DeFi 大师披露 2024 投资清单,你是否已经重仓?

Web3动向Pubblicato 2024-01-03Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-01-03

Introduzione

编者按:本文作者 FIROUTE 2 FI 是 Silent Protocol 增长官,他在文章中展示了自己 2024 年看好的加密货币,涵盖 L1、L2、AI、DEX 等多个项目类别,原文编译如下:

编者按:本文作者 FIROUTE 2 FI 是 Silent Protocol 增长官,他在文章中展示了自己 2024 年看好的加密货币,涵盖 L1、L2、AI、DEX 等多个项目类别,原文编译如下:

嘿,朋友们!

今天,我想向您展示我认为在 2024 年表现良好的代币观察列表。请注意,我在这里没有过多谈论 $SOL,但这并不意味着我不看好它。只是对我来说,它是由 BTC、ETH 和 SOL 组成的核心投资组合的一部分。

2023 年即将过去,又到了展望新的一年的时候了。

和其他人一样,我对 2024 年非常乐观。原因是 BTC 现货 ETF 最有可能在 1 月份获得批准,而 BTC 减半则在 4 月份。最重要的是,我们将于 2024 年第一季度对以太坊进行 Dencun 升级。

Dencun 的主要特点之一是包含以太坊改进提案 (EIP) 4844,也称为「proto-danksharding」。

它允许第 2 层 (L2) 汇总网络使用称为「blob」的新格式临时存储某些交易数据。Blob 可以在 18 天后删除,从而显着降低第 2 层的交易费用。对于 Arbitrum 和 Optimism 等 L2 来说,这是一次备受期待的升级。

不管怎样,我想列出一些我认为明年会表现强劲的代币。看看 3、6、9 和 12 个月后的价格会很有趣。

Layer 2: ARB/OP/CANTO/MATIC/METIS

让我们从 Layer 2 项目开始。正如我提到的,proto-danksharding (EIP 4844) 将于明年第一季度上线。Layer 2 项目应该会抓住这个故事的投标(我们实际上已经看到这种情况发生了),但我认为第一季度将会出现新的浪潮。在这些代币中,我认为 Canto 是最具潜力的代币。没有多少人知道这将是 L2,mcap 约为 200m。与其他相比非常低。几天前我通过这条推文向 Canto 暗示过(此后价格上涨了 50%)。

Metis 的 mcap 几乎为 400m,说实话,我对 METIS 的了解不多,除了很多有影响力的人都看好它。仍在我的研究清单上。

EigenLayer 将于明年推出,重新定位是新的叙述方式。我一周前已经谈过这个问题,但这里会重复一遍。

就空投而言,我认为 EigenLayer 上最好的机会是存入 swETH (Swell)。该协议还没有代币,这样您就可以空投 Swell 代币和 Eigenlayer 代币。Lido 已经有一个令牌。所有其他 EigenLayer 池也是如此:RocketPool、Coinbase(基础代币)、StakeWise、Origin、Beacon(币安有 BNB)、Ankr 和 Stader。

然而,我确实认为 Stader ($SD) 被低估了。mcap 仅为 3000 万美元(TVL 3.3 亿美元),他们在 EigenLayer (ETHx) 上的存款金额排名第四。Stader 团队一直在不断建设。他们很快就会过渡到类似于 Rocket Pool 的模型,但验证者可以借用 SD。SD 持有者可以借给验证者并从验证者那里获得收益的一部分。

PICA 是另一个有趣的选择。这是 $SOL 的重新质押协议。在这个故事开始运行后,代币就上涨了 4 倍。

JTO 是 Solana 的流动性质押协议。该代币被空投并从那时起就被大量抛售。目前 2.28 美元。

FXS 最近减半,具有流动性质押叙事和 ETH 叙事,如果 ETH 表现良好,该代币可能会在 2024 年第一季度稳定运行。

AI

这是最新的流行词。今年第四季度确实是人工智能叙述的,你可能见过 TAO、RNDR、FET、AGIX、OCEAN、PRIME 等代币。

我想说,整个列表运行良好,但对我来说,其中一个看起来相当便宜,即 $MOZ。仅 1000 万美元的市值,Mozaic 利用人工智能和 LayerZero 技术提供自动增产农业策略。

尽管 FDV 有点高,$PRIME 看起来也不错。然而 PRIME 充满了人工智能和游戏叙事。很多人都看好 2024 年的加密货币游戏。我不是其中之一,但我确实觉得它非常有趣。

Layer 1

与 Layer 2 一样,我认为 L1 将继续表现出色。到目前为止,SOL 和 AVAX 已经取得了巨大的进展。然而,这些并不是我最感兴趣的。

对我来说,是 INJ、SUI、SEI、FTM、CANTO(再次)和 Monad(于 2024 年推出)。可能还会有更多尚未推出的 L1 将会疯狂运行。」在这里睁大眼睛。

