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On April 4, a knowledgeable source revealed that the U.S. proposed a temporary 48-hour ceasefire to Iran through a friendly country on the 1st of this month. The Iranian side assessed that the U.S. had previously misjudged Iran's military capabilities, leading to significant difficulties for U.S. forces in the region after the escalation of the situation, prompting the U.S. to make this suggestion. The source pointed out that Iran did not respond in writing to the U.S. ceasefire proposal but instead made a 'real-time response' by continuing heavy artillery strikes on the battlefield. The source disclosed that after Iranian strikes targeted U.S. equipment depots on Bubiyan Island in Kuwait, U.S. diplomatic efforts to seek a ceasefire significantly intensified.

[U.S. Proposed 48-Hour Ceasefire, Iran Responds with Battlefield Actions]On April 4, a knowledgeable source revealed that the U.S. proposed a temporary 48-hour ceasefire to Iran through a friendly country on the 1st of this month. The Iranian side assessed that the U.S. had previously misjudged Iran's military capabilities, leading to significant difficulties for U.S. forces in the region after the escalation of the situation, prompting the U.S. to make this suggestion. The source pointed out that Iran did not respond in writing to the U.S. ceasefire proposal but instead made a 'real-time response' by continuing heavy artillery strikes on the battlefield. The source disclosed that after Iranian strikes targeted U.S. equipment depots on Bubiyan Island in Kuwait, U.S. diplomatic efforts to seek a ceasefire significantly intensified.

U.S. Proposed 48-Hour Ceasefire, Iran Responds with Battlefield Actions

On April 4, according to a report by The Wall Street Journal on April 3, Iran has officially informed mediators that it is unwilling to meet with US officials in Islamabad, Pakistan, in the coming days, and has clearly stated that the US's demands regarding a ceasefire are unacceptable. (Xinhua News Agency)

[Iran Officially Responds to Mediators: Unwilling to Meet US Officials in Pakistan in Coming Days]On April 4, according to a report by The Wall Street Journal on April 3, Iran has officially informed mediators that it is unwilling to meet with US officials in Islamabad, Pakistan, in the coming days, and has clearly stated that the US's demands regarding a ceasefire are unacceptable. (Xinhua News Agency)

Iran Officially Responds to Mediators: Unwilling to Meet US Officials in Pakistan in Coming Days

HTX data showed that SOL fell below 80  USDT and is now at 79.9923 USDT, with a increase of 0.48% in 24H.

[SOL fell below 80  USDT] HTX data showed that SOL fell below 80  USDT and is now at 79.9923 USDT, with a increase of 0.48% in 24H.

SOL fell below 80  USDT

On April 4th, Federal Reserve's Daly stated that the economy does not need to create as many jobs as before to maintain the same employment-to-population ratio. In this environment, monthly hiring data can no longer most accurately reflect the health of the labor market. The unemployment rate may be a better measure. She said, "Ratios and indicators such as the employment-to-population ratio, unemployment rate, quit rate, or hiring rate can reflect changes in the size of the labor force, thus more clearly reflecting the health of the labor market." (JIN10)

[Fed's Daly: Focus on Employment-to-Population Ratio, Not Job Data]On April 4th, Federal Reserve's Daly stated that the economy does not need to create as many jobs as before to maintain the same employment-to-population ratio. In this environment, monthly hiring data can no longer most accurately reflect the health of the labor market. The unemployment rate may be a better measure. She said, "Ratios and indicators such as the employment-to-population ratio, unemployment rate, quit rate, or hiring rate can reflect changes in the size of the labor force, thus more clearly reflecting the health of the labor market." (JIN10)

Fed's Daly: Focus on Employment-to-Population Ratio, Not Job Data

On April 4th, the Public Relations Department of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) issued a statement on the 3rd, announcing that Iran carried out the 93rd wave of attacks in a large-scale military operation codenamed 'True Promise-4' on the afternoon of that day. The statement indicated that Israeli military assembly centers and operational support bases located in Western Galilee, Haifa, Karkana, and Kiryat Shmona were precisely targeted. It was introduced that this military operation was jointly conducted by the IRGC and regional resistance forces, utilizing a variety of weapons and equipment including solid and liquid-fuel missiles, long-range guided missiles, and suicide drones. The Iranian side emphasized that such attacks will continue, and specific progress and subsequent results of the operation will be promptly reported to the public. (CCTV)

