?很简单,需要近乎邪教般的社区,而不是用动摇不定、随时撤退的临时矿工和空投猎人。

但重要的是,「虔诚的支持者」和「无情的挖提卖矿工」两种身份是可以相互转换的。这个转变的谢林点——就在于社区持有的代币比例。

当你作为项目方,惊讶地发现团队拥有 90% (所谓厚厚的安全垫),而社区只拥有 10% (所谓少少的抛压)。

——那么就请别再抱怨,为什么社区不活跃,为什么社区不支持你。

挖矿和交易很像:

每个真正交易过加密货币的人,都有这种感受,当你看好某个代币并买入后,在赚了 2 x 以后,你的信仰就会开始变得无比充沛。

为什么比特币的 Holders 信仰总是最充沛的?废话,他们从 1100 美金拿到 66000 美金,没有任何 FUD 可以洗走他们,越早越充沛。

挖矿的心态也很类似:

-当人们用 100, 000 美金挖到 10, 000 美金,然后线性解锁,这只会催促他们无情地尽快卖掉,尽快保留胜利果实,这传递了项目方的「不自信」。另外,投资也有「管理带宽」,小小的空投尽快卖掉是唯一答案,多一分钟都是精力浪费。

-当人们用 10, 000 美金挖到 10, 000 美金,他们就愿意在推特 上「拍断大腿」,半是真的后悔,半是有些窃喜和凡尔赛,引得众多读者们心头痒痒,跃跃欲试,加入自选列表。

-当人们用 1, 000 美金挖到 10, 000 美金,他们就会愿意在每一场饭局、每一次聚会、每一场 Space,孜孜不倦不厌其烦地提到你的项目,在 1-5 年里不停地向他身边所有的人安利这个项目,甚至可以记入家谱「某年某月,鄙人挖到神矿」。所有的亲朋好友,都会留下羡慕的泪水,然后含泪 FOMO 上车。

相信我,这是真的故事。

你发现了么?上面三个故事带来了三种人,分别对应:

-无情的空投猎人

-热情的中坚矿工

-忠诚的种子用户

当你把神圣且重要的「种子用户代币分发」,玩成了「早期参与者空投」,其实已经输在了起跑线。

我不苛求现在的 Re-Re-staking 项目追求 Fair Launch,毕竟真正有这种魄力是少数。

但是,只用一丢丢的筹码,永远换不来忠诚的邪教社区,只有冷酷无情的挖提卖空投猎人。

一个小小的参考: $UNI 的空投比例占到 15% ,流动性挖矿占 2% ,等于 17% 在最初送给了社区。

我曾经给很多项目当过顾问,很多创始人都曾经问过这个问题,代币分配的饼图到底该怎么画?

这个问题没有正确答案,可以保守,可以激进,也可以介于两者之间。每个激进方案都是「社会实验」,而保守方案则是「不求有功但求无过」。

恕我直言,代币经济层面的「不求有功但求无过」绝对是一种「怠惰」

它们的特征往往是:

- 团队尽可能多地掌握代币;

- 社区尽可能少地获得代币(基数小、锁仓苛刻)

- 给国库、核心权限留有后门余地。

因为这样,总能给团队和创始人最大的安全垫——「我仍然是整场游戏的最大控制者」。

殊不知,这会夺走社区的安全垫。

安全垫是守恒的,只有一块。你拿走了,社区就没了。

不要把 Web2 的东西带到 Crypto 里,股权攥得紧,自然创始人自身利益最大化,但是同样也永远没法令同僚们为它绞尽心血,更妄论忠诚的用户和虔诚的社区。我的合伙人曾经评价某所失败的原因:它只有愤怒的员工和愤怒的用户。

来到 Crypto,就是为了改变这一切。

我们整天说的 Crypto 的精神到底是什么精神?

用最公平的分发机制,团结一切可以团结的人,因为这样无比团结的力量,获得远超 Web2 公司启动速度,然后击败 Web2。

如果你仍然执着于团队利益的最大化和创始人心中的安全垫,建议回到 Web2 创业。

Letture associate

Foundation Steps Back, Ethlabs Steps Forward: Ethereum Undergoes Its Largest Restructuring in History

