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On March 29th, the US-Iran conflict has continued for a full month. The upcoming week remains one filled with uncertainty and potential black swan events. Whether peace talks or conflict escalation, every small step will tug at the market's taut nerves. In addition to geopolitical conflicts, the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve will present their interest rate hike expectation roadmaps to the market. US non-farm payroll data will also significantly impact market liquidity expectations. Details are as follows:

Monday 07:50, the Bank of Japan releases the Summary of Opinions from its March monetary policy meeting.

Tuesday 04:00, New York Fed President Williams delivers a speech.

Wednesday 00:00, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee delivers opening remarks at an event hosted by the bank.

Wednesday 23:00, 2026 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President Logan delivers a speech.

Thursday 20:30, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 28th, US February Trade Balance.

Friday 20:30, US March Unemployment Rate, US March Nonfarm Payrolls (seasonally adjusted), US March Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year), US March Average Hourly Earnings (month-on-month).

Friday 21:45, US March S&P Global Services PMI Final.

Finally, on April 3rd (Friday), the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq will be closed all day. Precious metals and US crude oil futures trading will be suspended all day. Stock index futures will end early (Beijing time 21:15). Forex and US Treasury futures will end early (Beijing time 23:15). Brent crude oil futures will be suspended all day.

[Next Week's Macro Outlook: US-Iran Conflict at Critical Juncture, Central Banks of Japan and US May Signal Rate Hikes]On March 29th, the US-Iran conflict has continued for a full month. The upcoming week remains one filled with uncertainty and potential black swan events. Whether peace talks or conflict escalation, every small step will tug at the market's taut nerves. In addition to geopolitical conflicts, the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve will present their interest rate hike expectation roadmaps to the market. US non-farm payroll data will also significantly impact market liquidity expectations. Details are as follows:

Monday 07:50, the Bank of Japan releases the Summary of Opinions from its March monetary policy meeting.

Tuesday 04:00, New York Fed President Williams delivers a speech.

Wednesday 00:00, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee delivers opening remarks at an event hosted by the bank.

Wednesday 23:00, 2026 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President Logan delivers a speech.

Thursday 20:30, US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending March 28th, US February Trade Balance.

Friday 20:30, US March Unemployment Rate, US March Nonfarm Payrolls (seasonally adjusted), US March Average Hourly Earnings (year-on-year), US March Average Hourly Earnings (month-on-month).

Friday 21:45, US March S&P Global Services PMI Final.

Finally, on April 3rd (Friday), the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq will be closed all day. Precious metals and US crude oil futures trading will be suspended all day. Stock index futures will end early (Beijing time 21:15). Forex and US Treasury futures will end early (Beijing time 23:15). Brent crude oil futures will be suspended all day.

Next Week's Macro Outlook: US-Iran Conflict at Critical Juncture, Central Banks of Japan and US May Signal Rate Hikes

On March 29, U.S. Central Command announced on the 28th that U.S. Marines and other personnel aboard the amphibious assault ship USS Tripoli have arrived in the U.S. Central Command's area of responsibility. (Xinhua News Agency)

[US Marines Arrive in CENTCOM Area of Responsibility]On March 29, U.S. Central Command announced on the 28th that U.S. Marines and other personnel aboard the amphibious assault ship USS Tripoli have arrived in the U.S. Central Command's area of responsibility. (Xinhua News Agency)

US Marines Arrive in CENTCOM Area of Responsibility

opn Surges 15.89% in 24H, Currently at 0.2203 USDT

【opn currently trades at 0.2203 USDT, up 15.89% in 24h, according to HTX market data.】opn Surges 15.89% in 24H, Currently at 0.2203 USDT

opn currently trades at 0.2203 USDT, up 15.89% in 24h, according to HTX market data.

On March 29, the U.S. Central Command announced that U.S. Marines and other personnel aboard the USS Tripoli amphibious assault ship have arrived in the Central Command area of responsibility. (Xinhua News Agency)

[U.S. Marines Arrive in Central Command Area of Responsibility]On March 29, the U.S. Central Command announced that U.S. Marines and other personnel aboard the USS Tripoli amphibious assault ship have arrived in the Central Command area of responsibility. (Xinhua News Agency)

U.S. Marines Arrive in Central Command Area of Responsibility

On March 28th, Cryptoquant analyst Darkfost published an article stating that Bitcoin has so far failed to reclaim the realized price after excluding dormant circulating supply.

The chart displays a cost basis benchmark that excludes holdings older than 7 years, aiming to more realistically reflect the actual circulating supply of Bitcoin in the market. This metric filters out lost bitcoins and long-term locked-up holdings, commonly referred to as "diamond hands" in the market.

After this adjustment, the realized price is approximately $72,500, which currently acts as a key resistance level. Bitcoin has been trading below this price for nearly two months. Looking back at previous bear market cycles, Bitcoin has typically oscillated below this cost basis for 6 to 10 months, consistently failing to reclaim this level. If historical patterns repeat, Bitcoin may experience several more months of downward pressure, with prices likely to remain below $72,500.