[Iran Launches 93rd Wave of 'True Promise-4' Operation]On April 4th, the Public Relations Department of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) issued a statement on the 3rd, announcing that Iran carried out the 93rd wave of attacks in a large-scale military operation codenamed 'True Promise-4' on the afternoon of that day. The statement indicated that Israeli military assembly centers and operational support bases located in Western Galilee, Haifa, Karkana, and Kiryat Shmona were precisely targeted. It was introduced that this military operation was jointly conducted by the IRGC and regional resistance forces, utilizing a variety of weapons and equipment including solid and liquid-fuel missiles, long-range guided missiles, and suicide drones. The Iranian side emphasized that such attacks will continue, and specific progress and subsequent results of the operation will be promptly reported to the public. (CCTV)

Iran Launches 93rd Wave of 'True Promise-4' Operation

On April 4, according to CME's 'FedWatch' data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is currently reported at 0.5%, while the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is at 99.5%.

[Probability of Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in April at 99.5%]On April 4, according to CME's 'FedWatch' data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in April is currently reported at 0.5%, while the probability of maintaining rates unchanged is at 99.5%.

Probability of Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in April at 99.5%

On April 4, a US judge refused to rehear a ruling concerning an investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. (Jins10)

[US Judge Refuses to Rehear Ruling on Investigation into Fed Chair Powell]On April 4, a US judge refused to rehear a ruling concerning an investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. (Jins10)

US Judge Refuses to Rehear Ruling on Investigation into Fed Chair Powell

HTX data showed that BTC broke through 67000  USDT and is now at 67005.81 USDT, with a decrease of 0.06% in 24H.

[BTC broke through 67000  USDT] HTX data showed that BTC broke through 67000  USDT and is now at 67005.81 USDT, with a decrease of 0.06% in 24H.

BTC broke through 67000  USDT

On April 4th, Lydia Boussour, Senior Economist at EY-Parthenon, stated that despite a strong rebound in US employment data in March, the labor market remains fragile. She believes that against a backdrop of policy uncertainty, businesses are becoming more cautious, with hiring intentions cooling. Companies are increasingly inclined to protect profit margins and cope by boosting productivity rather than expanding their workforce. "Looking ahead, we expect the labor market in 2026 to be largely frozen, characterized by selective hiring, limited wage growth, and strategic workforce adjustments amidst historically tight labor supply," Boussour predicted. She anticipates that job growth will be slightly below the breakeven level, and the unemployment rate will gradually rise to around 4.7%. "Given the ongoing Middle East conflict, downside risks dominate, with a 40% probability of recession," she added.

[US Labor Market Remains Fragile, 40% Recession Risk: EY-Parthenon]On April 4th, Lydia Boussour, Senior Economist at EY-Parthenon, stated that despite a strong rebound in US employment data in March, the labor market remains fragile. She believes that against a backdrop of policy uncertainty, businesses are becoming more cautious, with hiring intentions cooling. Companies are increasingly inclined to protect profit margins and cope by boosting productivity rather than expanding their workforce. "Looking ahead, we expect the labor market in 2026 to be largely frozen, characterized by selective hiring, limited wage growth, and strategic workforce adjustments amidst historically tight labor supply," Boussour predicted. She anticipates that job growth will be slightly below the breakeven level, and the unemployment rate will gradually rise to around 4.7%. "Given the ongoing Middle East conflict, downside risks dominate, with a 40% probability of recession," she added.

US Labor Market Remains Fragile, 40% Recession Risk: EY-Parthenon

Fed Chair Powell said we are not over-raising rates. The historical record strongly warns against premature easing, will maintain the policy path until the job is done, and will make every effort to achieve our goals. It is too early to consider a pause in rate hikes. At some point a slower pace of rate hikes would be appropriate. More important than the pace of rate hikes is how high rates need to rise, don't think there has been too much tightening, discussed slowing rate hikes at this meeting, and will slow the pace of rate hikes as soon as the December or February meeting.

Detail

【Fed Chairman Powell: Slowing the pace of rate hikes as soon as the December or February meeting】Fed Chair Powell said we are not over-raising rates. The historical record strongly warns against premature easing, will maintain the policy path until the job is done, and will make every effort to achieve our goals. It is too early to consider a pause in rate hikes. At some point a slower pace of rate hikes would be appropriate. More important than the pace of rate hikes is how high rates need to rise, don't think there has been too much tightening, discussed slowing rate hikes at this meeting, and will slow the pace of rate hikes as soon as the December or February meeting.

Fed Chairman Powell: Slowing the pace of rate hikes as soon as the December or February meeting

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Fed Chairman Powell: Slowing the pace of rate hikes as soon as the December or February meeting

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