我已经爱上了 $SEI。这个社区有一些东西让我非常乐观。

DEX

到目前为止,我们已经看到 $RUNE 上涨了 6 倍。我们还有 DYDX、SNX、JOE。

就我个人而言,我最看好 $RBN(即将推出 AEVO)和 $RBX。

Ribbon 价格相当低,尚未运行,很快就会转换 1:1AEVO。新代币,新图表,新信徒,也许会有不错的表现。

$RBX 只是 5000 万美元的市值的新币,有良好的营销。鉴于 DYDX 和 SNX 的估值,我绝对认为它也具备潜力。

$UNI 也突破了 500 天的区间,包括 Eugene(币安顶级交易员)在内的几位大型交易员都看好它。

其他项目

我可以继续逐个列出类别。这个领域有很多有趣的项目,但我想让这篇文章相对简短且可操作。这是我最后的硬币,我认为在公牛中表现良好。

MINA:$Mina 是一种隐私协议,使用先进的密码学和递归零知识技术提供了一个优雅的解决方案。$Mina 大大减少了每个用户需要下载的数据量。参与者不是从一开始就验证整个链,而是使用递归零知识证明(或 zk-SNARK)来完全验证网络和交易。然后,节点可以存储小证明,而不是整个链。我认为,随着 ETH 在第一季度引起人们的关注,隐私问题也会得到重视。

SYN:Synapse 是 2021 年大家都在谈论的代币。它是一个跨链桥,仍然有很多用户(包括我自己)。前几天我买 CANTO 时,我使用了 Synapse 桥。

TIA:很难对 2023 年迄今为止最重大的事件持悲观态度。Celestia 通过分离区块链的 3 个核心功能来提高可扩展性。Celestia 是一项令人兴奋的新技术,致力于解决当今区块链的核心扩展问题。其模块化架构提供了可扩展性、灵活性和互操作性方面的发展,使开发人员能够构建区块链应用程序以供大规模采用。Celestia 的数据可用性和可扩展性方法为当今区块链行业面临的一些最大挑战提供了创新的解决方案。

KUJI:Kujira 是一个基于 Cosmos 构建的 L1 区块链。它是「真正收益的区块链」。你最好将它与 $LUNA 想要的样子进行比较,但更好。事实上,$KUJI 最初是在 Terra 上构建的(Kujira 于 2021 年 10 月推出),但当 $LUNA 崩溃时,它走了一条新路线。他们有不同的产品可以产生收入,这些收入将归 $KUJI 质押者所有。借贷平台、DEX、清算协议、流动性引擎、跨链质押协议、稳定币 $USK 以及在 Kujira 上启动项目和代币的平台。$KUJI 是对 DeFi 的押注,我相信这将在下一个牛市中再次成为一个强有力的叙事。

Crypto di tendenza

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Qualcomm Chip Price Hike Deals a Blow to Android Phones

Qualcomm has officially announced a new round of price increases for its entire chip portfolio, effective September 1. The hikes, reaching up to 18% for the flagship Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 6 Pro, follow similar moves by MediaTek, intensifying cost pressures on the already strained smartphone industry. CEO Cristiano Amon confirmed the plan, citing the need to offset rising industry-wide costs and restore declining profit margins. Qualcomm's Q3 FY2026 results showed a 25% drop in net profit, with mobile revenue plunging 20% year-over-year, hitting its lowest level since 2021. The surge in AI computing demand has led memory manufacturers to prioritize HBM production, creating a shortage in general-purpose DRAM and NAND Flash chips. Their prices soared by 93%-98% and 55%-60% respectively in Q1 2026, causing the memory cost share in smartphones to jump from 10%-15% to over 30%. Coupled with the soaring cost of advanced nodes like TSMC's 2nm and packaging, overall chip costs have reached historic highs. These upstream pressures are forcing downstream smartphone brands like Xiaomi, OPPO, and vivo to cut orders for mid-to-low-end models by up to 20% and use cost-saving measures like older chipsets. Reportedly, the Snapdragon 8E5 will be repurposed as a "long-lasting" chip for sub-brand phones in H2 2026. Amid this cost crisis, the Android market remains sluggish. Q2 2026 smartphone shipments in China fell 4.3% year-over-year, marking five consecutive quarters of decline. Major Android brands saw market share drop, while Huawei and Apple, with their in-house chip advantages, gained share. Qualcomm is diversifying into automotive and IoT sectors to reduce reliance on smartphones, but these new segments cannot yet fill the mobile revenue gap. Industry observers warn that the full impact of component cost hikes will hit in the second half of 2026, likely leading to higher-than-expected price increases for Android flagships and a further contraction in the Chinese smartphone market.

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Breaking: GPT-5.6 Prices Slashed Effective Today

OpenAI has announced significant price cuts for its GPT-5.6 model API, effective immediately. The entry-level **GPT-5.6 Luna** sees the most drastic reduction, with input prices dropping 80% to $0.20 per million tokens and output prices falling to $1.20 per million tokens. The mid-tier **GPT-5.6 Terra** is reduced by 20%, now costing $2.00 (input) and $12.00 (output) per million tokens. The flagship **GPT-5.6 Sol** maintains its original price but introduces a new **Fast mode**, offering speeds up to 2.5 times faster for double the cost. The company attributes these price reductions to efficiency gains achieved through **GPT-5.6 Sol's own involvement in optimizing its production systems**. The model assisted in rewriting GPU kernels and improving speculative decoding, leading to a 20% reduction in end-to-end service costs and over 15% improvement in token generation efficiency. OpenAI emphasizes this process remained human-led. A key focus of the降价 is to lower the barrier for running **AI agent workflows**. By making the capable, tool-calling Luna model significantly cheaper, OpenAI aims to enable more frequent use in cost-sensitive, high-volume tasks like code review and monitoring. This creates a potential feedback loop: model-assisted efficiency gains lead to lower costs, which enables broader agent deployment, which in turn drives further optimization. The new pricing and features will also apply to Codex and ChatGPT Work subscriptions. The changes intensify competition in the large language model market, with OpenAI directly challenging rivals like Anthropic to respond.

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