[Cryptoquant Analyst: BTC Below Key Realized Price of ~$72.5K, May See Months of Weakness]On March 28th, Cryptoquant analyst Darkfost published an article stating that Bitcoin has so far failed to reclaim the realized price after excluding dormant circulating supply.

The chart displays a cost basis benchmark that excludes holdings older than 7 years, aiming to more realistically reflect the actual circulating supply of Bitcoin in the market. This metric filters out lost bitcoins and long-term locked-up holdings, commonly referred to as "diamond hands" in the market.

After this adjustment, the realized price is approximately $72,500, which currently acts as a key resistance level. Bitcoin has been trading below this price for nearly two months. Looking back at previous bear market cycles, Bitcoin has typically oscillated below this cost basis for 6 to 10 months, consistently failing to reclaim this level. If historical patterns repeat, Bitcoin may experience several more months of downward pressure, with prices likely to remain below $72,500.

Cryptoquant Analyst: BTC Below Key Realized Price of ~$72.5K, May See Months of Weakness

HTX data showed that BTC fell below 67000  USDT and is now at 66995.65 USDT, with a increase of 1.36% in 24H.

[BTC fell below 67000  USDT] HTX data showed that BTC fell below 67000  USDT and is now at 66995.65 USDT, with a increase of 1.36% in 24H.

BTC fell below 67000  USDT

btw Hits New High of 0.024582 USDT, Up -12.22% in 24H

【btw soared to 0.028207 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of -12.22%. It currently trades at 0.024582 USDT on HTX.】btw Hits New High of 0.024582 USDT, Up -12.22% in 24H

btw soared to 0.028207 USDT, a new high with a 24-hour increase of -12.22%. It currently trades at 0.024582 USDT on HTX.

On March 28th, according to Ark Invest Tracker, following a substantial sell-off of tech stocks and crypto ETFs on Thursday, Ark Invest continued its significant reduction of tech stocks, including Nvidia, on Friday. This involved selling over 58,000 shares of NVIDIA and more than 19,000 shares of AMD, representing 0.1%-0.15% of the fund's total value. The firm only purchased 48,600 shares of biotechnology company Arcturus Therapeutics, indicating a shift in focus from AI chip divestments to healthcare innovation.

[Ark Invest Continues Significant Tech Stock Sell-off, Reducing Nvidia and AMD Holdings]On March 28th, according to Ark Invest Tracker, following a substantial sell-off of tech stocks and crypto ETFs on Thursday, Ark Invest continued its significant reduction of tech stocks, including Nvidia, on Friday. This involved selling over 58,000 shares of NVIDIA and more than 19,000 shares of AMD, representing 0.1%-0.15% of the fund's total value. The firm only purchased 48,600 shares of biotechnology company Arcturus Therapeutics, indicating a shift in focus from AI chip divestments to healthcare innovation.

Ark Invest Continues Significant Tech Stock Sell-off, Reducing Nvidia and AMD Holdings

On March 28, according to HTX market information, Bitcoin briefly surpassed $67,000, currently priced at $66,960.38, with an increase of 0.76% in the last hour.

[Bitcoin Briefly Surpasses $67,000]On March 28, according to HTX market information, Bitcoin briefly surpassed $67,000, currently priced at $66,960.38, with an increase of 0.76% in the last hour.

Bitcoin Briefly Surpasses $67,000

Binance, which is the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume, denied it planned to deliberately sink rival FTX after being questioned by lawmakers in the U.K.The exchange sent the Parliament's Treasury Committee a five-page document outlining the sequence of events that led to the FTX collapse on Wednesday after promising to do so at a hearing on Monday."It is clear from the above that the causes of the collapse of FTX were the financial irregularities and possible fraud initially reported in the CoinDesk article on 2 November," the document stated.

Detail

【Binance Denies Accusation From UK Lawmaker That It Deliberately Sank FTX】Binance, which is the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume, denied it planned to deliberately sink rival FTX after being questioned by lawmakers in the U.K.The exchange sent the Parliament's Treasury Committee a five-page document outlining the sequence of events that led to the FTX collapse on Wednesday after promising to do so at a hearing on Monday."It is clear from the above that the causes of the collapse of FTX were the financial irregularities and possible fraud initially reported in the CoinDesk article on 2 November," the document stated.

Binance Denies Accusation From UK Lawmaker That It Deliberately Sank FTX

Article

BTC fell below 66000  USDT

Iran Claims US-Israeli Attack on 'Yellowcake' Production Facility, No Radioactive Material Leakage

Bank of America Strategist Hartnett Recommends Buying US Consumer Stocks

Iran Claims Readiness to Counter Any Form of Ground Invasion

Iran to Retaliate Against Israeli and Gulf Steel Industries

Binance Denies Accusation From UK Lawmaker That It Deliberately Sank FTX

Penafian：Konten diatas tidak merepresentasikan posisi HTX.，HTX tidak memberikan rekomendasi perdagangan apa pun.。

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