On June 23rd, the Ethereum ecosystem witnessed two major shifts, signaling a significant governance realignment. First, former Ethereum Foundation researchers established Ethlabs, a new independent non-profit. Backed by major ETH holders like Bitmine and SharpLink, Ethlabs aims to address practical needs for institutional adoption, including faster settlement, native asset issuance, cross-chain transactions, and mainnet scaling. Secondly, the Ethereum Foundation announced a major restructuring, laying off 54 employees (20% of its staff) to become a leaner entity focused on protocol governance and maintenance rather than being the primary builder. This move represents a pivotal correction. Criticisms had mounted over the Foundation's perceived slowness, lack of clear strategy, and over-reliance on Vitalik Buterin's influence. Ethlabs emerges as a more execution-oriented, "industrialized" layer focused on market adoption—bridging the gap between research and real-world use. Notably, Vitalik Buterin is absent from its list of supporters, interpreted as an intentional step to avoid excessive personal endorsement and allow the organization to build independent credibility. The Ethereum Foundation's downsizing and redefinition mark a retreat from its former central coordinating role. It now aims to share the "privilege of stewarding Ethereum" with other emerging groups like Ethlabs, the Ethereum Applications Guild, and The Ethereum Economic Zone. Analysts frame this dual shift as the Foundation ensuring Ethereum remains "correct" (credibly neutral), while Ethlabs must prove it remains "effective" (competitive and attractive for capital and adoption). This addresses community "shareholder-like anxiety" about ETH's market performance. While risks exist—such as concerns over shifting from Foundation centrality to large-holder influence—the consensus is that the greater risk for Ethereum was inaction, caught between technical idealism and organizational inertia. These steps aim to create a more multi-stakeholder, execution-driven future for the network.

链捕手6 h fa

Foundation Steps Back, Ethlabs Steps Forward: Ethereum Undergoes Its Largest Restructuring in History

链捕手6 h fa

Second Half of U.S. Crypto Policy: The Clarity Act Aims for 60 Votes, CFTC's "One-Person Commission" Becomes Biggest Variable

In a pivotal year for US crypto policy, the "CLARITY Act" is advancing in the Senate but faces a high hurdle, needing 60 votes to pass. Key challenges include bridging partisan divides on ethics and swaying undecided Republican senators within a tight legislative calendar of only about 40 working days. The policy "second half" involves intense negotiations on a broader framework for Web3 and DeFi, including crypto tax reforms and the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act. A significant uncertainty is the understaffed CFTC, operating with four commissioner vacancies, which complicates regulatory clarity. Meanwhile, the departure of key "crypto champions"—SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce and Senator Cynthia Lummis—will impact ongoing policy efforts. Industry experts are cautiously optimistic but realistic. Sara K. Weed notes that while progress is being made, CLARITY is unlikely to pass this Congress, pushing agencies like the SEC and CFTC to provide more guidance. Sulolit Mukherjee suggests meaningful crypto tax legislation is more likely to be attached to larger must-pass bills. Rashan Colbert discusses the jurisdictional debate over prediction markets, emphasizing the need for a regulatory framework that fosters their development as financial tools rather than treating them broadly as gambling. The clock is ticking, but opportunities remain for substantive progress through continued bipartisan dialogue and pragmatic efforts.

marsbit8 h fa

Second Half of U.S. Crypto Policy: The Clarity Act Aims for 60 Votes, CFTC's "One-Person Commission" Becomes Biggest Variable

marsbit8 h fa

Research Report Analysis: Morgan Stanley Details SanDisk SNDK, The Truth About Cloud Data Center Pricing Power and AI Inference Benefits

Morgan Stanley raised its price target for SanDisk (SNDK) from $1100 to $1750 on June 22, maintaining an Overweight rating. The upgrade is driven by AI inference demand reshaping the NAND market, particularly for KV Cache and context window storage in cloud data centers. These cloud clients exhibit price inelasticity and sign long-term contracts, granting SanDisk significant pricing power. SanDisk's New Business Model (NBM) agreements, covering over one-third of FY27 bit shipments with 3-5 year terms and fixed price/price collar structures, are crucial. They are projected to sustain gross margins around 80% even at floor prices, providing a buffer against cyclical downturns. Morgan Stanley forecasts gross margins to surge from 30.3% in FY25 to 86.7% in FY27e. With NAND supply expected to remain tight into 2026/2027 and cloud/data centers becoming the largest end-market, SanDisk holds supply-side pricing power. The company targets 15-19% bit growth via technology transitions, not capacity expansion. Revenue is projected to grow ~6.6x from FY25 to FY27, with EPS rising from $2.74 to $14.73, driven by high-margin cloud business. Key upside catalysts include faster enterprise SSD adoption and edge AI growth. Downside risks involve slower industry growth, competitor capex increases, market share loss, and competition from Chinese players like YMTC. The investment thesis rests on AI-driven structural demand, NBM's margin protection, and sustained supply tightness. The $1750 target implies ~28x FY27e P/E.

marsbit9 h fa

Research Report Analysis: Morgan Stanley Details SanDisk SNDK, The Truth About Cloud Data Center Pricing Power and AI Inference Benefits

marsbit9 h fa

Trading

Spot
Futures
活动图片